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Taikhoom10

47 karma · joined March 20, 2025

Strategy - s-1.site
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Taikhoom10··on Stripe will reportedly acquire OpenRouter for $7B+
They should just hold Stripe stock, plus there are always liquidation preferences so it is not so black and white
Taikhoom10··on Jane Street suffers $15B hit after meltdown at Situational Awareness
Well, they did because JS owned a economics interest in SA, which led to the loss. So it was poor capital allocation, but really a systemic failure to delete leverage from the equation.
Taikhoom10··on Anthropic Is not worth much at all
Sure, to be clear I could be wrong about OpenRouter, the cloud companies could become aggregators, but the fundamental idea of models being commdoities, and anthropic's sucess in the enterprise is a short term arbritage is correct.
Taikhoom10··on Anthropic Is not worth much at all
why?
Taikhoom10··on Is OpenAI hardware, the Apple of tommorow?
Yeah look I am not really part of the hype, but a AI first hardware consumer product is much more logical product then a new AI enterpise startup which is structurally doomed.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
Yeah they could use debt to finance it, a combintaion of 20% equity, 40% senior debt, and then the rest could be stock.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
Yeah but who can say Steve Jobs bought their company so early on, the early Dropbox design was so Apple-esque.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
Thanks, will do.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
It is primarily a switching-cost-enabled cash cow.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
which company?
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
Well look at the broader industry, Icloud itself is probably throwing off more cash.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
I intend to write a piece going deeper into the failures; I would love to chat if you're open to it. Also, not to say Dropbox sucked or anything, it is just that the broader strategy and industry structure make it hard; if anything, the success of the first product made it difficult to evolve the business.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
I know, right! Switching costs are powerful.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
Yes, you're right
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
I was referring to multiples on invested capital. Plus, it's a bit hurtful when you IPO your company, the stock stays flat if not down, and you step down; I think an Apple acquisition like that is much more of a happy ending IMO.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
It depends on the acquirer; Silver Lake could be a good partner.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
Yes and quite frankly dropbox should have leverage their consumer brand to move into enterprise.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
Right, but you have to consider how early on this was, with little venture raised; multiples are way better. My point was bundling wins in the long term.
Taikhoom10··on Dropbox is an obvious PE Target?
No, definitely agree. One of the great SaaS companies, strategy matters, though, and the early success distracted them from building a defensible business.
Taikhoom10··on ManusAI Joins Meta
https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/meta-buys-ai-startup-manus-addin...

2 billion is the price.

Taikhoom10··on Altman Backs brain chip startup. Strategic? Or to piss of Musk?
No Elon understands this deeply in my opinion. You should listen to lex freidmans latest interview with him on neuralink, you would think elon has a phd in the subject.
Taikhoom10··on Outside of the top stocks, S&P 500 forward profits haven't grown in 3 years
Yeah tbh i am somewhat worried about the concentratraion in the tech and ai stocks. 33% of vc is in ai startups as well.
Taikhoom10··on Why Are We Building Superintellgence?
Yeah i mean honestly i think it could be a bubble especially if we start to see stupid things happening, also sure you can say i'm living in a sci fi fantasy, but whatever. Curios to know how your betting against the markets?
Taikhoom10··on What I have learned about startups from building my own
Well I think you find where your target audience is online, and reach out. If you find people that need your product you'll get users like that
Taikhoom10··on What I have learned about startups from building my own
Yes agreed
Taikhoom10··on Why Nvidia is going to have it's deepseek moment soon
Yeah your right, that's my point smart people buy the dip, but that was with llms, I think its quite the possibility considering china is producing 2 or three times as much energy, and NVDA, are creating energy efficient gpus, china does not have to worry about that they can make it as powerful as they like.
Taikhoom10··on Why Nvidia is going to have it's deepseek moment soon
hey I am not hating on NVDA all I am saying is something like this is bound to happen and honestly that Is great for people that want to invest at a discount price like you should.
Taikhoom10··on Soya a platform where founders find where there target users are online
Well Chatgpt hallucinates. Soya has a narrowed focus on finding where target audience are. So hallucination rates are low.
Taikhoom10··on Stop Building Products Nobody Wants: The Validation Method That Works
And also, unless you get feedback in the right way, a lot of people could mislead you. Paying shows real validation that you cant argue with. Actions are a lot louder than just words.
Taikhoom10··on Stop Building Products Nobody Wants: The Validation Method That Works
Yeah I guess your right about that, build a quick MVP and validate from there. Makes sense.
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