1,911 karma · joined March 8, 2009
For example, playing Russian Roulette once is about 166667 micromorts. Playing it 6 times is 1 mort of risk, but the probability of dying after 6 plays is not 1. (It's 1 - (5/6)6, or about 2/3.)
Assuming the probability of dying in each activity is independent, planning to do a 7000-micromort activity A and then (after appropriate recovery time) an 8000-micromort activity B is not an overall activity with 15000 micromorts of risk. (The math is close enough when talking about single-digit micromorts, but it doesn't work in general.)
Pr(dying when doing A followed by B) = Pr({doing A and dying} or {doing A and surviving and then doing B and dying}) = Pr(doing A and dying) + PR(doing A and surviving and then doing B and dying) = 7000 / 1000000 + (1 - 7000 / 1000000) * 8000 / 1000000 = 14944 / 1000000
The larger the risks or the longer the series of events, the less accurate the assumption of linearity. This also doesn't take into account the fact that dying in extreme activities is not independent; by failing to die in A, you've demonstrated some small amount of survival fitness.
The early part of a logistic growth curve (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_function) also looks exponential.
Infinite? Why isn't AI subject to the heat death of the universe?
So, is it a good heuristic to conclude that since crime is related to poverty and minorities tend to be poor, minorities qua minorities ought to be shunned?
If anyone has heard of your programming language, there is probably an Emacs mode for it.
Can you explain why this is faster? I assumed the ALU would be 64 bits wide, and 32-bit operations would just leave half of it unused.
The assembly language layer for iOS is assembly language.
I wrote a paper on building a torrent search index quickly using the DHT records that this feature emitted at the time. [link redacted]
What about if you live in a state with high income tax and no capital gains relief from said rate, and you think that maybe at some point in the future you might leave that state for one with a lower income tax? For example, moving from California to anywhere else.
https://fiber.google.com/cities/sanfrancisco/ Google Fiber is coming to parts of SF using existing fiber infrastructure.