Progress 59 ISS Resupply ship malfunctions, docking postponed indefinitely
arstechnica.com
arstechnica.com
We haven't had to rely on a 1:1 record->transmit system for about 50years now. If the antenna has more bandwidth than required then a few seconds of connectivity each revolution may be enough to give a perfectly smooth video signal.
Graceful degregation is very useful.
Combine those things together and you get a pretty large section of the original signal intact.
"JSpOC, located at Vandenberg air force base in California, also says there are 44 pieces of debris in the vicinity of the cargo vehicle and part of the rocket body."
I'm speculating then that it got nailed by something. With the large drop in propellant as you noted, maybe something nailed a pressurized tank? That could punch a hole in it, and maybe the resulting thrust from the tank is what drove it's spin.
I'm probably visualizing this wrong but it seems as though it might have the potential to pass by ISS every now and then.
It won't have completely "finished its burn" until it's docked. But I don't think it would ever have a higher apogee than the ISS, because that's just a waste of fuel. If it's just short of docking then I'd expect it to be either in a same-shaped orbit slightly lower than the ISS (i.e. almost circular) ready for a Hohmann transfer, or in an ellipse whose apogee just touches the ISS' orbit ready for a circularization burn.
Even if the orbits do cross an accidental collision is extremely unlikely - the objects are very small compared to how fast they're travelling, their motion is predictable years ahead, and the Progress is at an altitude where its orbit will naturally decay in a few months if nothing is done.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Progress_M-34
Edit. Some more detail here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mir#Shuttle.E2.80.93Mir and here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mir#Accidents
(1940 + 110 + 926 + 3128) = 6104 lb = 2771 kg = 3.054 short tons.
If any U.S. agency is in desperate need of converting to the metric system, it's NASA. Remember the Mars Climate Orbiter? [1] As long as there is at least one person in the general vicinity of NASA who does not habitually use the metric system, that can happen again.
Edit: Wait did you seriously convert pounds to kilograms to short tons? That's like going from meters to feet to kilometers.
This is the first time in my reasonably long life I see "tons" used for something that is not 1000 kilos. The way it read was "3000+ kgs of payload", not "3000+ pounds" of it. Really quite confusing and worthy of a comment.
A metric ton (aka "tonne") == 1000kg
And in fact 6104 / 2000 = 3.052, so OP lost a few lbs in the conversion process as well.