Number of Wikipedia editors steadily declining
online.wsj.com
online.wsj.com
The valid reasons mostly center on the fact that 'mining history' at some point comes to a halt, there are only so many relevant subjects from the past that warrant inclusion.
At some point it gets harder to find stuff that you can include on pages about historical events, objects and people.
This will lead to a reduction of work and like any company that would work on a job that has 'an end' (the documentation of history would be that job) that when the job is done the people end up without work.
The other reasons are less nice and do not stem from accomplishment but from the power that a relatively small group of experienced users wields.
Wikipedia is full of politics and infighting. The atmosphere, especially for new people joining up is full of venom. New editors have their content (their work!) deleted, often without cause, get bombarded with messages with lots of wikipedia specific jargon and feel in general seriously intimidated.
Of course this nicely serves the purpose of those that have hijacked wikipedia from being a public project to one that they use as their personal fiefdom.
There are 'factions' amongst the editors that seem to be aware of this problem and there are those that seem to be it's main creators. I hope that in the long run the first group will get the upper hand but judging by the various wars on 'talk' pages it might be that it is the former group that is now giving up and leaving.
I predict that wikipedia will sooner or later be 'forked' by a group of the former, with stricter guidelines in place for moderators and that the 'old' wikipedia will be abandoned to the inmates that want to run the asylum.
[citation needed]
Apparently he has since quit Wikipedia too. My guess is we were both arguing with the same mod. And the cat being an animal argument was a metaphorical argument we were having while discussing an edit.
That won't matter much. Google loves the wikipedia.org domain so much, that any new site will need seriously hard work to get it even moving. In short, it won't have the traffic necessary to compete.
If another website will take wikipedias place in terms of quality and wikipedia will degrade then wikipedia will find that people will start linking to that other site. In time this will lead google to increase the ranking for these pages.
Remember that google indexes PAGES not DOMAINS.
So for every page that the new wikipedia contains that the old one does not the forked one gets right of way. It's not like wikipedia started off with millions of pages and lots of backlinks. The new project would be a fork in the open source sense, a new name with a fresh start and a chance to show how it can be done better. Its ability to lure people away from the 'old' wikipedia is what makes it go, the editors will determine its success, not google.
And the chances of that success are simply a factor of how much time they put in collectively to make it different and better than the original.
If half the editors decide tomorrow to reboot then I don't doubt that given enough time they'll out-perform the infighters and the politicians. They'll have to be on guard against repeating the same mistakes from day 1 though to make it work.
There is a 'ban hammer' that has been applied to domains wholesale in the past, to give all the pages in a domain a PR of 0, but a PR boost across a domain has not been seen 'in the wild' as far as I know.
A good test would be to find out-of-order wikipedia pages that have content that is clearly of lesser value than pages that are ranked lower. That would be fairly conclusive proof that such a boost indeed exists. I haven't seen it though, but I'm open to change my mind if someone has some real proof of that.
Pages on .edu domains used to get a huge boost, and it's possible that they still do.
http://www.lowprofilelinks.com/blog/?p=35 http://www.articlesbase.com/link-popularity-articles/backlin...
Those only talk about inbound links from edu pages increasing one's PageRank, so maybe I was remembering incorrectly.
That, and the standards have risen. It used to be that there were plenty of unwritten articles, so throwing together articles from common knowledge and anecdote was "good enough". Nowadays, there's a lot more focus on high-quality referenced work -- and, while that's a lot more useful in the long run, it's also a lot harder to write. And the majority new users simply aren't up to the task. High-quality writing is hard, and crowdsourcing doesn't make it any easier.
The mainstream media isn't going to publish anything about Wikipedia unless it's got a hook. "Online Encyclopedia Still Surprisingly Useful" just isn't catchy enough.
For non-mainstream criticism, it generally seems to be, well lets say, "kooks". I actually seek out new criticism in the hope that it may be enlightening. Most recently I saw a blog comment from someone who wrote a column in the Guardian newspaper about Wikipedia's problems and how it is a cult. I literally just remembered this, and Google'd for it and found this:
"I'm on Wikipedia, get me out of here" : an article complaining about his own Wikipedia article.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/technology/2006/sep/28/wikipedia.w...
Which has a link to all his articles (which seem overwhelmingly to be Wikipedia criticism):
http://www.guardian.co.uk/profile/sethfinkelstein
And a couple of results down a story about his conflict of interest in this particular story:
"Seth Finkelstein, The Guardian and Wikipedia"
http://blog.shankbone.org/2009/04/20/seth-finkelstein-the-gu...
You really couldn't make it up. I'd love to read some actual thoughful criticisms but just can't seem to find them. Links are appreciated if you're aware of any.
Maybe the articles people care most about are sufficiently well written. Many people can't add much valuable information to a lot of the topics and so they don't feel the need to participate. Without this first quick win, there is little incentive to keep editing.
Even the HN headline does this: "Number of Wikipedia editors steadily declining". Maybe it should be "Quality of Wikipedia articles steadily improving". Which is the cause? Which is the effect?
The article says "Indeed, Wikipedia remains enormously popular among users, with the number of Web visitors growing 20% in the 12 months ending in September, according to comScore Media Metrix." This would indicate Wikipedia itself is gaining in popularity even as the WSJ headline implies it is going downhill (precipitously, I might add).
FWIIW, I've tossed in my 2c occasionally, but only as an anonymous contributor. I don't contribute enough to qualify as an editor, but sometimes a fact is wrong, needs clarification, or some English is rough. So, is there any metrics of anonymous contributions? Are they up? Are they down?
Beyond that, the article is full of anecdotes of Things That Went Wrong (but were corrected). How is that not a success story? If nothing went wrong, it would be because nothing was contributed. For the risk adverse, the "optimal" trade-off of risk vs. change suppresses all change (this is endemic in large corporations).
Then the rest of the article rolls out the same old criticisms of lack of credentials among Wikipedia editors.
Those who say it cannot be done should not interrupt those who are doing it -- Chinese Proverb
I have contributed a few edits to Wikipedia over the years. Why not, if I can usefully fill in a blank and it costs me mere seconds to help?
More recently, though, I've been finding subjects where the entire article was so hopelessly wrong that I wouldn't know where to begin fixing it, other than deleting it completely and starting over. I looked for an appropriate marker in one case that would at least suggest that the article as a whole did not represent a neutral point of view or was completely unsupported by any factual evidence, but after a few minutes trying to navigate Wikipedia's absurdly overcomplicated self-documentation and finding nothing but reasons I wasn't allowed to fix anything or contribute, I gave up and found something else to do with my time.
I wonder whether the neutral point of view principle isn't a significant part of the problem. Many of the pages I find most misleading are deadlocked, because no-one can agree on what a neutral point of view is.
Under those circumstances, perhaps it would be more helpful to do what civilised discussion has done since forever: present two articles (or sections in an article) that, by construction and intent, take opposing viewpoints. Let the reader see both sides of the debate, making the best case they can and with the best sources they can find to support their point of view, and let the reader decide. As long as it is very clear when there is a single article trying to present a subject neutrally and when the adversarial system is in use, I don't see why this would cause a problem, and it would break a lot of the deadlocks I've seen and get constructive editing going again.
I've long contended, in discussion about the media, that it's absolutely impossible to have a completely neutral presentation.
Since this is true, it seems better to me to stop pretending to be neutral, and instead to acknowledge the ways in which there may be bias.
On the tricky pages I encountered, often the problem was that the material was presented as a description of something, followed by advantages and disadvantages sections, and while the description may have been factual, that's where the objectivity ended. Perhaps from Wikipedia's point of view that means the pros and cons simply shouldn't be featured.
Realistically, however, someone researching a new field will probably be interested in such information, and many pages on Wikipedia do have this structure. Rather than trying to push water uphill, it might be a smarter move to adapt to the reality and do it properly.
There is also a fairly straightforward process of assessing the weight that a "Controversies" section gives to a POV by repeatedly citing similar or related sources, and a set of editing tactics that can be used to collapse them into a summary graf.
http://www.google.com/search?q=rupert+murdoch+paywall+google...
They have a serious conundrum: they want to be indexed by Google so that they can attract visitors, but they want to be paid by subscriptions (paywall), which is more lucrative than advertisements (assuming they can convert visitors into subscribers).
Even if they closed the "referred by Google" hole, they would still have to allow the googlebot unfettered access in order to index their site. This would make the hole slightly more obscure, but it would not close it.
EDIT: Just noticed you can actually turn on their improvements by clicking the "Try Beta" link in the upper-right corner of the page. Seems really nice, actually.
The good news is that the editorial standards are extremely consistent, so it's easy to extract information. They also allow batch updates, so if I find an easy way to correct vast swaths of this data, I could send a batch update file once