Interview with Jared Diamond [video]
vimeo.com
vimeo.com
He seems to have drawn very far fetched conclusions from vague anthropological and archeological signals. I fear greatly for those who listen to his hypotheses about the present.
http://theappendix.net/issues/2013/4/anthropology-footnoted-...
What? No. I completely disagree, as would many others, and I've frankly never read a more balanced work than GGS.
But perhaps you could go ahead and educate us scientifically on what is more important than access to resources in determining the histories of peoples.
He is the author of multiple, well-reviewed scholarly books, and hundreds of peer-reviewed papers published in journals like PNAS, Nature, and Science[1]. Other scholars have cited him thousands of times[4]. He is completely well-respected within the scientific fields he works in.
National Geographic[2] notes: "Jared Diamond is professor of geography at the University of California, Los Angeles. He is the author of Collapse: How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed and the widely acclaimed Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies, which won him a Pulitzer Prize as well as Britain's 1998 Rhone-Poulenc Science Book Prize.
Diamond is the recipient of a MacArthur Foundation Fellowship (Genius Award); research prizes and grants from the American Physiological Society, National Geographic Society, and Zoological Society of San Diego; and many teaching awards and endowed public lectureships. In addition, he has been elected a member of all three of the leading national scientific/academic honorary societies—National Academy of Sciences, American Academy of Arts and Sciences, and American Philosophical Society.
Diamond's field experience includes 22 expeditions to New Guinea and neighboring islands to study ecology and evolution of birds; the rediscovery of New Guinea's long-lost golden fronted bowerbird; and other field projects in North America, South America, Africa, Asia, and Australia. As a conservationist, he devised a comprehensive plan, almost all of which was implemented, for Indonesian New Guinea's national park system. He has also taken part in numerous field projects for the Indonesian government and World Wildlife Fund. He is a founding member of the board of the Society of Conservation Biology and a member of the board of directors of World Wildlife Fund/USA and Conservation International."
Awards and honors [3]
1975 Distinguished Achievement Award, American Gastroenterological Association
1985 MacArthur Foundation "Genius" Grant
1989 Archie F. Carr Medal
1992 Tanner Lecturer, University of Utah
1992 Rhône-Poulenc Prize for Science Books for The Third Chimpanzee
1992 Los Angeles Times Science Book Prize
1993 Zoological Society of San Diego Conservation Medal
1997 Phi Beta Kappa Science Book Prize for Guns, Germs and Steel
1998 Pulitzer Prize for Guns, Germs and Steel
1998 California Book Awards, Gold Medal in nonfiction for Guns, Germs and Steel
1998 Aventis Prize for Science Books for Guns, Germs and Steel
1998 International Cosmos Prize
1998 Elliott Coues Award, American Ornithologists Union
1999 Lannan Literary Award for Nonfiction
1999 National Medal of Science
2001 Tyler Prize for Environmental Achievement
2002 Lewis Thomas Prize for Writing about Science
2005 Elected Honorary Fellow, Trinity College, Cambridge, England
2006 Royal Society Prize for Science Books for Collapse (shortlisted]
2006 Dickson Prize in Science
2008 PhD Honoris Causa at the Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Belgium
2013 Wolf Prize in Agriculture
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jared_Diamond_bibliography
[2] http://www.nationalgeographic.com/explorers/bios/jared-diamo...
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jared_Diamond#Awards_and_honor...
I'd mostly pick Diamond over his critics, FWIW, but I'm pretty ignorant myself.
But of course we aren't strictly following those trends (interview is from mid-2013) particularly with respect to oil. Anybody remember "Peak Oil" and how we were supposed to be on a straight downward slope for supplies? Now the received wisdom is that we'll have a glut of supply stretching into the far future.
This isn't meant as a knock on either Dr. Diamond or on duaneb, just that his conclusions are pretty general and roundish. I find them provocative and appreciate the perspective.
Uh, source? We have a short term glut caused by production picking up, but our long term reserves haven't changed tangibly. There's about 1,324bil barrels in proven reserves (among the largest 17 reserves, ending with brazil at 13bil); global use is 95mb/d -- which is about 38 years of use. That's not 'stretching in to the far future'.
(numbers from https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Oil_reserves#Estimated_reserve...)
- Fresh water
- Fisheries
- Forests
- Top soil
Top soil is certainly one I rarely hear mentioned. Beyond that the other three though banal are the most important so what else is he supposed to say?
There's a lot of news and Elon Musk / Solar is doing very well at trying to get people to move off oil. But I don't hear of anyone near the same scale doing things to to solve the Fisheries / Forests / Water problems.
Forests - well, too bad for them (and for us)
Water - once it priced more correctly, like with oil/gas (we still have many socialized externalities even there of course), market machinery will start to pickup bringing up more efficient use as well as various projects to efficiently produce and geographically redistribute water (like moving the record snow from Boston to the record drought striken CA :)
http://www.nhm.ac.uk/nature-online/science-of-natural-histor...
That's what Darwin had to do too.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2015/04/14/dining/field-g...
http://www.buzzfeed.com/kaylayandoli/all-anyone-really-wants...