What the clueless young engineers tend to overestimate is their likelihood of being a founder in the next go 'round. They're smart enough to realize that their option grants won't make them rich, but they think that if they work 70 hours per week, they'll be promoted rapidly and getting personal introductions to investors, from the CEO, inside of two years. Of course, that's rarely how it happens. If everyone could hop into the founder ranks just by working hard, who would be left to be the employees on 0.05%? The Valley doesn't mislead young people about their equity grants (because that would be illegal) so much as it tends to mislead them about reporting structure, project allocation, and expected career trajectory. Consequently, you have a lot of startups where on a team of 10 people, you have 6 people who think that they're the boss (because of implicit promises made to them in the hiring process).