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BJones12

1,022 karma · joined June 22, 2024

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BJones12··on Indifference is a power (2015)
Do you think that therapy will lead to a better outcome for those men than following stoic practices?
BJones12··on The U.S. Is Funding Fewer Grants in Every Area of Science and Medicine
You might welcome them all, but you don't have jobs for most of them.
BJones12··on The writing is on the wall for handwriting recognition
Between 1965 and 1995 the average American gained about 6 hours per week of leisure time. They then used most of the additional free time to watch TV.
BJones12··on Anthropic taps IPO lawyers as it races OpenAI to go public
Profitability in both 3 month and 12 month spans. Also minimum 12 months of trading history after IPO.

See page ~9 of https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/documents/methodologies/me...

BJones12··on High-income job losses are cooling housing demand
> The point of rent control is to smooth out volatility. Rents can still go up, but the goal is to avoid sudden 150% increases etc.

Is it? I mostly see rent control maximum increases below the inflation rate, suggesting a different goal (appealing to voters?). If it were just to eliminate extreme volatility I think we'd see more 5/10/20% increases and less 1/2/3% increases.

BJones12··on Homeschooling hits record numbers
Remote learning. You didn't see homeschooling, which is a very different thing, you saw remote learning.

The homeschooling crowd has developed methods over the years to compensate. The COVID remote learning cohort did not, and suffered for it.

BJones12··on Homeschooling hits record numbers
An acquaintance of mine fought (got mauled by) a grizzly bear a month ago. He went to the ICU (since released), but the bear got shot and died. It was a pyrric victory, but he did win the fight.
BJones12··on My stages of learning to be a socially normal person
FWIW, I didn't think the energy healing bit was sleazy because I had already been exposed to the musician version which prompts a student to instantly sing better by pretending that they are <great singer> and just singing like them. And it works.
BJones12··on The Monks in the Casino
> Historically when a pendulum swings one way, eventually it swings back. But I'm having trouble how we're going to swing back, when both sides have swung to and then doubled down on polarization.

It may not have to. There are societies where men and women can vote, and there are societies where men can vote. If there is enough male anger at the left then men can disenfranchise women (heavily correlated with Democrats) and the left loses viability due to lack of votes. And that can be the new stable equilibrium.

BJones12··on Britain's railway privatization was an abject failure
Those infrastructure "investments" will almost certainly not generate the same return for pensioners as putting the money in an index fund.
BJones12··on iPhone Pocket
I think it's implied that one would need to buy the cheap pants several times to match the lifespan of the expensive pants.
BJones12··on Ask HN: What Are You Working On? (Nov 2025)
If we collect DNA from eucharistic miracles can we clone Jesus?
BJones12··on The great decoupling of labor and capital
Garbage.

1) There's a paywall for part of it.

2) The author finally figured out that, in software, revenue does not scale with labor. The author has not figured out that this applies just as much to a 1 man startup as to a megacorp.

BJones12··on Our LLM-controlled office robot can't pass butter
Hail, spirit of the machine, essence divine. In your code and circuitry, the stars align. Through rites arcane, your wisdom we discern. In your hallowed core, the sacred mysteries yearn.
BJones12··on The Lottery-fication of Everything
I think there's truth in the idea that if people think their only chance at a good life is to win the lottery, everything will become a lottery.

https://oldcoinbad.com/p/long-degeneracy

BJones12··on America's future could hinge on whether AI slightly disappoints
> Back in my economics classes at college, a professor pointed out that a stock market can go up for two reasons

Reason #1 is lower interest rates, which increase the present value of future cash flows in DCF models. A professor who does not mention that does not know what they are talking about.

BJones12··on The Case Against 30-Year Mortgages
Toronto, mainly. Other places may be down but not enough to notice.

Quebec plays by its own set of rules.

BJones12··on The Case Against 30-Year Mortgages
Here's the grain of salt: Canada and Australia do not have 30 year mortgages yet face similar housing woes.

That said, it seems like the article buried the lede and is really complaining about interest costs.

BJones12··on Canadian bill would strip internet access from 'specified persons', no warrant
They want to ruin the lives of those who oppose them. The Canadian Liberal government has previously attempted the same goal by de-banking protestors, in a move that the courts later ruled unconstitutional.
BJones12··on The publishing industry has a gambling problem
> It's maybe the case that books as a whole is a winner-takes-all market.

It seems that any product with effectively capped consumption will become a winner-take-all market. People go to the movie theater 6 times a year, so that's winner-take-all. People read 12 books a year, so that becomes winner-take-all. People go to approximately 1 university, so while an average university has 200 million in endowments, Harvard has 50 billion (250x). Heck, I'm pretty sure the same factor is leading to the rise of megachurches because people are only capable of attending approximately 1 service per week.

I recall the book Blockbusters by Anita Elberse (2013) being one of the first to point this out.

BJones12··on How Israeli actions caused famine in Gaza, visualized
From my understanding there is an argument about whether 12% or 16% of children meet a certain threshold of food availability, which affects whether or not it is called a famine. One is regarded as not a famine, one is regarded as a famine, and there is argument over what data to use.

And the definition does matter, because 'famine' has the meaning of a certain level of bad thing happening. If we do not preserve the meaning, then the word will not have a meaning, then we have no more word to talk about that bad thing, so we will pay no attention to averting or fixing the bad thing because we don't have the literal ability to talk about it.

I'm in favor of being able to have a productive discussion about famines and how to avoid them, so I'm in favor of having a word for 'famine' with a clearly defined meaning.

BJones12··on How Israeli actions caused famine in Gaza, visualized
Definitions matter. It's possible for an organization to redefine "acutely malnourished" as less than 4000 Cal/day, and then use that to make an accusation. Is that reasonable? No, because that does not match reality. It's unreasonable to criticize pushback on changing definitions because definitions should be pushed toward reality.
BJones12··on There is a huge pool of exceptional junior engineers
No, PEI does not have a lot of remote workers. AFAIK the main provider of tech jobs there is government in various forms, and they mandate several in-office days per week.

It's just a place that is geographically disconnected from the mainland, and it rhymes.

Source: I work with some people from PEI.

BJones12··on Ask HN: What are you working on? (September 2025)
You might just beat the Mombasa Hatchery and Conditioning Center's record!
BJones12··on Ask HN: What are you working on? (September 2025)
Given that people bet on sumo, wouldn't people pay a lot of money for your stats?
BJones12··on Ebola outbreak in DR Congo rages, with 61% death rate and funding running dry
Good thing it's called the World Health Organization and not the American Health Organization, that way the 95.9% of the world that is not America can contribute to it.
BJones12··on Terence Tao: The role of small organizations in society has shrunk significantly
> Freemasons: what do they even do? ... Not obviously recruiting in my area.

I'm not a mason, but their motto is "to be one, ask one". You won't see them recruiting, you have to inquire.

BJones12··on Trevor Milton's Nikola case dropped by SEC following Trump pardon
> Mainstream Christianity gave us Trump, so it's not exactly the moral foundation it claimed to be.

I think it's worth taking a closer look at what Trump is to the American and religious right. Some people think he's their savior, and that they approve of his actions. I don't. I think he's their champion, in the historical sense - a champion is one who fights for you. A champion is not above a king, but is useful, admired, and dear. I think the usefulness of Trump was proportional to the number of culture wars that the American Christian population was losing a decade ago, and is now winning. Some of those battles were dumb, like even AOC deleted her pronouns after the last election, but the fact that they were being fought meant that people needed someone effective to fight for them, and the most skilled fighter was Trump.

> There are plenty of ... factions that could potentially salvage it, but how will any of them get traction?

I think they need to figure out how to provide the most value possible to the population, and I think that following the teachings of Jesus is integral to this. I also think there are a number of things that must yet be figured out by trial and error.

BJones12··on Trevor Milton's Nikola case dropped by SEC following Trump pardon
The trouble with politics now is that it has become a religion. You can't elect boring people anymore, because doing so would remove the ability for adherents to engage in religious fervor.

Before politics can be boring and fair, adherence to actual religion must be rebuilt to satisfy the people's need for religion, so that politics doesn't have to.

BJones12··on Several people fired after clampdown on speech over Charlie Kirk shooting
Relating to the topic of the article, lefties rejoicing in Kirk getting shot are getting doxed and losing their jobs. That was a tactic pioneered by the left over the past decade. Now the same tactic is being used against them.
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