1,322 karma · joined August 25, 2019
You can only run a trade deficit if the country you are trading with is a net investor. Part of that investment is going to be in the form of bonds. If you force a cut in the trade deficit, you cut the demand for bonds, which lowers their price and raises their interest rate.
One was GPT 4.5 preview, and one was cohort-chowder (which is someone's idea of a cute code name, I assume).
That was the point of the post (though you have to read it to the end to see this). That one model can play chess pretty well, while the free models and OpenAI's later models can't. That's weird.
Unrelatedly, she wrote on the foundations of quantum mechanics, and showed that a "theorem" of John von Neumann, which would have ruled out later research by Bohm and Bell if it were correct, was false three years after he published it. Bohm and Bell had to independently rediscover that the result was false years later.
> In Sirens of Titan, there’s this army of Mars which is really a joke. No one in the army, [not] even the officers, are really in charge of what’s going on. They’re all mind controlled. Nobody has any real free will. They’re just set up as a pawn to be sacrificed, to make Earth come together, kind of Watchmen-style.
The effort of the officers in the book is meaningless, but it turns out the effort of all humanity for all of history is completely meaningless, because humanity is being manipulated by aliens to achieve a trivial purpose.
If you are fascinated by primes, then you just want to know the answer, independent of any application.
I was skeptical of the statistical approach myself, but I think it's time for some humility in the face of its wild success.
At that point, I'd rather be an accountant.
I'm surprised they managed to catch up. I guess there really is no moat.