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JumpCrisscross

191,129 karma · joined May 31, 2011

Ski. Fly. Growth equity VC.
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JumpCrisscross··on Plunging test scores are a slow-moving catastrophe
Is there a good science fiction story where humanity discovers it’s unalterably getting dumber? As in within a fixed number of generations tool use will cease?
JumpCrisscross··on Plunging test scores are a slow-moving catastrophe
> It doesn't have to be a conspiracy

“Versus” implies intent. Apollo owning McGraw Hill doesn’t explain falling scores across the entire OECD.

JumpCrisscross··on Plunging test scores are a slow-moving catastrophe
I’d honestly argue—in 2026—it’s more important for Americans to understand black history today than the Vietnam war. The idiots who keep propelling Presidents into the Oval who repeat Vietnam’s mistakes in Iraq, Afghanistan and now Iran are folks with a terrible understanding of our racial history and way too much surface knowledge about big guns and materiel.

What currently constitutes these studies seems to be a mix of propaganda and bullshit. But that sort of underlines the point that we have an impoverished set of common facts.

JumpCrisscross··on Plunging test scores are a slow-moving catastrophe
> Perhaps teachers are just useless

Teachers collectively became useless a decade ago? As a cohort? They were fine until then, but then suddenly collectively and globally decided to start sucking?

JumpCrisscross··on Plunging test scores are a slow-moving catastrophe
We haven’t had a pandemic between 2022 and 2026. The 2018 trend continues. That strongly suggests a common effect across both samples.
JumpCrisscross··on Jury finds Facebook liable for deceiving users in Cambridge Analytica case
Bloat is real. One can simplify an organization while making it more effective. California broadly seems to be in the overcomplicated/ineffective quadrant.
JumpCrisscross··on Jury finds Facebook liable for deceiving users in Cambridge Analytica case
> Nobody's asking for more bureaucracy

Very few are also asking for less bureaucracy, which in this case could potentially increase state capacity to pursue civic goals.

JumpCrisscross··on Jury finds Facebook liable for deceiving users in Cambridge Analytica case
> Bad execution doesn't make the idea wrong

It does raise the question of the value of California’s bureaucratic burden.

JumpCrisscross··on One Piece of Flock Camera Data Put This Innocent Woman in Jail for 13 Days
What is the age-education surface for Flock support?
JumpCrisscross··on Revealing the details of how OpenAI agents hacked Hugging Face
We need an NTSB for AI. Let’s just start with mandatory reporting to an agency with subpoena power.
JumpCrisscross··on Meta's Muse appears to use an OpenAI model labeled muse-special
OpenAI isn’t public. It doesn’t file forms 10-Q.
JumpCrisscross··on Gravity seems holographic. What does that mean for reality?
If unitarity and the no-hiding theorem are true and the Big Bag emerged from a point, doesn’t it follow that all the information about the universe was once contained in a dimensionless point?
JumpCrisscross··on International observers to investigate Swedish election fraud
Sure. Still not "investigate." The editorialized title takes what may have been a real issue and, by misrepresenting it, makes it look like a nutjob convention.
JumpCrisscross··on International observers to investigate Swedish election fraud
Sure. But it’s incorrect to say international bodies are investigating. They don’t do that when they haven’t observed.
JumpCrisscross··on Allow Carriers on Planes
A heavy rigid object can cause injury in regular turbulence. No crash needed. That would be the danger I’d want tested for. And unless the person bringing the carrier is expected to be liable when their carrier injures someone, it winds up being another liability for the airlines.
JumpCrisscross··on Allow Carriers on Planes
Not a crash. A badly-secured heavy object will injure someone in turbulence where otherwise no injury would have occurred.
JumpCrisscross··on International observers to investigate Swedish election fraud
> good I say

It looks like credible evidence has been raised. But I see zero evidence any international organizations are investigating in the way that term is usually used. “Have taken note of” is more accurate.

JumpCrisscross··on International observers to investigate Swedish election fraud
Translated https://translate.kagi.com/www.tv4.se/artikel/37VDHaUBmbgXCI.... Title seems editorialised.

TL; DR There are allegations this source brought up which don't seem to have any official corroboration. TV4SE met with election observers, but I see no evidence any credible observers have said they will "invetigate" as no observers were sent to the election. The most ODIHR have said is that they would consider this when deciding whether to send observers in the future.

JumpCrisscross··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
> otherwise we would expect changes in e.g. mortgage interest costs to be passed on

These aren't a universal cost. When rates change, some landlords' costs go up. But some don't. That lets the latter set the marginal price.

If everyone's costs go up the same amount, it's collusion without communication. In an inelastic market like San Francisco's, you'd expect prices to rise.

JumpCrisscross··on F-Droid 2.0
Offered but less broadly adopted. Having a platform that doesn't tend to get infected when used by normal users helped with that.
JumpCrisscross··on F-Droid 2.0
> That device was called personal computer

To be fair, mobile phones being locked down probably contributed to the mass adoption of e.g. mobile payments and banking.

JumpCrisscross··on Oracle cites 'force majeure' to shield itself on controversial data center
It costs about 4x to insure against Oracle’s credit risk as it does against a generic North American investment-grade issuer [1]. That divergence is almost entirely a product of 2026.

[1] https://www.ft.com/content/82dbd39c-f8dd-4ef1-8a80-d430a2257...

JumpCrisscross··on Oracle cites 'force majeure' to shield itself on controversial data center
This is closer to you got a permit and then it got revoked for no reason under your control.
JumpCrisscross··on Feds Target AI Critics as "Foreign Agents"
> Data center investment is the only thing keeping GDP positive

This is an incentive to build. Not to manage downside risk.

JumpCrisscross··on Feds Target AI Critics as "Foreign Agents"
Because nobody in charge is sane and sober.
JumpCrisscross··on Italian parliament votes for return to nuclear energy
Power is an input. If it isn’t profitable it needs to be subsidized from elsewhere.

Healthcare is the same. It just turns out subsidizing it from wages works because healthy people are more productive.

Profitability isn’t a hard limit. But if something isn’t internally profitable, it requires an external partner to get going.

JumpCrisscross··on UK military jamming other nations' satellites to defend itself, BBC told
We’re not at nor heading towards peace. Pax Americana is failing. There isn’t a hippies-and-unicorns exist from that structure, not in a disorderly way.
JumpCrisscross··on UK military jamming other nations' satellites to defend itself, BBC told
I’d assume one of the things you’d do in anticipation of a war of space-denial scale it bomb your own landscapes a bit for this reason.
JumpCrisscross··on Claude discovers a novel enzyme system with CRISPR-like repeats
> Dario believes that the solution to AI's PR problem is to cure cancer

He isn’t wrong. But selling potential cures for cancer won’t cut it.

JumpCrisscross··on What California is learning from solar panels built over irrigation canals
No ROI estimates?
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