Chinese Buyers Replace Canadians as Top Foreign Buyers of U.S. Homes
wsj.com
wsj.com
Popular methods methods include Macau casinos and high-end art.[2][3]
By some estimates, between $1 trillion and $4 trillion in untraced assets have left China since 2000.[4]
Chinese buyers are also the largest group of foreign investors in residential property in the UK and Australia.[5]
[1] http://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/1550351...
[2] http://money.cnn.com/2014/02/20/news/economy/china-art-laund...
[3] http://qz.com/19712/how-chinas-elite-illicitly-move-their-mo...
[4] http://www.icij.org/offshore/leaked-records-reveal-offshore-...
[5] http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/fcc2d346-bcd3-11e4-9902-00144feab7...
If I were a law-abiding millennial trying to buy a house in one of these markets I would be extremely frustrated. The playing field was a little uneven before (young versus old) but the influx of foreign money has taken it to the next level. The domestic political challenge is that current homeowners have no incentive to stop it because they receive a net benefit from rising home prices. And of course the real estate machine (agents, appraisers, contractors, etc) are all incentivized to ensure it continues.
Most economists seem to agree that the best long-term solution is a high land value tax (replacing various other taxes). Let the foreign owners pay 3% of home value each year to local governments - it will encourage them to invest elsewhere, or at least discourage letting properties sit idle. But in the short term house prices in areas like California would fall.
2) Why? Somebody is already paying 100% of the property tax without putting stress on the roads, the schools, police and fire services, local parks, libraries, and other services that local governments are hired to provide. The neighbors get more bang for their buck, leave alone financial stability that property appreciation brings.
A high tax for unoccupied residences would be a better one. It would increase housing supply so the double whammie of buying a house and leaving it unoccupied wouldn't effect the housing supply nearly as much.
An acquaintance who works as a wealth management consultant made an interesting point: there are hot markets in other areas of the country, but SFO is right here. The bay's accessibility could be exacerbating our problems, ironically.
He is advising his clients to pull out of real estate in California right now - not so much because of a potential bubble, but because the market is so bizarre.
If you really hate paywalls, the only real solution is to find a different online community.
[0] http://www.realtor.org/reports/profile-of-international-home...
One of the properties was vacant and owned by a Taiwanese citizen. I guess they really don't care about ROI.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2015/02/11/c...
This isn't correct. By maintaining a low exchange rate, people were paid less (the government acquired debt in lieu of a higher exchange rate) resulting in China (the people in China) having a lower international purchasing power.
Wealth would have no doubt similarly been accumulated by those that owned the factors of production, but a lower exchange rate deflated China's, and it's citizens', purchasing power, from foreign holidays to domestic essentials, such as oil, and even the price of corn, beans and rice (produced domestically, but prices set largely by international demand).
Why? The government was petrified by unemployment. Closing down government enterprises meant people had to be employed somewhere. Better to have someone working hard all day providing for their family and seeing economic progress (obstensively the East of the country) than back on the farm with too much spare time.
Something different is happening now - from my perspective the East is 'developed enough' and bitterly complaining about pollution. The inner regions, comparatively much poorer, complain about lack of wealth more than pollution - so move some production there (despite significantly increased logistics costs), mainly for the now much larger domestic market, and let development in the East slow (or, slightly, contract - cool the bubble that does exist).
For housing costs - surely things like the EB-5, which for a modest investment can grant a green card for you and your family are a major driving factor.
The main issue is that wealth is very unequal in China. That low level official making 5k rmb/month is pulling in 20, 30, 40k rmb in grey money. They have to stash it somewhere, and overseas is safer when the government can make you an example at any moment.
Also, there are so few investment option in the mainland that if you do have money even from purely legit sources, buying a house overseas is probably much more sane than investing in extremely bubbly local real estate or stocks.
A lot of apartments are owned and vacant even in first tier cities; rents are incredibly weak compared to sale prices. I pay 7500 rmb/month ($1100?) for something that would go on the market for $700k! Top that off, volume in 2nd hand real estate is pretty low even here in Beijing (you hear "I would sell one of my apartments, but no one would buy it for the price I want" - doh!).
Also, it helps America. The middle class can't buy homes any more, so it's nice we can import a new group of rich people. That way we can keep playing games in the real estate and mortgage markets.
Also I suspect lack of trust in the local stockmarket might have something to do with it.
Do you have any evidence to back that up or are you just making it up? I'd personally be surprised if it has even crossed the mind of some of them. More likely, the Chinese are buying US properties because they are cheap and can be rented for profit.
And the level of unserviced debt is getting high, but the central bank prefers to have the lenders rolling it over rather than letting defaults be triggered.
So buying property abroad would make sense for those Chinese who can afford it in terms of diversifying their investments as well as having a back door out of the country if it things go sour.
https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web...
You don't think some of the Cadres saw what happened to Nicolai Chauchesku and think that if it went really bad that that could be them. Remember that within living memory China has had extended periods of almost anarchy.