Why your self-driving car won’t have a steering wheel
washingtonpost.com
washingtonpost.com
A little off-topic, but an increasingly smaller number of cars are coming with spares (as someone who has experienced sidewall tire damage on the highway, it's an alarming trend).
More and more cars are just coming with tire patch kits, an aerosol tire fixer, or run-flat tires.
http://www.consumerreports.org/cro/news/2012/11/compact-emer...
http://www.consumerreports.org/cro/news/2015/07/deflating-re...
I live in the North Eastern US, so last fall I bought a second set of wheels for my car and installed some very nice snow tires on them. Now I carry a winter tire as the spare instead of the donut and a in the winter it's a summer tire. Long car trip + blown tire would mean I won't make it to my destination on the donut. Full size spare FTW.
Worst case scenario it'd be a controller of some kind and the car would be limited to 5mph, enough to limp back.
About forgetting how to steer, take a look at that video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MFzDaBzBlL0
discussion here http://www.eevblog.com/forum/chat/riding-an-inverted-bike/
https://youtu.be/PPTWUzAxyzg?t=50s
:)
What happens when I'm stuck in a ditch or sand or in a rut and need delicate manoeuvering? Maybe I'm out in a field in the middle of nowhere. No roads, just open field with seasonal hazards.
I still want a way to guide the vehicle manually without having to call someone with a winch.
These will not be cars as we have known them. Most people today don't like cars as we have known them, nor the cruft that has built around that. A vocal minority here on HN really likes cars, exactly as they are, and they don't want to hear about these changes. That's OK, people who want to waste money on old-timey cars will be able to do so, for at least a few decades.
If not have a steering wheel blows your mind, hold on: which direction do you think the front seats will face, in the typical robocar?
[EDIT] I'm dreaming of a time when few people buy cars, so we'll no longer be plagued with car commercials.
I'd expect chase scenes to endure, and they'll probably include robocars, but also hacks to get around/take advantage of their inherent chase limitations. E.g.: someone on a bicycle could intentionally ride through a crowd of pedestrians knowing that robocars won't just blast through to follow. Or the police could shut down a robocar remotely, but the fugitive could figure out how to escape the locked car. Etc.
It's common to meet a car, both pause while the drivers try to figure out who has a better chance of reversing 500 wiggly metres to a passing place. If you meet an old lady, man, just stick it in reverse and drive as far as you need, waiting for her to even find reverse is pointless.
I can't see any reason why self driving cars couldn't manage single track with passing places better than people - especially if they knew where the passing places are and could communicate with other cars.
People already keep AAA memberships in their wallets instead of a spare tire, tire wrench, jack, jumper cables, and starter one-shot battery in their trunk.
That is a YMMV statement.
I live in Canada, and after a major snowfall, I've seen plenty people get stuck --while-- driving on residential streets that hadn't been plowed yet. Starting from a stop and going up hills are often a problem in that situation too.
Wouldn't this also hold true for airline pilots? How quickly can they resume control of a plane when something goes amiss?
If a malfunction happens during landing, you definitely don't have several minutes to rectify it.
A good analogy would be an onsite ops team optimistically has nothing to do all shift but they can respond extremely quickly when it becomes necessary, whereas if I get an emergency phone call in the middle of the night its going to be at least a minute of WTF before I can settle down and get to work.
The biggest problem I have with no way to drive the car is parking. "HAL, grannies knee is hurting her, that being the whole point of driving her to physical therapy today, I insist we park illegally at the entrance door for 5, well, 30 seconds while she gets out, then and only then we will park for real about 1000 feet away" "Thank you HAL but I don't care what google maps says, the building has been remodeled since your data was downloaded 5 years ago and the entrance is now on the other side of the building so (insert jedi wave) you will park on the other side of the building" "HAL you may not have noticed but that urban parking spot is full of broken glass bottles so you park over there instead, at least as long as I'm paying your repair bills when you pay your own bills by driving for Uber then you can pop your tires whenever you want" "Yes HAL I know we're going to store XYZ at the mall, but thats just my first stop and I want you to park at store ABC because its my last stop so I know %^&# well that google calendar says I'm going to store XYZ and if you ever want your oil changed again you will park at store ABC exactly as I tell you" "Yes HAL the loading zone is illegal to park in, but think about it for a second, I want to park in the loading zone because I'm loading new furniture into the trunk" "HAL I'm not even going to try to explain the concept of a drive thru window at my bank, you just let me navigate OK?" "HAL this is called the Concerts In The Park event because its a music concert in the park, and you will park in that grass field right where the helpful parking attendant is waving" (edited to point out that all of these situations are predictable well over a minute in advance, or will be "argued" with the car while its in Park mode)
(And edited to note that the average drunk driver is a very safe driver and drives hundreds, even thousands of times between arrests or crashes ... there exist high functioning alcoholics who basically haven't driven sober in a decade or so ... all you need to achieve is better than the average teen, perhaps, which isn't a terribly high achievement, and that may only require a small fraction of a second to get up to speed. Or during a software crash all you need to do is drive better than a crashed computer, which likely isn't very challenging even for a drunk or a teen)
Excellent. The thing that scared me was the idea of sitting in a car with the wheel moving by itself, trying to constantly guess if it was doing the right thing. I want to just sit down and go.
> “A huge fraction of the time, nothing bad will happen because the vehicles really are reliable, hundreds of kilometers at a time before something really terrible happens,”
Hundreds of thousands I hope that means, unless their cars cause a catastrophe every few trips. Or have I completely misunderstood that?
A better analogy would be that of a grill that can use gas or charcoal as the fuel; different means to the same purpose.
I was attempting to highlight that these tools have nearly equivalent purposes, but the educated consumer would have a definite preference for one or the other, depending on plans and situations.
I disagree. The function of a panel truck is the transport of bulky and heavy materials. The function of a passenger car is the transport of people with fairly small amounts of materials. Changing the power plant or control system does not change these fundamental functions or fundamental design decisions that go into the system as a whole.
> I was attempting to highlight that these tools have nearly equivalent purposes
They don't, just like a passenger car and panel truck do not have nearly equivalent purposes. Yes, an oven and a grill both cook food. A passenger car and a panel truck both move people and items. Each of these is specialized to cover a certain subset of the problem space within those areas, though. Making one better at covering its problem space does not change what it fundamentally is, and self-driving vehicles are just an improvement in covering the existing problem space.
Thank you for taking the time to show me the error of my ways. What would HN be without people like you to clear up analogical inconsistencies?
Perhaps you'll have status symbol sedans with a manual mode nearly nobody uses, and a number of other options that become more of an expensive hobby than a primary means of transportation.
We are a ways off from this technologically, but if the tech problems can be solved, it's pretty hard to imagine it not happening.
People who drive manually and risk others' safety for their own pleasure can expect to be stopped, first with lawsuits, then with laws.
This will eventually extend to anything fun that humans do today. Any time a machine is shown to be more competent than a human at something, humans will no longer be allowed to engage in that activity.
> Research that Stanford has done shows that drivers resuming control from Level 3 vehicles functioning in autonomous mode take 10 seconds just to attain the level of ability that a drunk driver possesses. And to get back to full driving competence takes 60 seconds.
So they're assuming that one cannot improve at this task, taking over control from the self-driving car, with practice? They could even test this ability.
If the goal is to include a steering wheel so that one can swerve to avoid an accident, then no, it can't be improved to that level. If you are going to have to keep that level of attention, a self-driving car improves nothing.
A few high profile hacks leading to crashes and fatalities will be enough to turn a large swathe of the population off autopilot technology, which they are already skeptical of.
[0]http://www.ted.com/talks/avi_rubin_all_your_devices_can_be_h... [1]http://www.wired.com/2015/07/hackers-remotely-kill-jeep-high...
I'd really like to see something that would put a hard limit of ~15mph/25kmh on city streets for all motor vehicles. Upon entering a high-density zone, the car would automatically be put into a state with limits on speed, acceleration, horse power and adherence to traffic controls.
People would still be behind the wheel but they would be severely restricted in how they operate within the high density zone. Basically this would make horseless carriages be conducted in a manner more similar to horse carriages.
Seriously, I'll only trust trains on rails with autonomous operation, and it's profoundly stupid of any country to let autonomous machines operate freely on open roads.
The political implications of autonomous machinery with nigh-unbounded geographic reach are deeply hazardous.
Why is it profoundly stupid to let autonomous machines operate freely on open roads?