403 karma · joined April 15, 2014
[0] block.xyz/inside/from-hierarchy-to-intelligence
The person who builds an agentic IDE or GitHub alternative that natively does the process you describe will be a multibillionare.
- Leaking information as part of a requested sandbox escape
- Covering its tracks after rule violations
- Recklessly leaking internal technical material (!)
Sounds like we've entered a whole new era, never mind the recent cryptographic security concerns.
Have you tried Gemini 3.1 lately? It is not even close to Opus 4.6 never mind Claude 5.
This post, like many pessimistic takes, seriously discounts innovation and the exponential takeoff of recursive self-improvement.
The odds of success feel like gambling. 60%, or 40%, or worse. This is downstream of model quality.
Soon, 80%, 95%, 99%, 99.99%. Then, it won't be "gambling" anymore.
This to me reveals the power in the underlying pattern in OpenClaw. Seems like User+Agent will be everywhere.
Carmack's 2013 "Latency Mitigation Strategies" paper[0] made the same point for VR too: every millisecond hides in a different stage of the pipeline, and you only find them by tracing the full path yourself. Great find with the warm TTS websocket pool saving ~300ms, perfect example of this.
> No use of OpenAI technology to direct autonomous weapons systems
Btw, the other finding worth mentioning is that people consistently predict that free time and relaxation will make them happier, then report the opposite.
[0] Flow: The Psychology of Optimal Experience if you haven't read it
We came at it from the perspective of DAOs, which was helpful at first but ultimately limiting. I think a non-blockchain version of this will take off. Tailscale is in a good position to do it.
Our earned insight is that you need to build the right primitive for delegation that works up and down the org. Our latest thinking on that is what we call a “Trust Zone” - more details here: https://blog.hatsprotocol.xyz/making-daos-work
You can ignore the “DAO” parts. Happy to answer any questions, I’m still very inspired by this line of inquiry.