Flash usage has been plummeting. I know these charts are questionable, but it looks like it will hit 0 in 3 years. http://w3techs.com/technologies/history_overview/client_side...

Because HTML still fails short of everything that Flash is capable of, specially in what concerns games.

Also Flash nowadays also compiles to native code and is used by many mobile games, even on iOS.

And DRM video of course.

One of the main problems I see is that Flash is used as a first preference as opposed to falling back to it. Prime example that I ran into today: first time I visit the 8tracks I am prompted to enable Flash, after about 10 seconds of me refusing to enable vulnerabilities it concedes and gives me the option to use HTML5 instead which, surprise surprise, obviously hasn't even been tested and does absolutely nothing.

That's a worst-case scenario, but I get the "enable Flash bar" all too often - even when the website automatically upgrades to HTML5 instead. Even YouTube tries Flash first.

Flash should be a fallback plan, not the first preference. Stop it. Please. I'm growing weary of ignoring that bar, it's like it's actually part of the browser chrome.

Flash will be with us for quite some time still. You can't get everyone to agree to uninstall Flash in one fell swoop. You can't expect Adobe to completely abandon it over night; which would mean no more updates and more security vulnerabilities.