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PierceJoy

422 karma · joined January 10, 2014

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PierceJoy··on U.S. conditionally approves vaccine to protect poultry from avian flu
I think the available evidence supports calling it very deadly to humans. As you said though, it's possible and even likely the CFR is overestimating. However I doubt you would see a 50% CFR equate to something low enough that wouldn't effectively be a disaster if human to human transmission began, and at a rate similar to the flu or covid. Let's pray that never happens or that we have an effective vaccine by that time.
PierceJoy··on U.S. conditionally approves vaccine to protect poultry from avian flu
https://cdn.who.int/media/docs/default-source/wpro---documen...

> From 1 January 2003 to 27 September 2024, a total of 261 cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H5N1) virus have been reported from five countries within the Western Pacific Region (Table 1). Of these cases, 142 were fatal, resulting in a case fatality rate (CFR) of 54%

> Globally, from 1 January 2003 to 27 September 2024, 904 cases of human infection with avian influenza A(H5N1) virus were reported from 24 countries. Of these 904 cases, 464 were fatal (CFR of 51%)

Anecdotally, a teenager in Canada was recently infected with the strain being carried by birds. She lived, but after being in the hospital for a month, and an extended period of time on ECMO. Who knows where her quality of life is at the moment. That level of care would not be available to many people if the rate of infection were to rise.

PierceJoy··on U.S. conditionally approves vaccine to protect poultry from avian flu
> Avian flu is apparently not too dangerous to humans

There are multiple strains. So far the strain circulating in cows seems to be mild in humans, but the strain in birds seems to be very deadly to humans.

PierceJoy··on Assisted dying now accounts for one in 20 Canada deaths
People seem to forget that any able bodied person can end their life at any time they choose. Denying MAID is only denying this right to people who want to exercise it with dignity.
PierceJoy··on Misinformation fuels outrage and mindless social-media shares – study
Despite the intent to show an equal distribution visually, if you actually pay attention to the individual outlets you see a few things. Nearly all the outlets in the summit block, over 40 reliability score, are considered left or far left by republicans. The most extreme fringe of low reliability score are all right wing. I’m honestly not sure how any critical thinker could believe both sides are equally bad at spreading misinformation. Both sides do it to an extent, but the right is clearly worse, and that’s what your chart shows. Believing that is not bias. It’s reality.
PierceJoy··on Traveling with Apple Vision Pro
> Because you and I both know Apple will never be price-competitive with the commodity segment.

OG iPhone: $799

iPhone 3G: $199

> They are a luxury brand that relies on luxury margins, so I want to know why their business model will succeed.

Apple has shown many times over they don't need to be price competitive with the commodity segment. If you want to know why their business model will succeed, why not just look at their current business model which has been massively successful? Arguably the most successful business model in the history of consumer hardware.

PierceJoy··on Traveling with Apple Vision Pro
The author specifically says he believes people will be using the 4th or 5th iteration of the Vision Pro for this purpose. Why are you comparing prices of devices that won't exist for another 5+ years?
PierceJoy··on OpenAI to become for-profit company
> There will always be people who disagree with the politics/opinions/alleigances of a successful person and who wish to downplay their success for selfish reasons.

And conversely, there will always be people who agree with the politics/opinions/alleigances of a successful person and who wish to overstate the reasons behind their success for selfish reasons.

PierceJoy··on OpenAI to become for-profit company
Considering Musk isn't the founder of Tesla, that's obviously not true. He is the founder of SpaceX so that's probably true that it wouldn't exist without him.

Walter Isaacson doesn't have the best reputation for covering his subjects objectively to be fair. If your source for what Elon has or hasn't done is Isaacson, you aren't standing on very solid ground.

The bigger picture point though is that you can easily argue that the employees at those companies, and not a single man, are responsible for the success of those companies. We give far too much credit to CEOs.

PierceJoy··on Orion, our first true augmented reality glasses
And funnily enough they were working on smart glasses when they were acquired by Google
PierceJoy··on OpenAI to become for-profit company
I'm very far from a musk fan, and if you want to make the case that musk isn't responsible for Tesla, SpaceX, and Starlink I think that's a legitimate argument to be made. But I don't think there's much argument to be made that those 3 companies are not advancing humanity.
PierceJoy··on Zuckerberg claims regret on caving to White House pressure on content
> There are concerns that they paid for infrastructure in deeply democratic areas and ignored areas that were republican-leaning

Concerns without evidence are nothing. Is there any evidence at all this occurred? Why aren't Republicans attacking Musk donating 10's of millions of dollars to directly help Trump?

I mean, we know why they aren't attacking him. Because they're complete hypocrites.

PierceJoy··on Zuckerberg claims regret on caving to White House pressure on content
Then how did Biden win in places where Republicans controlled the election infrastructure?
PierceJoy··on U.S. Ambassador says Canadians are consuming 'unhealthy' amount of American news
Many many right wingers in Canada do not understand that. They truly believe the government is requiring Facebook to block all Canadian news. I know this because I live in a small town and have talked to these people. It’s also plain to see on any local Facebook group when the topic comes up.

I agree it’s a foolish law, but there’s rampant misinformation being spread about it.

PierceJoy··on Zuckerberg claims regret on caving to White House pressure on content
He donated 400m to funding election infrastructure. How is that donating to Democrats?
PierceJoy··on U.S. Ambassador says Canadians are consuming 'unhealthy' amount of American news
To be clear, Facebook chooses to block it because they don’t want to compensate Canadians news outlets, not because the act requires blocking, which is common misinformation that has been spread.
PierceJoy··on How Olympics officials try to catch “motor doping”
There is a UCI sanctioned electric mountain bike enduro race.
PierceJoy··on U.S. maternal death rate increasing at an alarming rate
You must be referring to covid. Thankfully we have vaccines to reduce our risk of short and long term side effects.
PierceJoy··on AT&T says criminals stole phone records of 'nearly all' customers in data breach
Do Americans complain about the GDPR? I’ve only ever seen them say they wish the US had something similar.
PierceJoy··on Voice Isolator: Strip background noise for film, podcast, interview production
I'm not sure what videos you're watching, but the majority of the ones that pop up on my feeds are them annoying non-LE government workers and regular people trying to use government services like the post office, passport office, etc. Yes, the police show up eventually, but only after they've harassed people just trying to do their jobs and live their life.
PierceJoy··on Gene therapy restores hearing to children with inherited deafness
Hereditary autoimmune diseases are not a sense, and are irrelevant to this discussion about whether hearing is an objective advantage or not.

I’ll ask again, since you must have missed this question: is a deaf person, all else equal, more likely or less likely to survive and procreate relative to a hearing person?

PierceJoy··on Gene therapy restores hearing to children with inherited deafness
> Most of vertebrates (including human's ancestors) lost the 6th sense of electric fields in process of the evolution.

Human ancestors are not human. Also, the ancestor you are referring to was a fish, and could only sense electric fields under water. Why would the ability to sense electric fields under water be an evolutionary advantage for humans who don't live in water? If it's not an evolutionary advantage, then there is no reason it would propagate.

When I said 5 senses are better than 4, I was clearly referring to senses that are useful in our environment. Answer this question: is a deaf person, all else equal, more likely or less likely to survive and procreate relative to a hearing person?

> Moles went further to loose sight as well.

Moles have eyes and can see. Their vision is just not as detailed as humans. Highly detailed sight isn't an advantage for creatures that live in the dark. However, hearing is a huge advantage for people who live in an environment where sound waves exist.

You're clearly wrong here. Stop reaching so hard and just move on.

PierceJoy··on Gene therapy restores hearing to children with inherited deafness
It’s a disadvantage in the “built” world, but it’s also a disadvantage in the natural world. If you drop a deaf person in the middle of the forest with no one around, they will not be able hear rivers for water, they will not be able to hear animals approaching, etc.

Being deaf is objectively a disadvantage because 4 senses is objectively worse than 5 senses.

PierceJoy··on A look inside illegal drone deliveries at B.C.'s prisons
Isn’t that what Anduril was showing off in the recent Mark Rober video?
PierceJoy··on As private equity dominates wheelchair market, users wait months for repairs
When are we going to have mass protests against the private equity takeover of everything? Besides climate change and war, I’m hard pressed to think of anything that will have as much of a negative impact on society.
PierceJoy··on Ozempic will disrupt big tobacco, candy companies, and alcohol brands
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/35441470/
PierceJoy··on YouTube's Legal Team sent me a letter [video]
I don’t think that works in practise. Social media companies need to be able to use algorithms for discovery. The firehose approach doesn’t work at large scale. Algorithmic discovery will always have some type of bias and you’re just setting up a scenario where companies won’t be able to make any changes without getting sued. Utilities are essential to life. YouTube is not. If you don’t like the way YouTube operates, create your own. Kick did that. Parler did that. Elon did that by buying Twitter. If you don’t want to create one, join one of those.
PierceJoy··on Google workers fired for protesting Israeli contract file NLRB complaint
I’m assuming at will employment makes this very unlikely to be successful.
PierceJoy··on Ozempic will disrupt big tobacco, candy companies, and alcohol brands
On the contrary, most weight loss doctors consider these drugs to be like statins. You take them for the rest of your life. The number of people who maintain healthy habits after stopping them is shockingly low.
PierceJoy··on Cloudflare CEO Matthew Prince buys local paper, feuds over mansion build
> And Don Rogers, the editor Prince hired to run it, is living rent-free in one of his properties at the moment.

> Rogers says he doesn’t believe Prince’s ownership of the paper (or his current living arrangements) poses a conflict of interest.

Sure, Don.

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