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The_Colonel

5,660 karma · joined November 27, 2018

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The_Colonel··on Sweden Seizes Ship Suspected of Baltic Sea 'Sabotage'
You don't need to be a moral actor to enforce a law.

Even a murderer can, and should, stop another murderer from killing people.

The_Colonel··on Google open-sources the Pebble OS
> It's unfair and generally bad for everyone involved.

The solution is simple - don't hop on Google's new products (there's a risk with the older ones as well, albeit smaller). It's just not worth it to invest your money and time with such a significant risk of it getting killed (and its general half-assedness). There are usually alternatives.

The_Colonel··on Google open-sources the Pebble OS
I don't think Google understands hardware given its lack of success in it.
The_Colonel··on Sweden Seizes Ship Suspected of Baltic Sea 'Sabotage'
You didn't understand my comment.

My point is that the calculus for Russia isn't "is there a precedent for breaking this type of international law?", it's rather "can we get away with it?". NS2 didn't figure in the Russia's calculus when planning the undersea cable interruption.

The_Colonel··on Sweden Seizes Ship Suspected of Baltic Sea 'Sabotage'
No, I don't think so. Or rather, what kind of response? Invoking Article 5 and then what?

It seems like just another chapter in the hybrid warfare. NATO countries can respond in other ways, more sanctions, more military support for Ukraine, undercover actions, restricting Russian vessel movement in the Baltic Sea etc.

The_Colonel··on Sweden Seizes Ship Suspected of Baltic Sea 'Sabotage'
Intimidation has been their modus operandi for a while. Assassinations which they only half-heartedly deny is another example of that.

But it feels like this has become the new normal and isn't particularly effective anymore.

The_Colonel··on Sweden Seizes Ship Suspected of Baltic Sea 'Sabotage'
You don't need to be a just actor to enforce international law if you're strong enough to pull it off and it aligns with your interests.
The_Colonel··on Sweden Seizes Ship Suspected of Baltic Sea 'Sabotage'
Wars don't have to be declared to be wars. Most wars have historically not been declared.
The_Colonel··on Sweden Seizes Ship Suspected of Baltic Sea 'Sabotage'
And all land is free-to-take since Feb 24th, 2022.

Ultimately, international law has to be enforced by someone. Russia broke it many times before NS2 blew up, it's not like they were holding up before.

The_Colonel··on Sweden Seizes Ship Suspected of Baltic Sea 'Sabotage'
I'm as pro-Ukraine as it gets, but it doesn't make any sense for Russia to blow it up. The biggest incentive is Ukraine by far, then some western intelligence agencies / covert groups in some distance.

Gas has been always part of the carrot and stick strategy for Russia. It makes sense for Ukraine to blow it up to stop any discussions about returning back to cheap Russian gas.

The_Colonel··on Sweden Seizes Ship Suspected of Baltic Sea 'Sabotage'
That was his observation, i.e. his opinion and not the official policy, 70 years ago.

I imagine it might have been part of the strategic thinking at that time, but that has apparently changed quite quickly. By the 1970s, Bundeswehr was the strongest western European army, West German economy living its golden years. (it's quite astonishing, but towards the end of the Cold War, West German economy was bigger than that of Soviet Union with 1/6th of the population)

The_Colonel··on Sweden Seizes Ship Suspected of Baltic Sea 'Sabotage'
It was most likely Ukraine. Russia and Ukraine are at war.
The_Colonel··on The State of Vim
StackOverflow isn't representative. It was always skewed towards .NET world (and thus VS). I assume this is the case because the founders were prominent .NET personalities.
The_Colonel··on The testing pyramid is an outdated economic model
It's more of an advertisement rather an opinion.

They have a specific definition of "E2E" (apparently UI is not considered to be in it) and it works on docker platform only (so not for e.g. windows binaries). It can be good, but does not speak about the testing pyramid in general.

The_Colonel··on Garmin's –$40B Pivot
You remember when you fell asleep? I don't. Watch tracks how often you wake up, how long you spend in the deep sleep, etc.

A lot of value is in the long term trends. One bad night doesn't mean much but if our sleep quality is trending down over weeks, it's a sign you should change something.

The_Colonel··on Garmin's –$40B Pivot
Also, the flashlight and silent alarm are superb features. I use the clock too if I wake up.
The_Colonel··on 417-megapixel Andromeda galaxy panorama took over a decade to make
No, it's you moving 4 000 miles per hour relative to the Andromeda galaxy.
The_Colonel··on Bunkers in Albania
Fair enough, I've visited 10 years ago and it was mostly old Mercedes cars. (I was mostly in the countryside)

Albania has an (upper) middle class as well, so surely there are some new ones as well.

The_Colonel··on Bunkers in Albania
I've visited Albania and their placement seemed quite random to me. Possibly there was some system in place which I didn't notice (I didn't go to study them specifically). They made up their deficiencies in numbers, but it's a question of how many would be manned and supplied in case of war.

I've also visited one interwar Czechoslovak fortification complex, and these were completely different beasts with an elaborate design (network of connected fortifications, vast underground spaces/infrastructure...). But they were also much more expensive to build than the rudimentary Albanian designs.

The_Colonel··on Bunkers in Albania
To avoid confusion, the Mercedes cars are from 80s or 90s. Not new ones, which are completely unaffordable by most locals.
The_Colonel··on Bunkers in Albania
> It kinda advertises the defender position.

Which can be a point. What do you do if you're a foot soldier and such a bunker is on your way? First, you stop. Maybe your platoon tries to find a way around it, maybe you call reinforcements (direct fire) to take it out, maybe you set up a heavy machine gun to suppress it while you cross it. But all of this takes time, which is one of the main purposes of such defensive structures - to slow the enemy down. Interestingly, such a bunker will partially work in this role even if it's unoccupied, since making sure it is in fact empty will still take time. Now consider that there's almost a million of such bunkers slowing you down. You also have to consider the era, today they'd be an easier target than in the 1970s.

The_Colonel··on Some things to expect in 2025
> It doesn't take complete blocking before there are significant implications.

Mostly for consumers. Advanced users in e.g. China (likely in Russia as well) use VPNs routinely already.

> from more friction in getting access to distribution channels to the more fundamental "forking" of initiatives and visions

What's in it for the devs/companies to fork just because of the geopolitical situation? A fork means more work, more costs. In some cases, like the Linux kernel, Russian companies (Baikal) are forced to fork, but I don't seem them doing this on a massive scale for projects where they don't have to.

I think there is some parallel development going on in China, but that's more because of the language/cultural barrier and has always been so, so I don't expect a major change.

The_Colonel··on Some things to expect in 2025
Kinda depends on what you mean exactly. For example, open source world will likely not be affected aside from a few cases like the Russian Linux developers. Neither China nor Russia are likely to completely block access to internet and developers won't have any incentives to do isolate themselves.
The_Colonel··on Some things to expect in 2025
I wouldn't hire based on grades.

I think what the junior did is a reason to fire them (then you can try again with better selection practices). Not because they use code from LLMs, but that they don't even try to understand what it is doing. This says a lot about their attitude to programming.

The_Colonel··on Some things to expect in 2025
I would bet the percentage increased since then.
The_Colonel··on Some things to expect in 2025
A cynical take would be that the current market conditions allow you to filter out such college graduates and only take the better ones.
The_Colonel··on Starship Flight 7
Also, the (IMHO false) hope that we can escape the planet after we destroy it. Well, maybe the few richest will be able to do that ...
The_Colonel··on Nintendo Switch 2
No, it's because Nintendo prides itself to be about games, not about performance.
The_Colonel··on Earth breaches 1.5 °C climate limit for the first time: what does it mean?
> using less water won't make it last longer when you represent a permille of the total consumption

Using less water will make finite water supply last longer. You yourself have a small effect, but it is an effect.

Compare that with the elections, where you're not going to have any impact whatsoever.

> The problem with climate change is that it's more like 95% of people doing nothing cause they just want to live a normal life, and 5% of people trying to do something in a futile way.

Those 5% can lobby, talk to friends and make it 10%, then maybe 20% and it starts to become a strong political force.

OTOH you appear to lobby for making 0% out of the 5% ...

> In the end it doesn't matter if a few million choose to cut down on consumption when the end result is exactly the same in an ocean of billions.

No, the result will not be exactly the same. If you e.g. produce less waste, then the total amount of waste will be smaller by that amount.

> That's more like a democratic fantasy, believing that most people would even chose to to the right thing if given the option, instead of the most convenient thing.

People have been convinced to do less convenient things. In most western countries, people learned to not throw trash on the sidewalk and make the extra effort to throw it in a in.

The_Colonel··on TikTok preparing for U.S. shut-off on Sunday
Facebook groups is also a decent way to build communities.

Honestly, Facebook without the push for reels / videos isn't that bad. (now you can crucify me)

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