[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ludington_Pumped_Storage_Power...
6,750 karma · joined March 22, 2013
Makes web. Mostly Rails. Not too much.
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ludington_Pumped_Storage_Power...
This seems like a truly wild prediction to me.
LLMs can synthesize data in useful ways for all sorts of purposes, and I can see how they could be helpful in the process of a human editing and refining a work of fiction they are creating, but I can't imagine why I'd ever tolerate a work of fiction actually generated by an LLM.
The authorship and craft matters, the translation of human feeling and thought to the page matters. This isn't code where it either does what it's supposed to or does not.
Fiction from a machine is of no value.
Google acting like a normal but competent company that's just chugging away, meanwhile the hype cycle is propping up its upstart competitors to truly ludicrous valuations.
Buy and hold real estate, maybe?
I don't think you can really short this because you can't time it. But you can move assets to things that are 1) concrete 2) have utility and 3) that the US gov't won't allow to lose real value for political reasons.
The machine is really good at working the spec on its own now, which is amazing, science fiction shit. But you've still got a garbage in, garbage out problem at the end of the day, which is pretty much the only hope we who work in software have of remaining somehow employed.
And to elaborate on the stupidity, blue states send more taxes to the federal government, which then doles them back out to subsidize the low cost of living in red states.
So you end up with people in dense urban areas sending tax dollars to Washington, then begging to get the taxes their own citizens paid back, in support of building the infrastructure projects they want locally.
Like a lot of his peers, the first Trump administration seemed to unlock a permission structure to be increasingly reactionary in public, facilitated by the overt political bias of Musk's X. We've now reached a point where this sort of "vice signaling" is a great way to gain clout in the overtly nativist tech bro niche in the US.
Which is to say, he wasn't always like this, and it feels like each new blog post is getting worse in a way that, if I were at Basecamp, I might have initially overlooked as the frog was slowly boiled.
I feel like you can still be an AI maximalist while thinking the numbers simply don't add up.
The problem as I see it is that this is a zero sum game. Nobody has a moat. Even if AI eats all white collar work, where's the profit for these entities? They become commodities and they will compete with each other (and open weight models) only on price, not to mention the workers who lose their jobs to this stuff aren't going to be contributing to the economy at all.
It uses cloud-init for the initial setup and injects the agent's config file and some other stuff in a ro mount from my laptop. That single subdirectory is mounted rw into a conventional location inside the VM. I inject only credentials to e.g. test environments that don't matter if they're exposed. The agent context instructs it that it can use full sudo and install any utilities from apt that it needs.
So for the ux I do incus-dev-vm.sh shell <projname> or incus-dev-vm.sh opencode <projname> etc.
A fun thing about this is I used nested virt to have the agent write the script - so I spooled up an incus VM myself first, then the agent can run with full privs inside there creating nested VMs to ensure its functionality.
Right now I'm not filtering anything on the VM - with my threat model only limited access is granted and I don't give creds to touch real infra. But you should be able to filter it on the host (I haven't researched the best approach however).
I feel like the most pragmatic perspective is "trust but verify."
This is why they're so effective at coding: you can run the code yourself (or the test suite) to verify that it actually does what it's supposed to.
And maybe these people finding hallucinated results on Rachel's site are doing verification too.
It hardly matters that it's vibe coded and ugly if it works well... and it does (for me).
Saving a few CPU cycles and reducing RAM utilization on my local system isn't going to meaningfully improve anything in and of itself; the wall time is all bounded by the model or by the code it's invoking (i.e. compiling or running the test suite).
So while you can't remove "hallucinations" they're corrected before the process is complete, albeit at the cost of more tokens for verification.
Ever since I started running coding agents with shell access I've jailed them inside of VMs. Since I run Linux I can just use incus[0] for the VM management layer.
It's extremely simple, and you can vibe code a shell script to customize your workflow in a few minutes.
This sort of thing is why I'm hopeful I'll continue to have employment going forward. Some expertise is hard won and there's just no replacing learning through experience.
I used to think the HN policy of "do not discuss politics unless it intersects with tech or is novel" was useful, but lately I feel this perspective is part of how we got here, with a white supremacist controlling more wealth than any other human and exerting political influence in heretofore unseen ways. We've decided it's OK to simply look the other way if there's some shiny bauble, and we've missed the forest through the trees.
Musk doesn't do anything that is not politics. This must be called out more, not less, and we need to bring shame back for supporting such an agenda.
Those side effects are more problematic when used chronically. This is when acetaminophen shines, because it has virtually no side effects at all when used as directed.
TFA is probably overly inflammatory but it's worth pointing out how this loss leader cycle works.
These companies are not your friends, they're burning VC money to subsidize services before the eventual rug pull, enshittification is coming.
GPT 5.5's double token cost was the threshold for me. These things are getting expensive quickly - the subsidized pricing can't go on forever.
Ride hail app? Transit fare app? Government ID app? Airline app? Maybe you don't need them yet, but the best way to model this future is to consider what you'd do if you didn't have a phone at all, and the amount of friction this will generate as the expectations are only entrenched and expanded.
I'm glad people are saying no. It's good to do it as long as we can. But the final outcome seems inevitable now and to me it feels very close.
I'm an engineer and use my coding agent to deal with PDFs all the time. It can reach for unix tools if it needs them.
I don't think I understand why this is a problem - it uses tokens, but it removes drudgery. This is the entire promise of the technology.
Does it really matter how much the minority party is pissed though? The American public knew how corrupt this guy was, shrugged, and voted him back into office.
If Democrats do win back the house and senate it will only be by the thinnest of margins. There seems to be little appetite to fix any of these structural problems outside of the "Democratic base."
I mean, they shouldn't do this but clearly they can rule however they want with any pretext they want, because they answer to nobody but themselves. Who's going to tell them they can't do something? Who is left to appeal to?
It's a deeply corrupt and undemocratic institution, with virtually unchecked power to rewrite legislation and even the Constitution at a whim.
I think it's easy for China to be more open right now (and Western governments to essentially not worry about it yet) because they're playing catchup.
If we reach some endpoint where American models stop improving for the general public and only party apparatchiks and sycophantic oligarchs can access them, the situation is different. Chinese models could exceed the publicly available SOTA, and surely they would close off their own models in the same way.
What metric are you using for "better" here? If I've got a straightforward task GPT 5.5 is going to 1shot it anyway.