How cheaper housing can boost productivity
economist.com
economist.com
Is land more expensive in developed countries? Are materials more expensive? Are workers more expensive? (probably all components are more expensive, but I still don't understand where those hundreds of thousands of dollars are coming from, those prices are just insane).
Land value tax.
But under LVT, the tax stays the same whether or not you improve the property. Obviously, there may be some means to game the tax, but ultimately land speculation and gentrification wouldn't work out so well. Rents would still rise due to property improvements, but people would be able to justify those rents based solely on said improvements and not on some market bubble due to speculation. Plus, any improvements done by anyone (speculator or not) are not taxed any worse than those who can't afford or see no use for improvements. Ultimately, it's a more balanced approach to a real problem to be sure. Or at least it's one part of the solution.
More stringent building regulations probably add to the cost, but the planning system is the big factor. "Desireable area" makes a difference in some cases: a while ago Stoke-on-Trent were selling derelict houses at £1 to anyone who promised to renovate and live in them.
Demand and lack of (enough) supply. Buying a piece of land that you can build on in a city like SF costs a lot more than $5-10k for 100 m^2.
According to http://www.trulia.com/real_estate/San_Francisco-California/m...
Average price per square _foot_ for San Francisco CA was $962
If Alice and Bob want to hang out then they have to pay a big proportion of their wage to Charlie the Capitalist for the privilege. The land owners sell us to each other.
http://bankunderground.co.uk/2015/06/30/banks-are-not-interm...
> the key function of banks is the provision of financing, meaning the creation of new monetary purchasing power through loans, for a single agent that is both borrower and depositor. Specifically, whenever a bank makes a new loan to a non-bank customer X, it creates a new loan entry in the name of customer X on the asset side of its balance sheet, and it simultaneously creates a new and equal-sized deposit entry, also in the name of customer X, on the liability side of its balance sheet. The bank therefore creates its own funding, deposits, through lending. It does so through a pure bookkeeping transaction that involves no real resources, and that acquires its economic significance through the fact that bank deposits are any modern economy’s generally accepted medium of exchange.
Banks create money and lend it against land. This is how western "economies" create money which we then label "growth".
The more productive we become the more the landlord takes.
Allowing occasional working from home has the same effects, and require no investment in infrastructure.
> But it is not just housing markets that hold back productivity. According to one study, employment in the Bay Area around San Francisco would be about five times larger than it is but for tight regulation on construction of all types.
I'm not familiar with Bay Area, but in Poland people constantly complain about overregulation of construction, and we have much less restrictive construction law than in western Europe (and it shows - public space in Poland is awful compared to Czech Republic or Germany).
You can have too loose construction law, and the result is a city centre were nobody lives - people just commute to work and back. This results in suburbia, and longer commute times - the direct opposite of the effect they wanted to achieve with the first point in that article.
Indeed. If only there were a way that people could do work without travelling to a specific desk in a specific building during specific hours.
I think most people still like to work physically with other people. That is why I go to a co-worker space. Because I am actually more productive at home.
Personal happiness is mostly a long term goal which does not go well with short term needs.
While I'm another one who believes that the ideal commute is "step across the hallway" (or perhaps an office at the bottom of the garden...), I'd argue that the old low-density promise of commuting 20 or 30 minutes on open roads isn't so bad (and certainly no more taxing than what the public transport/new-urbanist lobby seem to be proposing). Why is this never on the agenda any more?
I'm personally for public transit because of efficiency. Even if you could somehow get that "old low-density promise of commuting 20 or 30 minutes on open road", which would definitely be not a bad situation for commuting, it would still be an energy disaster. Mass transportation and high-density settlements are much more energy-efficient, and energy is one of the biggest problems we're facing as a civilization right now.
Of course, the UK population is very unevenly distributed at the moment...
I've heard some calculations that in theory you could have all 7 billion people living comfortably on 50% of the land while the other 50% could go to agriculture, industry, forestation, etc. but that would require geoengineering on an unprecedented scale, not to mention being very energy inefficient.
It's not that Poland (or any other country) needs more laws. It's a problem of incentives, or lack thereof.
If a construction company has bribed politicians to keep giving them lucrative gigs on other people's money, they will have no incentive to actually do a good job.
If, on the other hand, there were free competition among construction companies, they would all strive to do their best so that they would be awarded more gigs in the future.
It's as simple as "corruption", but that's a misnomer because that's just the system working as intended. What's the point of being a city official if you're not in a position to get bribes one way or another?
With great power comes great.. opportunities for collecting bribes!
It's just that after communism people consider all regulation "communist-like restriction of God-given freedom".
It changes slowly for last few years, but '90s and '00s were awful.
Do you think you need a law that says "construction companies must build sturdy, reliable, good-looking buildings in good taste, or else!" .. ?
Do you think everything would be fine then?
My examples were of people building or "upgrading" their houses by themselves and covering them in billboards. No developer or corruption needed. They have the right to do that - it pays (or it satisfies their needs) so they do that. Externalities be damned.
Sure, there is some corruption, but that's irrelvant, if there was law forbidding building malls with huge parking lots in a historic center there would be no malls and parking lots there, no matter the amount of corruption. Law isn't outright broken, just the corner cases are abused, and law covers very little of what it should.
> Do you think you need a law that says "construction companies must build sturdy, reliable, good-looking buildings in good taste, or else!" .. ?
There is no problem with "sturdiness". It's in the law, and people obey. The winter/summer cycle here ensures people don't skimp on good quality.
I think there should be law specifying which kind of buildings should be build in which region. Incliding details like "which kind of roof", "how high", etc. There's nothing wrong with one-family housing, but the kind of fence you can use should be specified. Otherways people build 3-meters-high solid walls to have village in the midle of city.
There should be ban on huge billboards in the city center. It's not some evil corporations donig it, it's small few-person or family companies. They are engaged in spiraling war for attention, covering cities with bigger and bigger ads. It's out of control, like banners on early '00s internet. And there's no adblock for brain.
How could it possibly be irrelevant? We're talking about countless millions of dollars (over time) of other people's money being used here. Why would anyone work hard to get himself into a position to decide who gets it, if there was nothing in it for him?
You want more regulation, but what exactly do you want the laws to say? If there's no problem with quality, what is the problem?
If the problem is just that you personally don't like X, Y and Z, then there is no real problem.
Well if you like to believe EVERYBODY in local administration is corrupted - your choice. I don't think so. Just like I don't think every programmer that writes software for banks - plants logic bombs and backdoors.
> If there's no problem with quality, what is the problem?
There is a problem with esthethic. I think I was clear about that. There is a problem with prioritising cars over everything else. Parking lots and 3-lane roads dividing city into small non-walkable parts. People escaping to suburbs. Growing traffic jams and growing commute times caused by that.
Quality isn't a problem, because there are strict laws about it. And it's quite easy to control. And people don't like to live in houses that can fall apart, or that are badly insulated, when it can be -20 C in winter and +35 C in summer.
On the other hand they have no issues with living in ugly city, designed as a drive-through. Or if they do - they react by escaping to suburbs, not by improving the city.
I don't know what the laws should be exactly, but I know it can be done, because Czechs and Germans did it much better than we.
Even if you don't believe they're all psychopaths, even normal people act according to incentives, and no one does anything without some sort of (perceived) benefit to themselves.
So when an official is deciding how to use other people's money, he will be trying to gain personally from his position, and that's where bribes come in.
But yes, in reality, they're pretty much all psychopaths, and they get themselves into positions of power because 1) that's what they crave (as psychos), and 2) they get to use their political power for their personal gain.
Look at what they do, look at the way politicians and officials have behaved everywhere since forever, and.. you'll have to accept that I'm right.
> There is a problem with esthethic. I think I was clear about that.
But you can't legally mandate good taste because most people just don't have it, and the same problems apply everywhere. So what's the real problem and how do you think laws would solve it?
> And people don't like to live in houses that can fall apart, or that are badly insulated
Do people want to look at buildings that are clearly just plain ugly? Do they want chaos and mayhem?
Of course not. So if you think quality is fine because people want quality, why wouldn't the other stuff be fine too if it's guided by what people want?
I really don't think people in local government are any worse or better than people working in X, for any X. If you think otherways - your choice, but would be nice if you show some proofs.
As a programmer you are making decisions how to use others people money (your code will, and you decide what it does). As an architect you decide how to use others people money. Same for lawyer, banker, insurance agent, business analyst, contractor, ... This is true for most white-collar jobs.
I don't see how you can think local administration clerks are worse and we are better. It's intelectually lazy.
In the worst case - local administration comes from people, and are choosen by people. They are on average only as corrupted, as average citizen.
> Do people want to look at buildings that are clearly just plain ugly? Do they want chaos and mayhem?
Yes. Apparently they don't care. As long as they get paid for that billboard, and it's legal - they are blind. Look at this:
http://grafik.rp.pl/g4a/905243,471826,9.jpg
http://static.wirtualnemedia.pl/media/images/2013/images/szy...
http://www.poranny.pl/apps/pbcsi.dll/bilde?Site=KP&Date=2007...
http://ekoszalin.pl/sds/2013/06/11/51b71d299cc20.jpg
http://bi.gazeta.pl/im/b2/da/d4/z13949618Q,Reklamowy-chaos-w...
Tell me with a straight face it's not out of control.
This is how my country loooks like now. It can be solved, because I've seen it solved in countries like Germany, Czech Republic (and to lesser degree even Lithuania or Slovakia). It's simple - you restrict billboards and advertisments in the city. No need for definition of "bad taste" in law.
Then there's simple bad planning (or no planning). This is most true in new suburban districts. Typical image: http://m.ocdn.eu/_m/45a8af04428ecb9e04a332883176027c,29,1.jp...
Randomly choosen plots, random road network build after the fact so that everybody has some way to drive to their house, no matter in how contrived way. Costs for building infrastructure much higher than if someone spend a month thinking beforehand. Again - chaos. And it can be easily solved with proper urban planning. It's not rocket science.
As for bad taste - this is harder problem, but it can also be solved. Just to show what we are speaking about:
http://www.malak.com.pl/termomodernizacja/elewacje-rozane3.j...
http://www.malak.com.pl/termomodernizacja/elewacje-teczowe2....
http://img18.imageshack.us/img18/8974/1118221.jpg
http://naszglospoznanski.pl/wp-content/uploads/przedszkole_f...
This is understandable reaction to 50 years of gray communism, but still. At least the next generation will fix this with some paint.
> I really don't think people in local government are any worse or better than people working in X, for any X. If you think otherways - your choice, but would be nice if you show some proofs.
You're not really addressing what I said there.
Why does someone work hard to get into a position of political power, if not to use it to his benefit? Not using it would be like working hard to be able to buy a BMW and then just letting it sit in the garage forever.
> As a programmer you are making decisions how to use others people money (your code will, and you decide what it does).
That's far-fetched, considering the programmer is being paid with private money, to do whatever the company wants him to do.
In other words, it's not even really the programmer deciding what happens with other people's money (to the extent it's even his program deciding anything, and not its user), and you can't be honestly suggesting you don't see a difference between that and a city official using other people's money.
As for the rest, again, you can't legally mandate people to have good taste. Apparently they just don't.
You also ignored my last point. If the building quality is fine because people want good quality, why wouldn't the other stuff be fine too, considering it's guided by what people want (instead of legislation)?
If Polish people want ugly buildings, then that just shows they have bad taste. You can't just command them to have good taste, and whatever Polish central committee would be in charge of new buildings would probably have bad taste too :P
They'll get better. In the meantime, move out if it bothers you enough.
I am - you basicaly said that public sector is more corrupt than average, and you try to prove it by saying:
a) people working in public sector are selected for corruption
b) even if not - all people are suspectible to corruption.
My argument against a) is - you haven't shown any data suggesting that public sector is more corrupt, and you haven't shown any mechanism which should select for corruption in public sector, that isn't also present in private sector.
My argument against b) is - if all people are suspectible to corruption - then why assume they are corrupt by default, when you don't assume the same for people working in private sector?
> Why does someone work hard to get into a position of political power, if not to use it to his benefit? Not using it would be like working hard to be able to buy a BMW and then just letting it sit in the garage forever.
Because he wants the job? You know - to get paid? Or even to do sth he really wants to do? Same reason as people working to be a programmer, architect, lawyer, banker, etc have. All of these positions can be abused, but we don't usually think majority of these people only started doing it to get into position they can abuse.
> That's far-fetched, considering the programmer is being paid with private money, to do whatever the company wants him to do
And public officials are paid with public money to do what people want them to do. They may do that, or try to cheat. Same as the programmer. If you work for a big financial company you have bigger opportunities to steal than most local public officials. And bigger amounts. And it's not nessesarily money of people that hired you - you can just as well steal from clients.
Yes there is source control and they will catch you eventually.
And the same is true for public officials - they have to sign under their decisions.
May I remind you of the reasons for 2008 crisis? It wasn't corruption in public sector. BTW Poland had no banking crisis, because we had strict (and conservative) bank controlling institution (Komisja Nadzoru Finansowego) that didn't allowed banks to play with derivatives too much.
I fail to see the difference, especially in practice. I've had no first-hand experience of corruption in public sector. I've had experience with small-scale corruption in private sector (ticket controller in bus offering to let it go for a small bribe).
IMHO it's just that people think "they are bad and we are not".
> You also ignored my last point. If the building quality is fine because people want good quality, why wouldn't the other stuff be fine too, considering it's guided by what people want (instead of legislation)?
I've said it's a combination of many factors - quick predictable feedback loop (harsh weather every year) forces people to look for good quality or predictably and quickly suffer the consequences. Strict legislation forces developers to provide good quality in matters that aren't frequently and predictably tested by forces of nature (fire protection, not falling into pieces).
Esthethics is just higher up the Maslov hierarchy than "being warm and dry", and there's almost no legislation.
Also, the billboards situation is straightforward example of tragedy of commons. If you can't see the actual city behind advets anyway - you may as well put another on your plot and get the money, too.
And you failed to address my point about construction and advertising law in Germany being much stricter than in Poland. It's obviously possible without encoding "good taste" in law.
> They'll get better. In the meantime, move out if it bothers you enough.
That's disingenious. If people moved out instead of trying to improve what they don't like - nothing would get changed, ever. I might have got carried away to start this discussion on international forum. The suggestion of The Economist that making construction law less strict is the way to go triggered me ;)
What I'm saying is that people act according to incentives, and their actions are purposeful. We have ends and means towards them. No one does anything without some perceived gain for himself, no matter what that might be.
What I'm also saying is that officials and politicians are psychopaths, because that's exactly the kind of "people" who are most attracted to those jobs, and the most adept at getting them too.
That's a claim, and some reasoning (based on premises) to back it up. You won't find studies that have determined all politicians to be psychopaths though, but that doesn't matter wrt. whether the reasoning is sound enough to accept the conclusion as "likely enough to be true".
> My argument against a) is - you haven't shown any data suggesting that public sector is more corrupt
You know, it would be the public sector itself publishing (and publicizing) that data. Do you think they might be biased?
> and you haven't shown any mechanism which should select for corruption in public sector, that isn't also present in private sector.
So what? Psychopaths are certainly everywhere, but the problem I'm talking about is that they rule over us.
> My argument against b) is - if all people are suspectible to corruption - then why assume they are corrupt by default, when you don't assume the same for people working in private sector?
Because psychopaths are not quite human. Do some research, but.. don't put too much emphasis on academic sources, because most of those have been produced by psychos themselves, and they're a bit biased.
Here's a breadcrumb to follow: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LsiTyPHMPh8
Of course, you might be one too, and just playing games with me.
> And public officials are paid with public money to do what people want them to do. They may do that, or try to cheat. Same as the programmer.
Public officials aren't exactly held accountable for their actions though, whereas programmers (with no political connections) are.
Pfft.. OK, I should be working instead of wasting time here, so I'll stop.
In Poland people constantly complain about overregulation of pretty much everything (I'd say complaining itself is our national sport, but that's another topic) - but that's probably typical of humans. It's easy to complain about overregulation when the government tells you you can't do whatever you want and dump externalities on everyone around you.
But I agree with your conclusion. We have quite lax construction laws and people still commute. I don't really see how the two are actually related in practice. Majority of people doesn't get to pick and choose jobs. You can spend months looking for a good opening, and if you don't like one because it's on the other side of the city, then no worries, there are thousands of people who will happily take your place.
You can't predict where you will work in 10 years, why expect to live in the same house for 10 years? Of course - not wanting to move kids to a different school is valid reason, but still kids change school every few years. Many people could reduce commute with no bad side-effects, if not for the problems with renting flats.
People are very careful about renting flats to families with kids, because it's very hard to expel them if they stop paying right now.
I'm about to start a remote job, and this is the bit I'm most looking forward to. I'll be able to claw back that 2 hours I'm losing every day to a pointless commute.
Some amount of municipal planning is a good thing. It provides needed services for residents and increases the quality of what is built. But there is probably a limit to how much growth a government can handle in a responsible way. That suggests that building restrictions might even be a good thing. If the government is overloaded, the restrictions push the growth to other areas where the governments are more eager to plan for the growth.
The theory goes that these high-density population centres have higher productivity, for a couple of reasons:
- "Truer" competition -- distance is an artificial barrier that reduces employees' access to jobs and reduces employers' access to job candidates. It also reduces companies' access to each other.
- More cross-pollination as people a free to move jobs more often and (in theory) have more interactions with other companies.
There are no doubt some downsides to concentrating all of your nation's business in one place, and things like telecommuting and fast public transport will have the effect of bringing people closer together without straining infrastructure as much, but there's really no alternative to density.
One of the primary problems in London, and probably many countries with similar issues is that the politicians are far more likely to be landlords than the general public.
I read that in the UK 1 in 4 members of parliament are landlords, compared to 1 in 30 for the general public.
The side effect of this is that ever increasing demand for property, and then passing laws that make demand even stronger (right to buy for example), whilst limiting building programmes increases the politician's wealth for zero effort. They don't have the money to profit from lots of new builds, so its easier to constrain supply, and the general public who own houses will think they've never had it so good because their house is worth more.
Same thing in the US but for the arms industry.
Also mix in the fact that huge numbers of new build London apartments are being kept empty by Chinese owners (and others) and you've got a crisis waiting to happen.
There's going to be a tipping point for London - when young white collar workers such as software developers, accountants, graphic designers, marketing professionals and the other skills that make London competitive won't be arsed to travel to London for 1-2 hours, or live in a shoebox to get a salary that's 15% higher than in Leeds, Birmingham or Manchester where they could have a large house.
The way out isn't just building more property, but passing laws that force owners to rent out properties when they own more than say 3 or 4. Although that would of course crash rental income, so politicians won't do that either.
Sadly, general public don't read Economist or at least look at the facts. Govt "subsidies" public housing instead of land supply and ppl seems to complain but not analyze the issue.
> A ceiling on rents reduces the quantity and quality of housing available. (93% of economists agree)
http://gregmankiw.blogspot.de/2009/02/news-flash-economists-...
PS capitalism is awesome indeed
We could always put progressive tax on capital and property. It will be very efficient redistribution.
If investment was made to comparable levels in any of the 10 or more other large cities in the UK so companies don't feel the need to work in London, perhaps we would solve productivity without producing a Mega-city.
It sounds easy and I know there are loads of bureaucratic hurdles and it doesn't help that local councils don't always want the change that is needed in their nice cities to create the influx of jobs...
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/home-news/london-proper...
Also why do we "need" to give housing benefits to people? They don't go to people they go to landlords who have set their prices higher than the market can bear.
I'm afraid I disagree with you - the jobs aren't paying for the cost of land. The state, corruption and printing money via land are. And without it all the UK economy would have collapsed.
They will never try to stop the cheap money and money laundering.