The F-35 Can’t Fight at Long Range, Either
medium.com
medium.com
I do research on molecular biology, you could say that every meeting with our project leaders goes like that.
Specially that part like:
"Why did you do X?"
"(I didnt' wanted to but...) As per your request, you said it was a really important feature."
"No way, scrap it, how come you thought X was a good idea! Come on!"
"Instead, modern planes in a high-tech war would probably rely on their undetectable, “passive” infrared sensors"
Probably? That's all you've got backing up such a significant claim?
"Remember, the F-35 has one huge and very hot engine. True, Lockheed designed the JSF’s fuel tanks to help sop up some of the extra thermal energy the plane generates. But take a look at the F-35’s engine nozzle. It’s round. ..."
Oh, it's round. Great, now prove your important claim with actual science, field data, etc.
"Even with its radar off, an F-35 could struggle to hide from enemy planes"
Oh, it could? More of the same empty statements, with absolutely nothing backing them up.
"Using these radars, earthbound spotters could point warplanes toward incoming F-35s"
Could? Again, empty.
The article relies on Sprey, who himself is well known for half-cranked attacks on the F35:
http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/pierre-spreys-anti-f-35-dia...
This entire article reads in the same style: here is something I claim, it's a very important claim, and I'm not going to actually support any of it.
>"But take a look at the F-35’s engine nozzle. It’s round. Highly stealthy planes such as America’s B-2 bomber and F-22 fighter both boast flat engine nozzles "
I really doubt the credibility of the author; as if engineers would overlook such a basic factor if it was that crucial.
Engineer: "We can't get the engine to work with the current airframe design if we use stealthy engine nozzles. It's going to require a significant re-design."
Manager: "Will it work with old style round nozzles? Then use those."
Initial trials of the arresting system were conducted in 2011 at Lakehurst. The hook had several deficiencies, in part because a wire dynamics model provided by the government for the team to design against had faulty assumptions. Several components were redesigned and re-tested. During the first sea trials of the system in October 2014, two F-35C aircraft deployed to the USS Nimitz where the trials were highly successful:
http://www.navytimes.com/story/military/tech/2014/11/15/f-35...
"The F-35C test pilots have made approximately 100 traps on the Nimitz, and the three wire was caught so many times that the metal cable had to be replaced. The one wire, the cable furthest aft on the flight deck, hadn't been used at all, Wilson said."
What other engineering items have been overlooked that you believe are mindboggling?
i vaguely remember reading something/somewhere that less stealthy round instead of stealthier flat was a cost cutting decision.
The problem is that the F-35 had requirements that fundamentally conflict with each other.
It had to have a STOVL configuration, which probably dictated the nozzle design. But it also had to be 'stealthy', so the nozzle design and the wide fuselage needed for the STOVL requirement, negatively affected the stealth requirement. So much so that the stealth rating of the F-35 was downgraded.
It was also supposed to be more maneuverable than the F-16, but the other requirements resulted in aerodynamic performance that was less than what was originally planned. So much so that it lost a mock dogfight against a F-16. Granted that test is not the end of the story but it's not a good sign.
Then there's the fact that the military and Congress inexplicably decided that they'd throw the normal testing and validation phase out the window in favor of 'concurrency' where they're putting the aircraft into production before testing is done. This has the dual downsides of ensuring expensive retrofits when problems are identified but it commits the government even more deeply to a weapons system that may ultimately never perform as billed.
The rest of the 20 different systems he compares the F-35 to either would bankrupt Russia if they were to ever put them into mass production, or the comparisons themselves isolate one feature of the F-35 against some long-shot (probably exaggerated) capability of such-and-such Russian system. I could say that the F-35 could use its low-observable phased array radar to detect the Su-35 from twice the distance of the latter without triggering the enemy's RWR, fire off an AIM-120 and turn around before the Su-35 detected it. And pretty much every shortcoming for the F-35 (sensors, supercruise, stealth) he brought up is far worse for the F-16, A-10, and AV-8B which the F-35 is intended to replace.
They also have two engines.
Right, when people complain about the F-35, for all its shortcomings, they look at it as though it should be a "faster horse" (it's an apocryphal anecdote but makes a good point) rather than a whole new weapons platform.
The USAF clearly wants something that doesn't engage in close combat, so it's about superior sensors and long range/precision air-to-air and air-to-ground weaponry. I think the biggest shortfall of the F-35 though is its close air support capabilities. The USAF just want to have the target marked by ground forces and for the F-35 to drop small precision munitions on the area, but a big part of CAS is psychological - when you hear that 30mm cannon burp and the A-10's engines loitering in the background, you feel safe while your enemy is terrified. Plus a loitering A-10 is more useful than an F-35 with an ephemeral presence.
Solution: give the Army the ability to provide CAS so they can purchase the A-10's from the USAF. The USAF can play with their fancy spaceships while the Army can have its flying gun.
Oh, they didn't overlook it. The mere fact that he assumes that only flat nozzles are stealthy tells me that the author has not done his research.
From my reading of this article, the author accepts the absolute most pessimistic estimates of the F-35 and also accepts the most optimistic estimates and statements of the capabilities of other aircraft and radar systems, without questioning these estimates. For example, take this line:
"Tehran insists its Ghadir radar can spot jets more than 300 miles away."
Tehran also insisted that their Qahar 313 is real, when it's a laughable fake: http://www.thewire.com/global/2013/02/iran-new-stealth-fight....
Now, just because the Qahar 313 is likely fake, that doesn't mean their Ghadir radar can't spot aircraft at 300+ miles. But shouldn't the Qahar fake make a "security analyst" like the author take a closer look at subsequent claims by the same government?
Surely the F-35 isn't the first bad military vehicle the government has/will purchase...
Better fighters have been produced in far less time for far less money. I think it's receiving so much attention on HN because it's an example of poor engineering.
The do-everything F-35 was actually supposed to be a cost management idea, since the exploding cost of new generation fighter programs was so big, we were just going to do one of them, rather than several for different roles. This would, the theory went, be cheaper in total for development, plus the shared parts would make them cheaper in operation, then separate role-specific airframes.
And, radically expensive and problem-prone as F-35 has been, that still might all be true. It might have been far more expensive, both in development and operational costs, to develop separate airframes for the various roles.
Furthermore, because they tried to make the aircraft meet contradictory requirements it has resulted in a plane that doesn't do several things as well as even the aircraft it is replacing, much less newer aircraft on the battlefield. All at an astronomical cost.
At a certain point it just doesn't make sense to pay far more for a weapons system that doesn't do anything well.
...and if you ever bought that, they've also got a bridge they'd like to sell you. The goal is to spend money. This is just their latest innovation in achieving that goal.
$1.5 trillion / 318.9 million people in the USA = $4,703.67 per person!
I want a refund!
The Pentagon is spending about $11 billion on the F35 for the entire fiscal year (2% of its budget).[1] About ~$30 per tax payer.
$1.5 trillion is the 55 year projection on the total cost of the program over that time frame. Including purchase, operation and upkeep. Or $27 billion per year for everything.
It has cost roughly $100 billion so far over 20 years.
[1] http://www.thefiscaltimes.com/2015/02/02/Pentagon-s-Too-Big-...
By comparison that's a larger plane order than the total sum of all combat aircraft that Russia has, and six times that of Germany.
If the F35 had been split into three planes, with the same order and cost scale, the cost would not be a particularly big deal. You're talking about 5% of the Pentagon's annual budget, for 2/3 of all combat planes in the US military. That is, the cost is not the problem: it's the do-everything nature of the plane that is the problem.
In this age of austerity having a fighter that cost several times more than the previous generation and yet can't do the things that it's supposed to do in the apogee of pork barrel waste. The project should have been killed years ago and yet here we are still throwing money at the thing hoping it will fly.
Rules of engagement can prevent you from firing on another aircraft without visual ID Terrain can obscure enemy aircraft until they are WVR *Enemy aircraft can use electronic countermeasures to confound your radar
If dogfighting were truly obsolete there never would've been a requirement for the aircraft to be more maneuverable than a F-16 and short-range missiles and a nose cannon wouldn't be part of this aircraft's armament.
The Navy has had fun too with the Zumwalt-class destroyer which ended up cancelled after two. They haven't had much luck with submarines either.
Weapons programs are expensive and only more so as they suffer feature creep. We all know how expensive and annoying that is in software development, in the military its just measured in billions.
You can toss NASA into the mix, from the shuttle to many proposed replacements. Government tends to spend big and fail big with a few good things leaking through.
However if you want to get into real government boondoggles simply go look at transportation projects, from light rail to tunnels and finally bridges.
On the other hand the Virginia class submarine is working quite well, and the new fleet of aircraft carriers seems to be OK if you still believe aircraft carriers are useful.
http://foxtrotalpha.jalopnik.com/the-pentagons-concurrency-m...
You can see the F35 is the workhorse there. If it's a dud it's a huge dud.
The premise of the question is dubious. Similarly problem-plagued programs -- that have been far less expensive -- have gotten similar attention at similar stages of their lifecycle, some of which have been subsequently abandoned, others of which have dealt with the early problems to become reasonably useful.
OTOH, the fact that the manned combat aircraft seem to be reaching a point where the expense of making them minimally survivable dwarfs their utility, similar to what happened with battleships several decades ago, probably mean that there will be more triggers for attention paid to manned combat aircraft programs, both in terms of problems and overall expense, which draws attention on its own.
The other recent vehicle criticism that comes to mind has been over how much of the budget went into acquiring light vehicles such as hummers, and other RPG & IED bait.
Unlike with the F-35, this was actively costing lives, so something got done. We've slapped net armor onto a bunch of things. MRAPs have "Mine-Resistant" right in the acronym.
Look at the F-111B program, the attempt to build an F-111 variant for carrier use. The F-111B was too big, too unmaneuverable, and had too many other problems so after about 6 years with an initial production of 7 aircraft the program was cancelled. The Navy went back to the drawing board, sought out new aircraft proposals, and eventually ended up with the F-14 to fulfill that role. There's a long history of mistakes and bad designs in military history, but in the US at least most of those mistakes are accepted by the top brass, work arounds are developed, and better systems are procured as replacements. It's a history of lessons learned and applied to future generations of weapons systems.
The F-35 on the other hand appears to not only be enormously flawed but government leadership has consistently refused to address or accept those flaws, and has instead doubled down on the program. The F-35 was sold based on some simple promises: that it would be cheaper than alternatives; that having a common design with 3 variants would reduce costs, increase reliability, and increase capabilities; and that it would be a next generation multi-role fighter capable of easily gaining the upper hand against any competitor in any theater in the world. All of those promises have been broken, utterly. The reality is that there are three completely different planes that have similar names, but the commonality between the different "variants" is only around 30%. Worse, the plane is hugely expensive to produce and even more expensive to operate, with a dismally low "duty cycle" (with a ratio of 3-5 hours of corrective maintenance needed for every single hour of flight time). Slowly but surely the cost of the F-35 is approaching the cost of the F-22 (which is a vastly more capable aircraft). And now we see that the planes aren't actually very good at their job either.
It's like going to the car dealership and trading in your beloved and trustworthy family automobile then the salesman selling you on the idea of a fun but inexpensive and reliable high performance sports car. Then when you get the car you realize that it's a lemon, it has the performance of a Geo Metro but the gas mileage of a HUMVEE, it's in the shop every week for some new problem or other, and then when you check the paperwork you see some stuff you didn't notice when you signed and it actually cost 3x more than you thought. That situation would cause anyone to be pissed off. Unfortunately, the Pentagon is so in bed with LockMart/Boeing that they refuse to criticize it or do anything about it.
Take multiple different customers for a car, one wants to have a sports-car, one a pick-up and the third, something that can dive ... What does not work in car-design, does even less in jet-design.
I doubt it's a fundamental limitation of materials or physics, just of the constraints given to the designers of the aircraft.
You can over-G an F-16 at 4G depending on airspeed and loadout. That's well below (trained) human tolerances.
Sure, you can build a drone that can handle 1000 cycles of 16G turns, but it's likely not going to be cheap, repairable, fast, capable of carrying weaponry, etc.
Limit loads are the design point, which are 1.5x lower than the ultimate loads, which are still lower on actual aircraft than what humans can handle (and are not meant for sustained or repeated operation).
Surely so. Even with current aviation technology, the lack of an onboard bag of meat that dies at high accelerations should be a huge advantage.
Probably. Do we really have an answer to a swarm of drones in a very spread out pattern, each with 2-4 long range missiles?
"The official report details how the F15 was able to lock on to the helicopters around 64 km. However did not get visual ID till 6-9 km.(Beyond-visual range combat wasn't practiced at this typical exercise) "
But why would fighter fly low? It would just shoot a missile from 10km height - unreachable height for helicopter and for many anti-aircraft missiles.
I didn't follow the story after that, so I don't know if there were any counter-arguments made. But if that was true, might there also be some similar mitigating factors that apply to this story?
So, we're comparing some blogger's estimate of the F-35 radar, to the unverified claims of a Russian radar-maker. This does not seem like the firmest ground upon which to base an argument.
Additionally, most of these criticisms act as if the F-35 will be acting alone on these missions, and don't take into account the fact that other aircraft, radars, and offensive/defensive systems are meant to be utilized alongside the F-35. Such a micro view doesn't adequately account for the actual theater of war these aircraft will take part in.
Is the JSF program enormously expensive? Yes. Is it unnecessary? Maybe. However, expensive and unnecessary are separate issues from whether or not this is a capable aircraft, of which it empirically is. Does it have kinks to work out? Definitely, but this aircraft is still in testing phases, and like all other aircraft, it will go through iterations and variations. In time, as systems mature, bugs are fixed, and pilots become more experienced, we can be sure that the F-35 will at least be a capable tool to warfighters.
Argue the cost, argue the need, but making the argument that the folks at Lockheed all of a sudden forgot how to build capable fighter aircraft is absurd.
For ultimate peace making, they should equip it with pigeons and let the birds loose over the enemy territory, sending out love letters to everyone.
Also balloons and candy for the enemy children would be appropriate.
And at the moment basically the whole Bundeswehr in general. Google either: A400M, G36, Eurocopter Tiger...
Edit: And the Eurofighter
So maybe it's time to drop the F-35, and copy Russian and Chinese designs.
F-35 on the left, Chinese J-20 on the right. We don't have to copy Chinese designs, they already copied ours.
But maybe, in addition to copying many features, the Chinese tweaked other stuff. Maybe they tweaked heat management, agility, IR etc sensors, and so on. And maybe they also hacked the Russians and Japanese, and combined best features. Overall, maybe the J-20 looks a lot like a F-35a might look.
That's a lot of "maybes", I admit. But it would be foolish to ignore the possibilities, no?
EDIT: And there's no "maybe" about if the J-20 resembles the F-35...
And yes, the J-20 closely resembles the F-35. There's no doubt about that.
But in any case, I do think that it could be a productive scenario for the US military :)
I feel a lot of the reasoning seems a little dubious.
> Russian radars, such as the one on the new Sukhoi Su-35, at least match the JSF’s APG-81, according to data compiled by Carlo Kopp at Air Power Australia. While the specific details remain secret, Kopp estimates ...
Air Power Australia have a MASSIVE axe to grind when it comes to the F-35. They also have a history of publishing things that look like F-22 fanfiction (e.g. an article saying that navalizing the F-22 should be a piece of cake, http://www.ausairpower.net/APA-NOTAM-230209-1.html).
> But take a look at the F-35’s engine nozzle. It’s round. Highly stealthy planes such as America’s B-2 bomber and F-22 fighter both boast flat engine nozzles that spread out their exhaust plumes,
I think they are flat mostly to shape radar reflections. I think the fact that the B-2 exhaust nozzle is on the upper half of the aircraft also is supposed to help the IR signature, but does the flatness really affect anything?
> Even with its radar off, an F-35 could struggle to hide from enemy planes ... “You can’t stealthify against long-wavelength radars”
Sure, but this affects every airplane, it's not a weakness of the F-35.
> The F-35’s limited weaponry was one of the major problems that a controversial simulation highlighted back in 2008.
Well, it was indeed controversial. As one article puts it "RAND’s core conclusion is not about specific fighter performance. It’s about the theoretical limits of better performance under adverse basing and logistics conditions."(http://www.defenseindustrydaily.com/the-f-35s-air-to-air-cap...). In particular, they concluded that the F-22 would also be completely outgunned, despite being indisputably the best air superiority fighter right now.
The War is Boring coverage of the F-35 in general strikes me as kindof shoddy, it's like they decided that writing snarky anti-F-35 articles is now part of their blog brand.
Comparison with the F-22 (http://www.aerospaceweb.org/question/planes/q0105.shtml).
Everyone that paid for the promises that it could do all this stuff.
I just don't see why people harp on this one stupid-expensive plane when there's all kinds of other stupid-expensive junk we waste money on.
It's like somebody burned down your house, but what you're really mad about is that they burned down the brand-new tool shed out back.
Meanwhile the F-35 is a fiasco for US and NATO force projection. The whole point of modern weapons - ugly and expensive as they are - is that they're supposed to be so intimidating you barely need to use them.
The F-35 fails to continue that tradition. The political consequences are going to be a lot more significant than the military ones.
Do you think we're going to have a shooting war with China or Russia before 2025? Because those are the only countries that can come close to challenging US air superiority.