Challenging the MLS Monopoly
quandyfactory.com
quandyfactory.com
The biggest brokers in an area will monopolize 60%+ of all the data in a single MLS. When they have control over the listings, they have control over the MLS. If they threaten to leave an MLS, the MLS is worthless, and one company wins.
So, the MLS compromises. It does the bidding of the biggest listing offices and everyone else suffers.
I speak from first hand experience as a vendor in multiple markets. An open mls would be mind blowing and wonderful, bit it's not a matter of setting up a nice website, it's a matter of beating through the bureaucracy.
This is absolutely NOT a technical problem. The real problem has several facets:
1. Politics. You covered this.
2. Agent resistance to change. This is a huge issue. Roughly 80% of agents I've encountered are tech neophytes and can hardly use their own existing MLS system, which hasn't changed in a decade. Technologists look at Web 2.0 as being an ease-of-use panacea, but this is a group of users that literally run away from anything new or different, especially technology. Not every agent falls in this category, but most do.
3. Most users see the existing MLS as good enough. Web nerds cringe when they see circa-1996 web UI and fully closed data silos. Agents see a system that technically gets the job done, even if it's a bit cumbersome. If you ask an average agent what his or her work-related biggest pain points are, the MLS UI will not be in the top 5.
What is it about the market that causes nominally entrepreneurial people (they're commission-driven after all) to tie themselves to a large brokerage that will eat a lot of their earnings?
And make lots of money.
What's interesting is that they haven't tried to go after big names at first... it's surely more of a long tail kind of thing. They started off only doing small, local venues, but they're doing so well that they're naturally starting to pick up bigger and bigger ones.
I'll be excited to see Ticketmaster go. I don't know of anynone who enjoys dealing with them.
In defense of real estate agents, however, they aren't necessarily willing participants in this fiasco. For instance, a city's real estate board can charge agents fees (and really, really, really ridiculous fees) for access to the service. And there's no choice: it's the only way to be a realtor. Agents suck it up like just another cost of doing business, but the reality is that the real estate boards are acting extremely unethically.
Important nitpick: Realtor is a registered trademark of the National Association of Realtors. Not all real estate agents are Realtors. It's yet another racket in the industry.
For example, our national association doesn't even own Realtor.com; they made an apparently permanent agreement with a private company which charges us additional fees for "enhanced" listings.
The other problem is that the MLS's are all controlled regionally, and it's not so much about the technology as it is about the bureaucracy. While the author makes an excellent point, many are currently attempting it but it's not easy. Companies such as Redfin seem to be slowly getting there. As an agent, I'd be the first to support a free, nationwide MLS, but I don't know if it's something that can be solved by technology alone.
I noticed a bug in our CSV import one day and I discovered that they were quoting, but not escaping quotes in any way. Thereby making it possible for any realtor to inject whatever the data they wanted for anyone else's listings either before or after theirs (depending on how the data importers resolved conflicts).
This was a huge security hole affecting probably hundreds of thousands of listings nationwide, and you know what their developer support said to me? They actually sent me a suggested workaround tailored to the particular instance of corrupted data that I had encountered. When I explained to them the ramifications of this to their business they simply ignored me.
Damn I'm glad I got out of that game.
"Hi, I'm in room 118 and I smell smoke."
"We'll send up some air freshener right away, sir."
It is not a technical problem, and there is no technical solution.
It's easy to make a better database, but it isn't useful if it isn't full of data. And you won't get lots of data because the network effects are too strong. It has been tried many times.
Besides that, you must realize that MLS's make most of their revenue from MLS fees; if they didn't run the MLS then they wouldn't have a very big budget, and many people would lose their jobs. MLS's have strong relationships with their members (agents and brokers). There is no incentive for anyone close to the data sources to support such a thing.
To your point about making something "so much better" that they'd use a new system anyway, read this: http://www.inman.com/opinion/guest-perspective/2009/11/10/th...
Sadly, Foxtons US is dead (http://www.reuters.com/article/bondsNews/idUSN27422652200709...) and ZipRealty has been around for 7+ years without revolutionizing the industry. There must be a deeper explanation than "Realtors make 6% a sale for accessing a database."
My hypothesis is "rational, well-informed market decisions" would ensure few purchases and sales ever close. With so much on the line (life savings, huge debt, negotiation anxieties, moving uncertainties), normal people simply can't handle the stress without some hand-holding.
As a licensed agent, I've personally had plenty of cases where I knew I found the clients a steal, but I had to spend enormous amounts of energy and time convincing them take action (and before someone else beats them to it).
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/National_Association_of_Realtor.... http://www.opensecrets.org/orgs/list.php
This violates my local MLS' TOS. Pretty much everything violates the MLS TOS. Did you know that agents can't put their contact info on their MLS listings?
There are many companies that offer such a service today, and it is starting to help. Syndication is what will eventually allow the MLS monopoly to be broken I think...
Five years ago probably 95% of homes found by buyers online were found via MLS search sites. But syndication has started to shift this number lower and distribute it among many other sites (trulia, zillow, craigslist, etc etc).
As the % of online shoppers viewing true MLS data drops, brokers will continue to syndicate their listings to other sites, which will accelerate the shift away from MLS reliance even further.
After a while, the monopoly will be broken and then you will start to see radical shifts like you describe where real estate agents are used for their professional services -- advice, negotiation, paperwork, and expertise, and NOT as an overpriced access fee to the MLS data.
It's sort of like applying an open expert system to everything.
I think this value proposition, "We make it easy to navigate x beaurocracy" is pretty interesting.
Leaving aside the morality of these gurus...
Wonder if this would be a thin edge of the wedge area to start with aggregating data on house sales? People are already meeting in person and swapping information about where are the sales, which ones do they want to syndicate, so you have less of a bootstrapping problem. You could also provide ways for people to signal interest in a particular home deal, or provide a commission to people who bring in data on a home that is later successfully syndicated/sold even if the reporter isn't in on the deal. Maybe there are other approaches. Then grow from that segment to more real estate data if the model proves out.
As technologists, try reading each of the points in this report as network partitions, and design a solution to route around the information block. There are various approaches available now to bypass some of these rules.
Alas, they can rewrite the rules, too, as necessary. For example, in Texas realtors were taking bulk listings from builders and investors for a flat fee of $150 and putting the data in the MLS, but nothing else. Since this was a direct attack on the semi-fixed price of 6% commissions, the Texas Association of Realtors got their politician lackeys to pass a new law, requiring "minimum professional services" from all Texas real estate license holders. This fixed price posting still goes on a bit, but not in bulk anymore. Any technical routing around of the MLS must expect the Borg to counterattack.
The realtor associations even violate their own rules, and/or keep their rules vague, so when the time comes they slap everyone around by giving them days to comply or they are cut off from MLS. (That cuts off an entire brokerage when one agent is out of compliance.) With that kind of career-ending leverage, they are quite effective in keeping the sharecroppers down on the farm, and paid up on their dues.
I have never been a realtor, but I did follow a carefully laid out plan to be licensed and still avoid the Borg, which the realtor association ignored completely. Feel free to contact me if you want to share stories and ideas.
There are a handful of major franchises (Re/Max, Century 21, CBRE on the commercial side) that folks sign on to. Why are such companies so enticing to agents? Is there a benefit to doing the same thing as every other agent in your region, or is the barrier to standalone entry to the market too high?
I presume that the franchise groups are heavily wedded to the existing MLS stuff, even if they have their own separate listing facilities (certainly the largest Re/Max group here puts all their listings on their own website).
I should talk to one of my neighbours about it, as I have some interesting ideas :)
If the information would be free, then I would certainly be ok with paying less, but there is more to the real estate service than just the data.
I would imagine you are familiar with Zillow?
If you're trying to get realtors to buy in, why would you make this a goal? Private sales == less commission for the relators == less profit.
I read the headline as meaning "Masters in Library Science", and was expecting an anti-librarian screed.