Has anyone done statistical analysis on the accuracy of 'predictions' by SF authors? Are some really more visionary than others?
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Has anyone done statistical analysis on the accuracy of 'predictions' by SF authors? Are some really more visionary than others?
The reality is we as developers choose not to give languages
enough context to accurately infer the lifetime of objects.
The reality is we as developers choose not to give languages enough context to just do what I mean. instead of finding a way of expressing when we're done with instances
So, when are you done with an instance? How to enumerate all possible situations and devise a comprehensible encoding for them? Without requiring developers to keep a lookup table of lifetime declarations or other non-local reasoning in mind? Concurrency. Laziness. Runtime code replacement.You're handwaving over fundamental research problems here. You don't know this is even possible in a way that doesn't completely hose the comprehensibility of a language.
There is huge difference between driving in front and driving in second place. Between having one good teammate with you and not having one. Between having a good day and a just-so day.
How can you ensure others do as much of the 'upfront' work as you? How can you try to prevent others from benefiting from your teammates? How can you prevent one just-so day from ruining a multi-day tour?
That all requires communication, negotiation, deals. Sometimes the deal is just the default: every few km we switch positions. Your behaviour is your acknowledgement of the deal. Sometimes the deal is more intricate.
Example: you broke away with two competitors who are in the same team. If you work together you are 90% likely to take all three places on the podium. You can offer them places 1 and 3. If they try to shake you off they will probably succeed, but both you and them are less likely to make the podium at all. What do you do? Take an 90% chance on a second place or try for a maybe 30% chance to become first?
What if second place nets you 50K?
These kinds of introductions always read like "we're going to combine these and these and these awesome features from all your favorite languages" and well, what's not to like? Wouldn't everyone want this? So I can't help but wonder: why didn't anyone previously succeed at creating such a language? What are you going to do differently?
How many where neither a phone nor camera is, or was, involved?
Without numbers to compare the reported numbers against, this tells us nothing.
[1] https://quant.stackexchange.com/questions/84/transformation-...
One is that you get exactly 1 week of paid leave.
The other is the right to take 26 weeks of unpaid ‘parental leave’ during the first 9 years, which is often used to e.g. start working 4 days a week (the leave is used at a rate of 1 day per week then; you could also use it for taking half a year off at once).
I think the average joe is generally more reasonable and
able to develop critical thinking skills than most people
think
You think wrong. You would like this to be the case and you let the desire cloud your judgment. It's simply not the case. The research is squarely against you. They just don't ever get the opportunity to learn it properly.
That's irrelevant. The point is that they never learned and cannot be expected to learn anym ore. We have to care for these people, instead of expecting them to take care of it themselves, telling them they are capable of it. Because they aren't and they don't. This sentiment is one of the reasons anti-intellectualism is thriving at this very moment.
This is not a sentiment: these are facts.At least 10% of people are functionally illiterate. How are you going to teach them critical thinking skills? How are you going to get them to see the truth about e.g. vaccination? Answer: you don't. This is where we need a government, to take care of those that do not, for whatever reason, take care of themselves.
[1] https://slatestarcodex.com/2018/07/10/melatonin-much-more-th...
That’s why I said I hoped you were trolling, because the alternative is that you have a strong opinion about something which you have thought insufficiently about.
If you present this as a plug-in that allows you to view websites as the Google bot views them, for educational and debugging purposes, there is no problem. You can give the fact that it won’t see the paywall as an example. It’s actually useful for that purpose: you are not lying. It’s just that most people will install the plugin for its ‘side effects’. Their use of it will still be illegal, but the intent will not be illegal. Cf. Firearms, crypto, drugs, ...
(I say this as someone that pays for various journalistic sources and I encourage everyone to pay for at least their three favorite sources)
before the world can build artificial intelligence, it must
explain human intelligence so it can create machines that
genuinely work like the brain
Why must intelligent machines work like the human brain? It’s just an accidental result of evolution and doesn’t define what ‘intelligence’ is?Not necessarily. This can be viewed as a case of vaccines-cause-autism. The proper scientific answer there is to prevent endless repetition of the same boring, already sufficiently disproven, 'good points'.
His observations/facts/data can be explained in a number of different ways, if you take into account that there are sociological factors to consider. Even in physics just taking the data 'as is' is not acceptable: you need to check whether the data is reasonable. In these case there are huge questions to be answered: why do women publish fewer papers? Why do they get cited less? If the answer is 'because of sexism', then the argument presented by this physicist is a circular argument.