Small enough that I could-reimplement it in approximately 3500 lines of code + another 850 for the virtual memory management.
This could only work if the entity paying for the certification had a way of making that money back somehow and I don't see how that could be done.
It would cost a significant amount of money to develop the necessary artifacts and engage the FAA to obtain a certification.
What I think the whole thread above misses is that the economics simply aren't there, cost isn't the limiting factor for the OS licenses for avionics but an extra certification track (especially for a fast moving target) would be, besides, it is not just the OS that gets certified but you will also have to (separately) certify (usually) the hardware that it runs on (unless you're going to use a design that has already been certified).
That means that modifications are expensive and that 'known to be good' trumps 'could be better' or 'could be cheaper in the longer term'.
Someone would have to come up with a very good reason to see open source trump the existing closed source solutions.
In addition, a modular microkernel architecture could use reproducible builds to generate identical binaries from identical source. This would enable binary components to be certified both separately (akin to unit testing) and as an integrated system (mix and match components). This could reduce overall duplication and certification costs, even among competing commercial products derived from seL4 components.