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NeutralCrane

3,503 karma · joined July 18, 2019

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NeutralCrane··on The brain was not designed for this much bad news
What about shooting them in the chest while they drive their car? Or shooting them in the back after they’ve been detained?
NeutralCrane··on Has AI already killed self-help nonfiction books?
The repetition and examples aren’t there for learning. They are there for monetization.

This is my biggest issue with the self-help industry. There is a lot of self-help books out there with ideas that are genuinely valuable, or at least worth considering. But as you say, the entirety of the idea can be conveyed perfectly well in a blog post. But you can’t sell a blog post. So it has to be padded out with cruft into a book length publication that can be sold to people.

That’s how AI undermines the industry. It has those general ideas and can convey them in the simplistic, cruftless versions that are most helpful, and can iterate back and forth with someone on applications to their own life.

NeutralCrane··on U.S. science is in chaos
I spent nearly a decade disgusted with Trump but being contrarian by insisting that it was understandable why voters might support it, even if I felt they were wrong.

At this point, there’s no defending it. Anyone who supports this incarnation of the Republican Party is as stupid and backwards as they’ve been castigated.

NeutralCrane··on U.S. science is in chaos
Well it’s not like the budget cuts to science are being redirected to those people. It’s going to the already rich.
NeutralCrane··on A robot is sprinting towards you. Do you want it running on Claude or Grok?
What about that makes you think it was written by AI?
NeutralCrane··on Historic co-determination helps monasteries navigate digital change
The Crusades and colonialism can’t be distilled down to single causes, but even if you tried, religious reasons would not be the main ones. Political and financial motivations were far bigger factors in both.
NeutralCrane··on Reading for pleasure is sharply down among schoolkids, report shows
It’s absolutely a bad thing, and there’s extensive research demonstrating it
NeutralCrane··on Reading for pleasure is sharply down among schoolkids, report shows
I was going to mention this as well. Everything is a graphic novel these days. Go to the bookstore, and at least half of the shelf space dedicated to children is for graphic novels (and that doesn’t include the manga section). Almost every book series has a graphic novel version. And some of these are just complete skip. Dav Pilkey (Captain Underpants from my days, now DogMan and others) just pumps out the most low effort stuff imaginable.

It’s no surprise kids are reading way behind what previous generations did when this is what they are bombarded with.

NeutralCrane··on Conventional Commits encourages focus on the wrong things
This is the kind of thing where the extent to which people get worked up over it far exceeds the benefit of actually doing so.

Is it theoretically possible that people can write good commit messages without a framework? Yes. Does that work out in practice across entire teams? No. Any kind of a convention for commit messages is an improvement.

Beyond that, type > scope vs scope > type or whatever is splitting hairs. The juice of that debate is not worth the squeeze.

NeutralCrane··on Conventional Commits encourages focus on the wrong things
> fix and refactor

Both fix and refactor are both verbs and nouns

NeutralCrane··on What if remote working, not AI, is to blame for weak junior hiring?
In contrast, when I worked in office, I found these fabled “lunches with the guy in accounts or the women in the sales team” didn’t ever happen. A lot of the mythical spontaneous collaboration that supposedly happens in office seems to be just that: a myth. At least for many.
NeutralCrane··on Snowboard Kids 2 is 100% Decompiled
These games are less niche than you think. I for one played way more Snowboard Kids than SM64.

The other factor to consider is OoT and SM64 are Nintendo properties. Nintendo is one of the most litigious companies in the industry. That alone may shift people away from some of those big name titles owned by them.

NeutralCrane··on Snowboard Kids 2 is 100% Decompiled
My personal opinion is that the very concept of IP misses the mark. “Property” requires scarcity. If I use something, it means someone else can’t use that thing. When I use a house for living, others are unable to do so. When I consume food or water, others people can’t do so.

Ideas aren’t scarce. Someone who reads a book, or looks at a picture, or makes use of a copy of software is not preventing other people from doing so. The idea that an idea can be restricted are given exclusive use to one particular party for any amount of time by law, is dystopic.

NeutralCrane··on Magic the Gathering format: Fun 40
There’s a few modern TCGs who take this approach, like Riftbound (the League of Legends TCG that launched last year) and Sorcery Contested Realm.

Other attempts to fix the mana problem include games like Lorcana and Flesh and Blood, in which cards have dual modes where they can be played or used for resources.

NeutralCrane··on Magic the Gathering format: Fun 40
You might be interested in the relatively new TCG Sorcery: Contested Realm. It’s a a game that plays lands to a grid and creatures on the lands, somewhat like the game you invented. Also has an artistic direction reminiscent of 90s era magic.
NeutralCrane··on Disney erased FiveThirtyEight
Hard to believe that even 10 years later, people who don’t understand probability are still hung up on an event with a 30% chance of happening, happening.
NeutralCrane··on Leaving GitHub for Forgejo
Knowledge being rented out to individuals is the status quo. Already there are court rulings dictating that “training” on data is legal, but model weights also are non-copyrightable, which seems like a step in the direction of sanity.
NeutralCrane··on Utah lawmakers form united front in push to ban prediction markets
You need a prediction market to know if the Second Coming of Christ is imminent?
NeutralCrane··on Utah lawmakers form united front in push to ban prediction markets
I think an on over-fixation on “freedom” is what leads to many of the societal ills we (uniquely) deal with in America.

Freedom itself is itself a nebulous concept. Are my freedoms restricted when I can’t drive 80mph through my neighborhood? Yes. On the flip side I enjoy the “freedom” of living in a more controlled, safer environment. Is a corporation’s freedoms restricted by the laws that prevent them from dumping toxic sludge into the river upstream from me? Yes, but my freedom from living downstream of that pollution is preserved. Are my freedoms preserved when we allow broad access to firearms in this country? Yes, at the cost of my kids freedoms to attend a public school without the risk of being shot by a mentally ill psychopath.

Here we are considering the freedom to destroy your life via gambling vs the freedom from being targeted by corporations with much greater resources than you trying to get you to do so, and the freedoms of your family who may choose to not gamble and still have their lives destroyed as a result.

An “pure” worldview of maximizing personal freedoms over-simplifies the trade-offs and is doomed to fail in the real-world as a result. Realistically maximizing societal well-being requires a more moderate approach.

NeutralCrane··on Leaving GitHub for Forgejo
IP law is a farce, and the open source licenses are built upon that farce. If a single good thing comes out of LLMs, it will be forcing society to recognize “intellectual property” for the dystopic stupidity that it is. I doubt it though.
NeutralCrane··on Tell NYT, Atlantic, USA Today to keep Wayback Machine
I don’t think many people are getting daily news from LLMs. Journalism has been dying since long before LLMs burst onto the scene as well.

There really isn’t even a defensible argument as to how this even should be illegal. The idea that someone can read words about a concept, and then rewording an explanation of that concept somehow violating the rights of the original author, is absurd.

The issue here and elsewhere isn’t LLMs. It’s that IP as a concept has always been a dystopic farce. Despite this we have not only kicked the can down the road on addressing this, we’ve doubled and tripled down and built our society around the concept. The advent of AI has simply blown the scale of the problem up to the point where it cannot be ignored any longer.

NeutralCrane··on Eight vaccines linked to a lower risk of dementia
This is interesting to me given that another factor seemingly correlated with dementia is the bacteria that causes gingivitis. The obvious speculation for a naive layman like myself is if dementia is simply driven by cumulative damage done to the brain by infections pathogens over the course of one’s life.
NeutralCrane··on OpenAI’s o1 correctly diagnosed 67% of ER patients vs. 50-55% by triage doctors
There’s really nothing preventing an LLM from having the context a doctor does. The two avenues of context gathering by the doctor are:

- looking at their medical history/charts

- asking follow up questions

An LLM based system is trivially capable of doing both of those.

NeutralCrane··on OpenAI’s o1 correctly diagnosed 67% of ER patients vs. 50-55% by triage doctors
They aren’t objectively incorrect. You are conflating two things:

- You aren’t considered to have a fever until you get to 100.4. Anything less than that isn’t considered a fever, let alone a concerning one

- A fever isn’t considered concerning (ie dangerous) until it reaches about 104. Anything between 100.4 and 104 is just a regular fever and isn’t considered concerning.

NeutralCrane··on Pulitzer Prize Winners 2026
There is a significant chance they do get away with it.
NeutralCrane··on Rumor: Disney to Remove Star Wars Sequel Trilogy from Timeline
I don’t think “the idea that our hero could be--gasp--a person of NON-royal lineage!” was even in the top 10 of the biggest issues people had with that movie.
NeutralCrane··on AI Will Be Met with Violence, and Nothing Good Will Come of It
The point is that the same thing is likely to occur with the arts
NeutralCrane··on AI Will Be Met with Violence, and Nothing Good Will Come of It
This will literally never happen so it is not worth considering
NeutralCrane··on AI Will Be Met with Violence, and Nothing Good Will Come of It
This might be a solution if there wasn’t staggering wealth inequality prior to AI.
NeutralCrane··on Polymarket gamblers betting millions on war
You say that as if there aren’t an enormous amount of people for whom $2500 isn’t an enormous amount of money. Even in wealthy nations like the US, that equates to approximately 7% of the personal income for the average person. But for the 65% of the world’s population living on $10 or less per day, that is an increase of 77% or more on their yearly income.

But more important than the cash is the power that money buys. Defenestrating the uber-wealthy of their undue influence in society would have far reaching benefits beyond just money in people’s bank accounts.

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