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AndrewKemendo

23,686 karma · joined August 7, 2012

kemendo.com

agi-society.org

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AndrewKemendo··on The turbulent AI era is here
I think it just sounds the best for the point he was making and it makes the point well, I’m being intentionally pedantic in this space

One of Carlins hallmarks was the way he fine tuned his language, almost never was something he said on stage accidental or improv funny enough

So it’s genius in the fact that it conveys the point perfectly, while being quizzical in its formation

AndrewKemendo··on The turbulent AI era is here
It’s not that big of a club actually only about 100,000 people max

Carlin is God but that quote doesn’t actually make a lot of sense

AndrewKemendo··on The turbulent AI era is here
I’m not sure what to say other than you’re entirely incorrect about all of that

In fact you could probably make a strong case that the US and USSR did NuclearMaxxx

It’s called the nuclear arms race/cold war and was the defining characteristic of society post WWII until 9/11

AndrewKemendo··on The turbulent AI era is here
It’s exactly the same set of questions and challenges as with nuclear power

Nuclear power is one of the most amazing magical things on the planet but nuclear weapons present a massive challenge to social coordination. So maybe we should sit as a society and try to figure out how to manage that instead of just freak out and burn all of our own faces off because we can’t handle complex conversations.

Why is that so hard to grasp?

AndrewKemendo··on The AI Hater's Manifesto
I got no beef

Yeah basically how does someone get to the point where they don’t die of cringe in the process of selling themselves

I mean “sell yourself” as a term is pretty gross

AndrewKemendo··on The AI Hater's Manifesto
This is a sincere and vulnerable question but can somebody help me understand what kind of mindset it takes to write something like this and not feel like a total scummy scammer person:

> If you liked this piece, you should subscribe to my premium newsletter. It’s $70 a year, $17 a quarter, or $7 a month, and in return you get a weekly newsletter that’s usually anywhere from 10,000 to 18,000 words, including vast, detailed analyses of NVIDIA, Anthropic and OpenAI’s finances, and the AI bubble writ large.

It’s so overwhelmingly clear to me that people who do this, get paid. So its clearly effective.

I’d love somebody else who’s figured this out to explain it to me.

AndrewKemendo··on Andreessen Horowitz is investing billions into a bleak future
You can’t ignore climate change
AndrewKemendo··on A look under our trunk: what's in our compute
I’m glad you said it because as a 40 something nerd roboticist taking a Waymo is nothing short of a miracle to me.

I mean drafting code on my phone with chatgpt in a Waymo is legitimately some Jestons shit and I’m not hearing otherwise.

Amazing

AndrewKemendo··on What Happens When the Cost of Intelligence Drops 100x
Turns out Grey Goo was just thermal paste
AndrewKemendo··on Nvidia AVO scores 100% on the ARC-AGI-3 interactive reasoning benchmark
Now we’re talking

The next year is going to be wild folks

AndrewKemendo··on Grand jury declines to indict Ohio man charged with destroying Flock camera
Try power cycling the system
AndrewKemendo··on CIA funding helped keep NeXT afloat in the 80s
It is surprise orders often

At least back in 2003-2004 there would be some random thing happen and make it impossible to get the staff on the hill

So they would do these massive dominos orders

AndrewKemendo··on CIA funding helped keep NeXT afloat in the 80s
Yeah that’s my school
AndrewKemendo··on CIA funding helped keep NeXT afloat in the 80s
It’s a good point

I’m not sure why we shouldn’t hold other brands accountable for their public relations.

I served a long time and if no pizza place would deliver to a military base because they were protesting military action, it would have actually made an impact. To what degree is unknown but I know every dominos in a 20 mile radius from our base was on call to deliver 8000 pizzas from time to time.

That aint nothing

AndrewKemendo··on Don't Paste the AI, please
> The world is filled with people that don't want to read or think about things

Ignore them and move on with your life.

AndrewKemendo··on Civic Hygiene – avoid building technologies that could be used by a police state (2013)
Bertrand Russell:

“If war is not impossible, then every advance in scientific technique in an advance in mass murder”

As true today as then

You can replace war with “police state” and it’s the same message.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=GzTlTVaYDtk

AndrewKemendo··on Devices with GrapheneOS support should be available in 2027
What is your music workflow?

I got stuck in Spotify for new music but that obviously doesn’t work long term

AndrewKemendo··on How does IKEA come up with names for its products?
You’ve let your biases affect your analysis
AndrewKemendo··on Field measurements of neighborhood-scale air temperature impacts of data centers
> Several other studies have shown either no discernible risk change between zero and 1 drink per day, or lowest possible risk at 1 drink per day.

So in the end results are in all practical implementation of this science is exactly the same: Even one drink of alcohol is the threshold

AndrewKemendo··on How does IKEA come up with names for its products?
Malm was released in the 1980s: https://techvibeblog.com/what-is-ikea-malm-made-of/

Girl with the dragon tattoo was released in 2005

AndrewKemendo··on Field measurements of neighborhood-scale air temperature impacts of data centers
>The WHO said that they "can't identify" a safe level of alcohol consumption and that there are no studies that would indicate a safe level of alcohol consumption.

How do you not then clonclude that there IS a safe amount such that you would then consume it.

What about this study would make anyone who is not an alcohol drinker become one?

The only answer here that is actually logical is that

you accept that there are risks to drinking alcohol, and that those risks are less important to you than whatever social personal benefit that you personally get out of it

AndrewKemendo··on Norway Should Buy OpenAI
This is the entire purpose of the AGI society which is 19 years old and has an annual conference that had 300 in person attendees and 4000 online this year

https://joinagisociety.org

I just took over as society executive director specifically focused on the issues from this article: bridging that gap

You can see our discussion here:

https://youtu.be/pxcL4j5kTg4

The announcement at AGI 26 a few weeks ago which starts at 19:00

https://www.youtube.com/live/qRA1DoMCCSc?si=a2DJeT1vi0JoaWnY

AndrewKemendo··on Superpowers, Not Superintelligence
Correct!

I’d take it further and say there’s nothing inherently wrong with information gathering software

The issue is that the data is not owned or controlled by the person generating it and all benefits accrue to giant systems like corporations and governments.

AndrewKemendo··on Field measurements of neighborhood-scale air temperature impacts of data centers
According to the best longitudinal study from the WHO There is no safe level of alcohol consumption (1). Every molecule of alcohol is measurably bad for you physically

People want to conflate their personal desires and perceived social benefits with health benefits because mental health and physical health have overlaps

However they need to be separate to actually make a claim about alcohol as there are millions of people in functional communities that reject alcohol and have non of the negative effects

(1) https://www.who.int/europe/news/item/04-01-2023-no-level-of-...

AndrewKemendo··on Superpowers, Not Superintelligence
I wrote this in 2018:

AI and privacy are incompatible

https://medium.com/@andrewkemendo/artificial-intelligence-an...

Highlight towards the end

“I will make a prediction of my own: more deeply intertwined AI based services will increase the decision making capabilities for users over the next several decades to such an extent, that it will be considered irresponsible not to use them.

Ok, fine then we’ll do it offline!

I can hear you now: “Well fine, I value my privacy but I also agree that these services are beneficial. So we will just make systems that never touch Amazon, Google or Facebook or whatever mega corporation services. We’ll own our own data and I’ll just keep all my private data locally in my own home and have my open source Smart Speaker totally off the grid. Or maybe just send out relevant data where necessary. I’ll build my own DDPG based Deep Learning systems and teach it everything it needs to know!” But will you?”

AndrewKemendo··on Ask HN: Alternatives to GitHub
Awesome

It’s my go to now for all my private projects

AndrewKemendo··on Ask HN: Alternatives to GitHub
I’ve been happy self hosting gitea

https://about.gitea.com/

AndrewKemendo··on St Lucie Nuclear Reactor Unit 1 manually shutdown, 3 control rods drop into core
I suggest you research organizations like IAEA and EAA which create communities around managing the problem of “scary new technology” of nuclear and aviaton respectively (two just for example).

There are ways to manage “scary new technology” that are well trodden,

It does require people to let go of whatever pitard they have decided to commit to.

AndrewKemendo··on St Lucie Nuclear Reactor Unit 1 manually shutdown, 3 control rods drop into core
There are more than two options
AndrewKemendo··on ChatGPT lost 22 points of web share in a year
How much money was “lost” on the three gorges dam or any major infrastructure project?

Google has a completely different payoff timeline than you seem to

They are bigger than most governments and invest in decade horizons

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