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ErikVandeWater

2,328 karma · joined May 22, 2015

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ErikVandeWater··on Why You Should Not Use Ivermectin to Treat or Prevent Covid-19
You do realize the Covid vaccine is extremely expensive in many parts of the world and not everyone will be vaccinated, correct?

It is frightening how people will apply no common sense before attacking any group of people that isn't 100% on board with their solution to a problem.

ErikVandeWater··on Why You Should Not Use Ivermectin to Treat or Prevent Covid-19
> But those studies are small, not statistically strong, and not all necessarily trustworthy.

All of the Ivermectin studies are small?

ErikVandeWater··on Facebook has exempted high-profile users from some or all of its rules
Reddit could change their TOS tomorrow to prevent users from moderating more than 2 subreddits if they wanted; others would take their place. But the mods of subreddits that have not been banned are advertiser friendly.
ErikVandeWater··on Facebook has exempted high-profile users from some or all of its rules
> You have to remember that high profile accounts get 10000x the number of abuse-reports than a normal account - nearly all bogus. The normal automated moderation functions simply do not work.

You would think with the literal legion of geniuses Facebook has they would have a smarter way of handling reports than simply counting them and taking down content that receives over X reports.

ErikVandeWater··on As a virologist I’m shocked my work has been hijacked by anti-vaxxers
> There's no evidence of any risk of mRNA vaccines at all.

You need to add "short run" since these vaccines have not been tested long term. Not to say it is likely at all since other mRNA vaccines have not had long run issues, but to say there is "no evidence" is cheap when long run studies have not been conducted.

ErikVandeWater··on As a virologist I’m shocked my work has been hijacked by anti-vaxxers
> There's no legitimate reason to doubt the safety or the efficacy of these vaccines such that the benefits of immunity don't vastly outweigh the reason.

This doesn't apply to all age groups, even if you trust the FDA implicitly. The vaccines are not approved for children under 12 because the proven benefits do not exceed the risks. The benefit of the vaccine slides dramatically with existing health and age; 12-17 year olds that are healthy will receive virtually no benefit from the vaccine.

ErikVandeWater··on Australia’s new mass surveillance mandate
If lockdowns are "necessary" then there are other things like taxing unhealthy foods and dedicating the economy to produce enough N95 masks that are vastly more necessary.
ErikVandeWater··on Australia’s new mass surveillance mandate
This is pretty disrespectful to people actually living under dictatorships.
ErikVandeWater··on Australia’s new mass surveillance mandate
> If you have punitive anti-drinking policy, and a racial group susceptible to that problem, it becomes a racist policy.

No it doesn't. A law does not become racist when one race disproportionately breaks it, otherwise every law everywhere would be racist.

ErikVandeWater··on The SEC has told us it wants to sue us over Lend. We don’t know why
After reading the description of Coinbase Lend in this article I have no idea what it is.
ErikVandeWater··on The ACLU, Prior to Covid, Denounced Mandates and Coercive Measures for Pandemics
> “The law enforcement approach to public health offers a rationale for the endless suspension of civil liberties,” they explained. Using post-9/11 expansions of state power as its framework, the group explained that “the ‘Global War on Terror' may go on for a generation, but the war on disease will continue until the end of the human race. There will always be a new disease, always the threat of a new pandemic. If that fear justifies the suspension of liberties and the institution of an emergency state, then freedom and the rule of law will be permanently suspended.”
ErikVandeWater··on Netflix is not a tech company (2019)
I would say strategy evaluation is more valuable on the investing side than real-world.

Investing in companies with strategic advantages is much more profitable that trying to find the one commodity company out of thousands that are able to escape from the fires of intense competition.

Strategy is also how you avoid having to delight your customers to be profitable. Just get a new law passed that is inconvenient for your competitors to follow.

Delighting customers is also hard because people are unreasonable and unpredictable. Try selling an app. Even if your app adds lots of value over your competitor, people aren't used to spending money on apps. I would guess the vast majority of apps that make money play into people's addictions and get 1% of their users to buy pay-to-win items or custom skins for their players/items. Only the unreasonable people actually make these companies any money.

ErikVandeWater··on Incident: Airbus A330 at Taipei, primary computers failed on touchdown (2020)
Well using sprinklers to wet the initial part of the tarmac would work. But the safety folks don't have an understanding of nuance that a runway where just the first 300 feet is wet is different from the runway being fully wet.
ErikVandeWater··on Media trust hits new low
> 2) Other names on American minorities with a shared heritage is already capitalized, like Latino and Asian.

What is the definition of "shared heritage" such that everyone but Whites have shared heritage?

ErikVandeWater··on Media trust hits new low
I'll add Stossel to a list of good-to-follows for independent takes.

Here's a video of him directly asking politicians at a city council meeting about corruption with a local developer: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=99IeGqIIHj4

They have since approved a project that was competing with the corrupt developer and the corrupt developer is facing federal charges: https://apnews.com/article/f7a7fdb3057548009072601729a2dc2c

ErikVandeWater··on Media trust hits new low
I don't have an answer but these two YouTube channels look like what I hope the answer looks like:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_42LVirfNI

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IXIxhF21qO4

ErikVandeWater··on Incident: Airbus A330 at Taipei, primary computers failed on touchdown (2020)
It's very odd they don't do anything to speed up the wheels or apply a coating of water to them on dry days to avoid extreme wear and excess rubber for future planes landing.

Even a passive design with the shape of the tread could help substantially reduce the amount of rubber scraped off the wheel on each landing.

ErikVandeWater··on Doctors and pharmacists ramp up calls for Americans to stop using ivermectin
We can see from this and other examples how the CDC lying to the public has backfired immensely.

Not that the CDC is incentivized much to care. The bigger the crisis the bigger the funding.

ErikVandeWater··on Facebook Apologizes After A.I. Puts “Primates” Label on Video of Black Men
People are saying that this is a very difficult problem to solve. It is not.

The problem is not classifying people as "animals;" the problem is classifying people as a known stereotype. Make a list of every animal/thing that correlates to a known stereotype in humans. Then program your AI to never classify those animals/things.

It is not a big deal if your AI isn't able to detect gorillas. That doesn't really affect UX.

I will add that just because it is an easy problem to solve does not mean they should solve it. An AI classifying someone as something else should be something to laugh at, not take offense to.

ErikVandeWater··on [dead]
The original interview is very carefully edited so the doctor's words can be interpreted as Ivermectin overdose being the exclusive cause of hospital bed shortage.

https://kfor.com/news/local/patients-overdosing-on-ivermecti...

ErikVandeWater··on Retailers are spending millions to combat organized theft from stores
My guess is it's the same situation as Seattle; Prosecutors in California refuse to prosecute these cases, meaning the cops refuse to waste time trying to apprehend them.

Here's an excellent clip about a famous criminal living free in Seattle that happily expounds on his illegal activity: https://youtu.be/bpAi70WWBlw?t=868

ErikVandeWater··on Dutch entrepreneurs avoiding negative interest by opening multiple bank accounts
Maybe at one point 250k was serious money, but now I would imagine the figure would need to be a lot higher.
ErikVandeWater··on One housing project epic battle in SF, where the real enemy is city red tape
Another example: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ExgxwKnH8y4

Politicians don't want private industry affordable housing because they don't get any credit for it. They rather have almost no housing for the less fortunate but the tiny bit that is affordable they get credit for.

ErikVandeWater··on The Sunk Cost Fallacy
The sunk cost fallacy is also where we get tremendous motivation. A story of a Navy SEAL who spent months trying to find a doctor to get an expensive and dangerous heart surgery so he could qualify for SEAL training comes to mind.
ErikVandeWater··on I'm a Coffee Roaster: Here's What You're Doing Wrong That's Ruining Your Coffee
Probably highly depends on where you are.

Tap water could also improve the taste the way NY tap water supposedly makes the pizza taste good.

ErikVandeWater··on In a patch of Arizona, everyone knows Waymo, but few use it
The question isn't whether it's used much but whether it's at full capacity.

Waymo might as well use it in the suburbs where there are less corner case situations if it's at full capacity. The article suggests it is not used at full capacity, but isn't clear.

ErikVandeWater··on Adult Obesity Facts
Artificial sweeteners haven't had the effect of making people thinner in the real world because it affects your sense of taste and the microbiome in your digestive system.

> Dr. Robert Lustig, an obesity expert and professor emeritus at the University of California, San Francisco, said that artificial sweeteners confuse the body: Their sweet flavors send a signal to the brain and the digestive system to brace for a flood of sugar. But when those calories never arrive, it can send hormones like insulin out of whack, over time leading to metabolic dysfunction, he said. > “The short answer is that artificial sweeteners are probably better than sugar, but not by much,” Dr. Lustig said.

NYT: https://archive.ph/MoRg7#selection-887.0-891.114

The difference between smoking and vaping is far more vast than the difference between sugar and artificial sugar

ErikVandeWater··on Adult Obesity Facts
Sugar and its synthetic brothers are addictive. Sugar addiction should be classified as an addiction and given the same sort of attention and funding that alcohol and drug addictions receive.
ErikVandeWater··on Delta Air Lines doesn’t want to call delta variant the ‘delta variant’
That would enrage the outrage mob.
ErikVandeWater··on FBI Palantir glitch allowed unauthorized access to private data
> "Government agency is incompetent" is a very potent narrative that blocks the usual expectation that cloud products should be difficult to use insecurely.

Whether the government purchased a defective product that was insecure or misused a good product, the government should be held to account for the failure, same as with any company.

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