Are the Cool Kids Leaving Facebook?
markevanstech.com
markevanstech.com
Facebook, like Myspace before it, gained popularity for the same reason as sports cars are popular -- people used large lists of "friends" just like powerful car engines to compensate for their feelings of insecurity and inadequacy.
This isn't to say that social networking sites have no useful purpose: Just like sports cars provide the service of getting from point A to point B, social networking sites provide mechanisms for manycasting news. But this is a secondary function of far less importance than compensating for genitalia size.
I don't think that the cool kids ever were on Facebook. They're all too busy on Hacker news.
grin
In the 90's, you put up your very own Geocities page in a virtual neighborhood, and then joined a webring of like minded folks.
Facebook, MySpace, et al, just seem to be the Web 2.0 Ajax Reflectioned Logo version of Geocities, and will probably follow a similar path.
No matter how you view it, I think 2008 is the year for the trough of disillusionment for Facebook.
I'm a cool kid, dammit, and I have a facebook account - because it gives me the broadest channel for passive information sharing. As soon as all my friends are Cool Kids and join Friendfeed.com, I can get rid of my facebook account. That may never happen though. In the meantime - all my content goes on that and on my personal homepage as well as facebook, so that I can use it however I want in the future.
I agree with brk, below (and hope we're right), that 2008 will be a year when people are increasingly disillusioned with facebook.
Other than that - I wish people would post disagreements rather than downmodding. That ought to be reserved for really dumb comments or abusive ones or off-topic ones. Not that I give that much of a crap about my karma, it just makes me go, "WTF was wrong with that?!" When somebody downmods a perfectly on topic, personal response to the article.
The business-arc of social networking sites will be much shorter than for non-social applications, and I'm not sure how anyone can ever build a decades-long success on social networking.
T
I've been improving my blog with stuff like Twitter/Jaiku widgets, OpenID, Gravatar, photo albums, etc. I can push my presence out using RSS. Piece by piece I'm adding all of the useful features of Facebook.
I can own all of my own data and control all of my own privacy.
I use the Wordbook plugin for Wordpress to bridge to my Facebook profile.
I'd definitely leave for an open, easy-to-use system where I am in control of my personal data's usage. Perhaps an open protocol that email providers could abide by. But until that day I'm sure I'll stay, albeit while attempting to minimise the personal data I exude (which is difficult, I know).