1,847 karma · joined August 8, 2007
There will be a new backend released soon that should really improve our ability to transfer and backup versioned data.
Second and less talked about, there are consequences of a false negative population which is NOT handled appropriately -- like not letting people know if they test negative they STILL should stay away from high-risk population or take precautions like you still could be infected. That directive has been circulated a little but most people I've seen don't know that. The news reporters don't ask Pence about serial tests. They seem satisfied he had one negative test.
Once again, and I don't know how many times I have to say this, I'm not against widespread testing of the current RT-PCR swab, particularly if we had lots of tests, didn't have PPE shortages in the area, and guidance was given to all those receiving results. Your contention that accuracy doesn't matter is incorrect. It matters because false negatives matter and it's great to do testing to decrease the spread, which is pretty obvious, but you absolutely need additional management depending on accuracy. Like not setting the standard of working with high-risk patients as a single negative test. They need to be tested serially and hopefully get a more accurate test for nursing home workers in future. Like not assuming Pence isn't spreading disease because of a single negative test. He could be one of the many asymptomatic infected. This has been my point for this entire thread. I'll leave you to argue something different.
Yes, it certainly is. Did I ever say we shouldn't test? Did I ever argue testing couldn't be improved? Suggest you argue points that were actually put forth instead of using straw men arguments. Re-read the last line of my original post. I'm all in favor of trying to find positive cases.
Here's where we agree. We agree that the only way this can be contained is massive lockdowns, and I believe this particularly true in the face of unreliable and unavailable testing. I also think it has to be coordinated across the country to prevent constant reseeding. We agree that testing everyone would've been good, particularly in the containment phase, but that ship has sailed.
My original point is that under the current system where we are occasionally testing the public at large, and also using swab RT-PCR just after suspected infected contact (way before symptoms like Pence, etc), the variable sensitivity is troubling.
Are you aware that the sensitivity quoted was mostly in symptomatic and hospitalized patients and not those in the very earliest stages who could also be shedding less virus?
Are you aware that each false negative can infect N others, some of whom might have also been previously tested, and also be greenlit to deal with high-risk populations like nursing homes?
Are you aware that your 4^x vs 1^x comparison assumes that in that chain everyone is tested, which is not even close to the case now.
So if you are "negative" with say a 80% sensitivity, that leaves a lot of room for actually infected people to think they are in the clear. There's a reason why screening tests need to be highly accurate. I'm all in favor of at least recognizing the positives and quarantining them, but with a high R0 disease, the false negatives could be a problem.
Significant lung and myocardial injury and papers have honed in on ARDS as a real problem.
On antibiotics, aside from secondary infections, there’s a paper out talking about azithromycin: “Our preliminary results also suggest a synergistic effect of the combination of hydroxychloroquine and azithromycin. Azithromycin has been shown to be active in vitro against Zika and Ebola viruses [20-22] and to prevent severe respiratory tract infections when administrated to patients suffering viral infection [23].”
Not sure of they used azithromycin but would’ve been good to see that verified.
I really disliked Fauci's comments that "the risk is low" to the American population, pointing to the rate of infection. He hedges this with some hand waving that it could change at any moment. I thought it was irresponsible to say the risk is low when they hadn't done any real testing and we've actually got outbreaks like in Kirkland. Regarding his comment that the WHO fatality rate is too high because of asymptomatic population and the denominator in reality is much higher. Fine. But he doesn't acknowledge that the numerator might be much higher as well. How many 80+ year olds, especially those with preexisting conditions, die and are assumed to have just passed from old age and the preexisting conditions. It is a characteristic of this virus that the people getting killed are the most likely ones not to raise huge red flags early. So in general, I would've preferred him to not say anything about risk until we actually get more numbers and real testing within our population. The average fatality rate hides the fact that this virus is very dangerous to the elderly.
Question: Aside from what I assume are massive error bars on projecting economic growth due to scientific models 80 years in the future, I read that most of the models do not assume climate change impacts actual growth and therefore is exempt from compounding. On the other hand they use compounding to extrapolate growth. It seems odd that escalating climate damages as outlined in the reports would not impose a sizable tax. Anyone with more detailed knowledge of long-term economic projections care to comment on this?
One example is to look at how Go handles the Image package vs other languages with generics. https://golang.org/pkg/image/
User-space network driver? The benchmarks group Go closer to Rust with Java / C# way behind: https://github.com/ixy-languages/ixy-languages
This would be a very complex comparison and simple analogies do us a disservice. I think the author's blanket statement that Go is faster than Java / C# also seems too broad.
I’ve only skimmed the whitepaper and the consensus check against conflicts seems to be a series of methods with escalating computational cost. I think they assume Atoms (e.g., Transfer Atoms) won’t grow so big that they span massive numbers of shards.
I agree about the proliferation of buzzwords. Why not use Ledger instead of “Universe”?
Not sure how the eventual consistency model works in an economic context, although that’s how ATMs work.
https://docs.radixdlt.com/alpha/learn/whitepapers/tempo
The conclusion in the paper:
“This paper has proposed a method for determining total order of events within a distributed system, without relying on trust, that is scalable, efficient and agnostic to its operating environment. To reduce overhead and increase performance, our solution defines a structured, shardable architecture that limits state transfer information to only members of the network that need it. A peer-to peer network provides the means for communication and information routing via a reliable and robust gossip protocol. Nodes maintain a logical clock when witnessing events and periodically produce a tamper-proof commitment representing those events. When witnessing events, nodes collaborate to create Temporal Proofs which contain verifiable space-time coordinates which are used to construct vector clocks and determine when an event was first seen by the network. Nodes can join and leave the network at will and rely on detectable consistency anomalies to synchronize and bring them up to date.”
The periodically produced commitment log is done with a Merkle tree.
https://go.nature.com/2x8zE68 (Janelia Nature Index FC = 36.41)
vs
https://go.nature.com/2RsQl5n (CSHL Nature Index FC = 31.24)
So the denominator for the # of articles per Dimensions must be much higher or N/A and disqualifies some institutions? Unfortunately the Dimensions article count isn't viewable for any institution not making the top 100 list.