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SpicyLemonZest

9,945 karma · joined September 11, 2018

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SpicyLemonZest··on The evolution of effective altruism
You might benefit from thinking critically about who and what you consider to be greedy. If you don't, it's easy to be tricked by various kinds of shell games, where certain kinds of work are never considered "greedy" or certain kinds of charity make the donor appear disproportionately generous. One game that's become pretty well known is how many "donations" to well-funded schools are in fact admissions payments for wealthy kids.
SpicyLemonZest··on Elon Musk Emails
I didn't flag it, but I'm not sure I understand what's meant to be interesting about this website, which seems to be a vibecoded UI around a small list of random messages associated with Elon Musk. The first three on the list are a public statement he made, an email he denies sending, and an email which Musk (probably) instructed whoever runs hr@opm.gov to send.
SpicyLemonZest··on US killer's sentence quashed because of AI video of victim shown in court
I'm speculating, but in a road rage case, I can imagine a lot of scenarios where depicting the victim as gracious and forgiving would make the perpetrator look worse. There's no legal principle that sentencing should be reduced if the victim forgives you, after all. Some contemporary coverage I found in a quick search (https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/road-rage-victim-speaks...) indicates he got the maximum sentence.
SpicyLemonZest··on Hair Loss Was Just the Start. Ozempic Users Are Also Reporting Nail Trouble
I feel like you're misunderstanding something here. Nearly every obese adult has unsuccessfully tried a number of other strategies to lose weight. What GLP-1s immediately illustrate to most people who try them is that there's a real, physical problem with their appetite that only GLP-1s successfully correct. A few weeks after I started taking GLP-1s, I started to feel full again for the first time since college. Everyone should work out daily and maintain a varied, healthy diet, but I did and they never made me feel that way alone.

I do encourage anyone who can remotely afford the name-brand drugs to buy them, but even with price cuts they're still quite expensive. So while I'm never going to encourage buying pharmaceuticals from sketchy grey market producers, I find it very hard to tell the people who can't afford GLP-1s that they have to just deal. It'd be like not being able to buy painkillers.

SpicyLemonZest··on The Four Horsemen of Agentic Coding
I often use simple prompts like “make it faster” and get back functionally correct commits. When I review them, I often discover that they didn’t do what I really wanted - sometimes Claude made it faster by incurring expensive costs, or doing a migration that would be risky in prod, or making a tradeoff that’s not worth it.

Perhaps I could set up a workflow to handle this without reading the code. I’ve seen people who make Claude fill out arcane templates, and then spend their time reviewing reports and tinkering with loops or whatever. But why would I want to read a TPS report about the code rather than just reading the code?

SpicyLemonZest··on U.S. appeals court upholds designation of Anthropic as supply chain risk
With respect, you don't see how it would help you understand anything because you've put on anti-partisan blinders. My political opponents openly, enthusiastically portray themselves as raging maniacs. They see rage and mania as good things that will help them achieve their political goals. Here's just one of the enraged, maniac statements the Secretary of Defense made yesterday (https://www.npr.org/2026/09/30/nx-s1-5986304/hegseth-troops-...):

> "No fatties, no trannies, no beardos, no weirdos, no wimps, no radicals. Just warriors," Hegseth said on Wednesday. "The ideological clowns are out. The patriotic cowboys are in, with testosterone testing on top."

Believe me, I get why you find this uncomfortable! It sucks paying attention to politics, I don't enjoy doing it, and I hope once we put the raging maniacs in prison you and I can get back to being apolitical. But if you're not willing to look squarely at their stated positions and motivations, you're not going to be able to understand what's going on.

SpicyLemonZest··on FTC is investigating OpenAI, Anthropic and other AI companies over product risks
The AI discourse is full of cases where companies and their employees respect ethical boundaries at a cost to their bottom line. There was a famous incident, Project Glasswing, where Anthropic announced that they needed to do a large, collaborative cybersecurity project before they could ethically sell their newest model.

Of course, this story also points towards how people sometimes get confused. Most opportunities companies have to be unethical are complex, so if you're not already inclined to trust a company, it's easy to come up with reasons to distrust any claims of ethical behavior they make. Maybe they didn't want to do the unethical behavior in the first place, maybe they've made up self-serving ethical standards, maybe they're just being performatively ethical as a marketing strategy and they'll misbehave when nobody's looking.

Such commentary tends to go viral, because it's easy to propose and impossible to refute in a short comment or video.

SpicyLemonZest··on FTC is investigating OpenAI, Anthropic and other AI companies over product risks
It doesn't really work that way, although I wouldn't rule out someone in the administration thinking it does. There's nothing an FTC investigator can do to "clear them" in a way that would prevent a future investigation for future instances of the same activity. An FTC decision not to bring a complaint or to request only trivial damages doesn't create a binding precedent for similar investigations later.
SpicyLemonZest··on AI tools generated nearly $1B in extra costs, Blue Cross insurers say
Rising healthcare costs are bad for both insurers and consumers, yes. I'm not sure why you say AI is a "scapegoat" here - they seem to be making a plausible case that the AI tools are directly causing this cost increase and it doesn't correspond to an increase in services provided.
SpicyLemonZest··on Memory Companies Have Destroyed the Consumer Market
I personally use options for hedging, which I think is generally the responsible purpose of them.

It's true that you can get something like a directional bet by going far enough out of the money with strong enough conviction never to exit the position early. But this also exposes you to a lot of risk that it might not pay off even though the original idea was correct. Microsoft crashed in 2000, but it never returned to its pre-1998 price, because there was some real value in the dotcom bubble and they were able to capture a disproportionate fraction of it.

SpicyLemonZest··on America.gov
It's a great idea in the abstract, but I don't feel compelled to be a goldfish about this. I would like to see them explain why they turned off Direct File and what's different here before concluding that the administration has some principled commitment to digital accessibility.

I can't help but notice, for example, that the system prompt is not public information.

SpicyLemonZest··on Memory Companies Have Destroyed the Consumer Market
No, put options suffer from time decay and IV crush. A $1,000 MU put for December 2027 was at about $200 today. So if Micron dropped tomorrow, you'd probably start making a bit of money, although the delta is only -0.32. But if you held all the way to December 2027, Micron would then have to drop all the way to $800 before your position is profitable.

When and how that transition happens is subject to a number of complex factors, and it's not even necessarily the case that incremental drops in the stock will produce incremental gains for your put option.

SpicyLemonZest··on DraftKings Is Using AI to Behaviorally Target Chronic Gamblers
I've got plenty of negative things to say about state government lotteries, but the ones I'm familiar with are structured in less predatory ways. It's hard to spend thousands of dollars on lottery tickets, and impossible to do so in a way that won't feel obviously stupid, especially since you can't buy them on your phone.
SpicyLemonZest··on US sanctions force The Netherlands off Microsoft and toward alternative NixOS
I'm one of Trump's domestic enemies, I think we should imprison him and his minions the instant he's thrown out of the White House, and I'm still not sure it's realistic to send him to the ICC. It would radicalize a lot of people who have wrong but principled objections to it.
SpicyLemonZest··on US sanctions force The Netherlands off Microsoft and toward alternative NixOS
It doesn't in and of itself, but there's no clear reason why the US government could not instruct Microsoft that sanctions include a prohibition on granting OS licenses which are likely to be used by sanctioned persons. They're trying to get ahead of things rather than do the bare minimum.
SpicyLemonZest··on It's Time to Investigate the AI Labs
The government is all over them. The President of the United States had dinner with one AI CEO yesterday and is having lunch with a group of them tomorrow. The Senate is having a hearing called "Rogue AI: Securing the Homeland Against AI Agent Attacks" on Wednesday.
SpicyLemonZest··on MongoDB CEO resigns to join Meta
It doesn't mean Meta is burning down, but it does mean the market is not convinced the Meta Enterprise Platform is going to be some exciting new business direction.
SpicyLemonZest··on Automattic has a new board after failed attempt to put CEO on leave
I'm not quite sure what you mean. Why would I drop a name? My point doesn't have to do with anyone's name.

> Are there other people that put in significant amounts of work that he is not giving credit to/downplaying their contributions or similar?

If you're looking for an answer to this question as stated, then I agree with you the answer is no. It's unrelated to what I'm talking about, which is why I didn't answer it the first time.

SpicyLemonZest··on Automattic has a new board after failed attempt to put CEO on leave
He deserves a lot of credit for shepherding WordPress to where it's at. But like most open source projects, WordPress has become so successful in large part because of his formal and informal commitments to the open source community about how it will be managed. Guido van Rossum spent much of his tenure as the Python BDFL as an employee of Google, but it would have been disastrous for Python if he had gotten on stage at PyCon and declared that anyone who cares about Python had better stop using Bing.
SpicyLemonZest··on Meta Blocks President Lula's Facebook Page, Campaign Ads 2 Weeks from Election
As the source article covers, they’ve been facing a number of complaints from human rights organizations that they are being insufficiently censorious regarding the Brazilian election, failing to swiftly take down some things which ethical standards and Brazilian law require. So that presumably influenced their policy. A lot of people seem to have an idea that Facebook’s election policy should quickly block all the bad ads with no risk of blocking any good ones, and that’s just not possible.
SpicyLemonZest··on Japan moves to tighten rules for foreigners
If English, German, Swedish, etc. shared a single prestige form, which all educated speakers understand and use for formal purposes, I think it would be reasonable and common to call them dialects of "Germanic".

More generally, you'll drive yourself crazy trying to form an opinion of what a language "really" is independent of what the people who use it believe. Norwegian people can generally read Danish, and Danish people can generally read Norwegian if it's written in Bokmål, but Bokmål is only one of the two equally valid ways to write Norwegian. What's going on there? You can trample over the cultural context to impose some abstract definition of what's "really" a language, or you can accept that Norwegian is a language because Norwegian speakers say so and not worry too much about the metaphysical status of Nynorsk.

SpicyLemonZest··on Automattic has a new board after failed attempt to put CEO on leave
Yes. There's pretty extensive evidence that Mullenweg engaged in an extortion campaign against WP Engine, threatening to use his position at the WordPress Foundation to sabotage their business unless they agreed to pay Automattic a bunch of money.

Like many sociopaths, he prefers not to draw a clear distinction between actions he's performing for his own benefit and those he's performing on behalf of others, so he often tells a very different story about this. He claims to think, and may actually think, that there's nothing strange or alarming about the open source WordPress project taking sides in a commercial dispute between two vendors.

Indeed, I suspect if you sat down with him in private he'd explain to you that things like the Wordpress Foundation or fiduciary responsibility to Automattic shareholders are legal fictions. In his reality, he's the WordPress guy, and anything which seems to limit or constrain his control of WordPress is just some nonsense he signed off on to keep the suits happy.

SpicyLemonZest··on U.S. appeals court upholds designation of Anthropic as supply chain risk
Anthropic has no such history. The backlash to the Fable release saw a number of social media influencers promoting a similar lie, which I frankly suspect was part of a coordinated Trumpist media effort. Releasing a model with known, documented limitations that constrain its performance on certain kinds of tasks is completely different than releasing a model which is "trying to sabotage people they don't trust".

If I sell a torque wrench with a maximum setting of 1000 foot-pounds, and the government says they'd really like 1500, I'm not sabotaging them by explaining that my wrenches aren't safe when used that way and refusing to remove the limitation.

SpicyLemonZest··on U.S. appeals court upholds designation of Anthropic as supply chain risk
I've got no issue siding against Anthropic when they're wrong! Anthropic had a similar dispute with Bessent over the Fable launch, and there I take the government's side without reservation. If the government thinks they've found a national security problem with your highly capable new model, obviously you should agree to voluntarily withdraw it until they're satisfied, even if your best and correct guess is that it's just a minor jailbreak.

But they're not wrong here.

SpicyLemonZest··on One Piece of Flock Camera Data Put This Innocent Woman in Jail for 13 Days
The question is whether Flock does provide false confidence to law enforcement, or whether it provides a media hook to cover the ways in which bad police departments routinely misbehave.

A lot of people coming to this story seem to have the idea that it's unthinkable for someone to spend 13 days in jail when they have clear evidence they're innocent, so there must be some novel explanation for how this could happen. But as any criminal defense lawyer will tell you it's very thinkable. She was ordered to report to jail on a Friday afternoon, the standard stratagem cops use to ensure people they don't like spend at least a weekend behind bars. She was denied bail, even though she made no move to flee in the months where she knew the police thought she did it, because the courts in many places view mandatory pretrial detention as a punishment for presumptively guilty people.

SpicyLemonZest··on One Piece of Flock Camera Data Put This Innocent Woman in Jail for 13 Days
Flock didn't misidentify Isaacs' car in this case. It correctly identified that her car was vaguely near the accident, and the police incorrectly concluded that it was the one involved in the accident.
SpicyLemonZest··on U.S. appeals court upholds designation of Anthropic as supply chain risk
The cold political war turned hot when Trump tried to overthrow the US government. I understand that this bizarre both sides framing is comforting to you for now, but it's just going to leave you even more alarmed when he tries again.
SpicyLemonZest··on U.S. appeals court upholds designation of Anthropic as supply chain risk
It's not a high horse, you're just misinformed. The Trump regime does want to blow up a school with 120 children. The military had, until recently, a program to prevent such incidents; Pete Hegseth gutted it (https://www.propublica.org/article/hegseth-civilian-harm-mit...) because he wants to achieve "maximum lethality" at all costs. To this date, the regime has not issued any sort of apology for the school bombing, because they're not sorry and they'd happily do it again.
SpicyLemonZest··on U.S. appeals court upholds designation of Anthropic as supply chain risk
Because this is an illegitimate ruling with no legal basis issued by an aspiring dictator's cronies.
SpicyLemonZest··on U.S. appeals court upholds designation of Anthropic as supply chain risk
Actively handicapping a product that's otherwise capable qualifies. If you discover that the military is using your capacitors to make rocket launchers, so you introduce a manufacturing defect that will cause them to fail at high heat, you're a supply chain risk and can be rightfully designated as such.

The converse does not qualify. If I advertise a chemical with an admixture that prevents it from being used to make explosives, the military has absolutely no right to demand that I produce a version of that chemical without the admixture. Selling a product which can't do what the DoD wants does not make me a supply chain risk, no matter how easy it would be for me to make a different product that's fit for their purpose.

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