“Cheating teachers go to jail. Cheating Wall Streeters don’t. What’s up?”
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Madoff, for instance, moved from Wall Street into a cell where he belongs, refuting the above headline. His regulators, however, weren't even charged with anything AFAIK. That despite their inaction for many years being either criminal negligence or the result of being bribed.
(From http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2014-01-07/jpmorgan-pa... - "The government regulators, led by the Securities and Exchange Commission, also didn't catch Bernie Madoff, even though they were his regulators and that was literally their job. And while yes JPMorgan ignored some red flags, so did the SEC. Like, the many many credible letters they got to the effect of "Bernie Madoff is a big ol' Ponzi scheme." Should the SEC be paying an even bigger penalty than $1.7 billion?")
Nor should they unless they were colluding with him or accepting bribes.
The punishment for just being bad at your job should be getting fired, not jail. Of course, I doubt many lost their job either.
You should keep that in mind next time you get surgery. :-)
Or coding software for medical machines.
Or being a pilot or a bus driver.
Or construction.
I don't believe anybody was arrested for the Therac-25[1] accidents.
None of those listed professions at any time motivate their training due to fear of imprisionment. It is a complete non factor and it's only effect is to shovel more pain and tragedy on already tragic situations to the illusion of relief for a small porportion of the parties aggrevied.
I don't care why he's doing his best. It would be nice if he was doing his best because he's a dedicated professional, but doing his best out of fear is far better than being operated on by some slacker not giving their best.
So the answer to your question is yes, please, I want the surgeon who is doing his best; not the one who is slacking.
Far harder to measure but magnitudes greater damage.
In Madoff's case there was an additional issue - the people he defrauded were mostly wealthy and powerful.
http://mcadams.posc.mu.edu/txt/ah/assyria/hammurabi.html#Ham...
By way of analogy, if I create a new kind of medical device, the FDA does not say, "We don't have any regulations that cover that, so it's completely unregulated until we see the need to write some." No way.
But a new financial product, while it can't kill anyone, it can still cause massive damage. (We just got a case study in this in 2008.) The default for any new financial idea should be regulated, not unregulated.
And "but it's not a bank!" doesn't cut it. Mortgage securitization wasn't a bank activity, but it still nearly destroyed the world economy. Repo isn't a bank activity, either, but it played a significant role in the crash. Both are "bank-like" enough that they needed serious regulation. Since the risks were not yet understood, any regulation in place was not nearly stringent enough.
A great writeup about this by someone a bit more credible than Krugman can be found at http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/02/23/so-what-exactly-ca...
Written by Yale and Wharton Professor Gary Gorton, who has held positions at the Bank Of England, the Federal Reserve and the FDIC.
"Innovation" is almost always another way of saying "We found another way to gamble with the customer's money."
The regulators, rating agencies, mortgage lenders, government, GSEs all contributed to people overleveraging, but thats not even the real issue.
The real problem is that the economy has changed, and all but the high skilled jobs are going overseas or being done by machines.
Bankers are not going to jail because they didn't break any laws. People need to stop being parrots and making claims about things they dont understand.
You look at the software industry, what do we see? Mild amateurs not encrypting personal data, or not protecting their sensitive data against hacking 101 attacks (we still see sql injections attacks in this day and age!). You see a very large shady industry prospering on invading the privacy of unsuspecting users (and not just the adclick of this world: google, facebook!). In a corporate environment, developers have a similar bad reputation than house builders in term of creating projects that very often take a lot longer that expected, fail, or simply are not fit for purpose.
Does it have no consequences? It has massive consequences and the worst data leaks are probably yet to come. Should we impose heavy regulations on the software industry and curb toxic innovation? It is certainly not an absurd debate. Obviously most people in the software industry will react to this with hostility. They will argue it would negatively affect innovation and progress, that there are good and bad apples, and that one cannot judge an entire industry without a minimum understanding of how it works and how it benefits the economy.
Well guess what: it is the same with the financial industry!
1. Were Madoff's regulators fired? (My guess: they weren't, it wasn't even weighed as a realistic option by whoever should fire them.)
2. Was there an investigation into whether they were bribed, as there should be when someone is so spectacularly incompetent at their job that it's hard to reconcile with having the mental skills necessary to get the job in the first place? (My bet: there was no investigation whatsoever.)
Your assumption they were either bribed or incompetent is unwarranted.
If the SEC cannot look at the actual balance sheet as maintained by banks etc. until "the wheels come off" and until then they can only rely on what the org says its balance sheet is, things are really bad but somehow I doubt that's the case.
No, actually. This is wrong. You can't spot a clever Ponzi scheme if the person who provides the balance sheet is willing to put down false information.
As an auditor all you can do is correlate the bits of information you have. If the criminal is intelligent you won't spot anything until it's too late.
The "warnings" they got were that Madoff's fund was making money too consistently. That's useless.
As to the warnings being useless - you mean that the likelihood of such warnings does not correlate with the real state of things enough to justify action? As in, every legitimate money manager is suspected by many competitors of being a fraud and the SEC is overwhelmed with meaningless warnings to that effect? I doubt it somehow.
"Starve the beast", remember?
How much bloody staff do you need to take a peek at the securities kept at a fund's bank account? We aren't talking "complex" stuff like rating agencies putting AAA ratings on junk (and BTW S&P was slapped on its wrist with a >$1B fine over that after an investigation). We're talking about a guy with almost no staff who paid "returns on investments" from his pool of investments.
The sum of the securities he'd keep would thus fall far behind the number following from his reports. Not noticing can only result from not checking. Not checking that much after multiple warnings results from defunding?! Perhaps, if there was just the janitor left and all the regulators were fired. Was that the case?
(You know what could be a probable cause other than incompetence or taking bribes? A desire to be employed by a Wall Street firm after resigning as a regulator, and a belief that it wouldn't work out if Madoff were checked and found clean, or even if checked and found guilty. But is it more than a convoluted bribe?)
Of course they should go to jail, justice is blind, the law applies to all, look up the magna carta. When some are more equal than others injustice and corruption occurs, we see it vividly throughout the US corporate-fascist complex.
Lifeguards can go to jail (in Europe, at least) for manslaughter, as can ski marshals, if they're deemed sufficiently negligent when someone dies. It's pretty rare, but certainly something on the equivalent scale to causing a global economic crisis would warrant it.
Deregulation is not a good thing for people who want to go in-house doing regulatory work.
A tough regulator will not.
Once regulatory capture has happened, incumbents in the industry are incentivized to use regulations to create barriers to entry.
The result is a lot of regulation, lots of work around regulatory compliance, and very little that accomplishes the purported purpose of said regulation.
Every so often regulatory failures become so bad that government steps in, creates more rules, and we get more bureaucracy. But the status quo inexorably reasserts itself.
That would not even be sufficient, because for all we know they were bribed with hookers and cocaine. It would not be the first time.
Are they paid enough for that increase in risk? I don't know what they make, but other government positions are already underpaid compared to their private sector equivalents. Making them come with a risk of jail time for failing ones job too badly will only result in even less qualified people filling those positions.
I'm sure this would be politically untenable. Headlines would cry about absurd salaries being given to government employees.
However I'm equally confident it would save us money in the long run. The current system seems almost designed to create toothless regulators and a revolving door.
You can prevent a person with malicious intent from causing further damage by imprisoning them. You 'deter' people who commit crimes of omission by keeping them away from whatever they proved incompetent at (debar lawyers, de-license doctors and regulators, fire engineers, etc.)
Clever way to divert a discussion.
A regulatory agency that serves a liberal (or at least pro-regulation) administration failing to catch a crook is indeed bad at its job, and yes people should probably get fired.
A regulatory agency that serves an anti-regulation administration (and in particular Bush's SEC) failing to catch a crook, is doing exactly what the American people voted for it to do, which is nothing at all.
You can't win an election on the platform that someone's job shouldn't exist, he shouldn't have the tools to do it, and we shouldn't be paying his salary, then suddenly turn around and want to throw him in jail for not doing that effectively enough.
What tools did they lack to check the warnings they got from numerous sources? Do they not have the right to check which securities the fund actually holds in its bank accounts?
Not true. They go to jail when they're caught getting corrupted by those they should regulate, which unfortunately happens often enough.
I make this point because these people aren't super rich wall street people above the law. And plenty more than one were caught and jailed for it, I've found 4 examples on the first page of my bing search. Stewart is saying only one bank exec went to jail, but bank execs weren't the ones doing this mortgage fraud.
Some "Wall Street" banks do sell mortgages directly and would employ these mortgage offices, but a lot banks don't like Goldman Sachs, the former Lehman Bros.
The question is whether big commercial banks were complicit in the fraud of their lower level employees. You'd need to find an email or someone willing to testify that the banks knew that the loan offices in podunk were encouraging fraud. That is an extremely tough case to prove without solid evidence.
Also, this kind of document fraud was only a minor part of the financial collapse. The big mistake, which Stewart briefly touched on, was that the rating agencies massive fucked up. The financial risk model they used didn't work.
Well, no, those are two sides of the same coin.
On the one hand you have people giving out dubious loans and reselling them while claiming that if you mix the shit up the right way it turns into gold.
On the other hand you have ratings agencies who bought into the nonsense.
The two were 100% complicit and, I think, equally to blame.
The fraud exacerbated the issue further, but I wouldn't say it is two sides of the same coin.
Frankly, I think it was simply stupidity and hubris. On both sides. It's amazing how stupid people are in the face of irrational exuberance. Which is why I say: they're equally complicit.
As are those folks who took the loans (though to a lesser degree, as they may have been poorly or actively misinformed by loan officers), and those folks who bought and sold the derivatives knowing full well what was in them (or at least were aware of the models the risk assessments were based on).
Which is where ultimately regulators and regulations are supposed to play a role: to counteract the market's tendency toward irrationality. IMO, if you want to lay the crash at the feet of anyone, it's captured regulators, toothless regulatory bodies, and elected officials who bought into Wall Street bullshit that they could mind their own playground.
And really, you could lay all that straight at the feet of that granddaddy of all corruption issues: money in politics.
A while back, Frontline did their own investigation on this very topic, and interviewed multiple underwriters and loan officers who said that the higher ups on Wall Street were literally directing everyone to not abide by their own standards.
You can watch the entire documentary here: http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/untouchables/
Lanny Breuer from the DOJ was interviewed in this documentary, and his attempt to explain why the DOJ did not pursue any charges on executives was so laughable, and the evidence presented from Frontline's cursory investigation was so damning, that Mr. Breuer resigned days after the program was aired. After not prosecuting any banking executives, he then of course went on through the revolving door to make $4M/year by taking a position at a corporate law/lobbying firm that defends financial institutions.
This is NOT a "tough case" - the solid evidence is there. This is a case of a captured regulatory system.
Also, to say that ratings agencies simply "fucked up" is disingenuous. They were totally and knowingly complicit as well. The way the system was set up, the more they gave good ratings to crap, the more money they made. That's not just a "fuck up".
To the main point of the rant, aside from the regulatory capture, the difference between teachers and Wall Street is that Wall Street is very good at setting up a system where there's plausible deniability for executives, massive lobbying efforts to garner political influence, and if needed, gigantic legal teams to fight for every inch.
In this segment he singularly cites the actions of loan officers soliciting incorrect information comparing their actions to teachers falsifying test results.
First of all, loan officers are hardly "Wall Street" fat cats. They are low level employees who are paid an average of $50,000 [1] and do not work for "Wall Street" firms like investment banks.
Secondly, loan officers operate throughout the United States rather than actually on Wall Street or in Manhattan and, as a group, are subject to the jurisdiction of the federal government, 50 states, and 3,144 counties each with independent prosecutors (elected state's attorneys, district attorneys, etc.).
If none of the thousands of entities who could have brought cases have done so, either there is conspiracy vaster than any other or there are not credible cases to bring.
[1] http://www.glassdoor.com/Salaries/loan-officer-salary-SRCH_K...
Step 2: Managers pressured by their higher ups.
Step 3: ???
Step 4: Profit (for Wall Street firms lusting over subprime mortgages).
In a nutshell why this has been so difficult to prosecute.
(Typical names in that space were WaMu, BofA, Countrywide and Citi.)
No one below the district level should have been on trial for this.
I agree with you to hold the actual loan officer liable is dumb. They were following directions.
[1] http://fox17online.com/2015/03/09/garbage-man-to-spend-30-da...
I think it's somewhat simpler: for a lot of people, obeying authority is their morality.
2. Disobeying your boss is usually not a good career move. This is not an ethics issue this is a "do you want to pay rent this month" issue.
3. Why not quit? A software engineer in the valley could go downstairs and work for another software company, a teacher would have to relocate to find another employer because the local district controls 95% of the local teaching jobs.
I get that some people want to paint this as a "poor put upon teachers at the mercy of evil administrator". It's an even more compelling narrative for the defense now that the head evil administrator is dead and can't be called into court. But what the trail showed was this was a bunch of teachers who got together as a group and said "We'll get a bigger bonus if we fake these test scores. If that hurts kids so be it and management has our backs".
Its the same with real estate agents, a good one can be very wealthy. Some LOs hit annual comp > $1M, though that is rare. I found it pretty shocking when I first found this out.
Send me an email if you want to make the market more efficient, I'm working to build a modern mortgage bank :)
The stock exchange even looks emptyish nowadays because it's all done online.
Criminal convictions of CEOs are useful. They're very effective in changing CEO behavior. Sending a few low-level drug dealers to jail for a year does little to change drug dealer behavior in the neighborhood. Sending a few Fortune 500 CEOs to jail for a year tends to result in substantial CEO behavior modification. There was a famous example of this in 1961, when executives of GE, Westinghouse, and Allis-Chalmers were found guilty of price-fixing and sent to jail. That changed corporate anti-trust behavior for a generation.
Yes, if they actually committed a crime and there is evidence to prove it beyond a reasonable doubt.
A drug dealer who gives all his money to feed the poor is morally good but legally a criminal. A CEO who lays off a chunk of his company to upgrade his yacht is a slimeball but not a criminal.
Being morally repugnant is not the same as being a criminal. The urge to ignore the letter of the law and obey the will of the mob turns us into a nation of men instead of a nation of laws.
The first is the one that is populated by the wealthy and the elite; some people you've heard of, and a lot you've not. They're former Presidents and senators, important political donors, lobbyists, and a cloud of related individuals that orbit trust funds and old money. This America features well-groomed lawns, catered luncheons, executive offices, first-class health care, golden parachutes and custom transportation.
The second is where the rest of us live. It features waiting both in lines and on telephones, meals grabbed on the fly, taxation, potential observation and harassment by Federal or local security agencies, wildly varying health care, and advertisements on everything.
The Answer Sheet opinion blog, from which this post commenting on a Jon Stewart Daily Show is kindly submitted for our discussion, basically has a theme of decrying any public policy that makes schoolteachers accountable for actually teaching something to the learners in their care. That's a defensible policy position, I suppose, if you think that employment in the public school system is a jobs program for graduates of teacher-training programs. But I think it is also a defensible policy position to agree that spending money on schools is good, good for society in general, but especially so if the schools actually help learners learn. If learners are not learning well in school, and similarly disadvantaged learners in other schools are learning better, let's learn from the schools that are doing better how they are succeeding, and emulate their practices. That doesn't sound very radical to me.
Right now in the United States, the school-to-school variance in learning results of pupils is not very large, not even particularly large between poor and rich neighborhoods (by international comparisons).[1] But the teacher-to-teacher variance in teaching effectiveness within any one school is quite large, and one of the best things schools could do to become more effective rapidly is simply to hire the best available teachers, and let the lowest few percent of teachers (by teacher effectiveness) seek other occupations more suited to their abilities.[2] Other measures to improve teacher quality will also be helpful for schools and the learners in their care.[3] Teachers who cheat on tests used in part to gauge the effectiveness of teachers cheat all of society out of having better teachers.
[1] http://educationnext.org/when-the-best-is-mediocre/
[2] http://hanushek.stanford.edu/sites/default/files/publication...
http://hanushek.stanford.edu/publications/valuing-teachers-h...
[3] http://hanushek.stanford.edu/sites/default/files/publication...
If that were true, wouldn't we pay them more and treat them better?
Students arguing about their grades. Students refusing to write papers or read articles about subjects they cannot handle intellectually (because it "conflicts with their religion or politics"). Many students who simply don't care about the subject material or education in general. Poor pay and long hours spent gradings papers and tests. Administrative duties outside of their teaching duties. Low pay and patronizing moronic administrative staff. Pensions reduced so that state legislatures can give ill-advised tax breaks to the wealthy and corporations (but I repeat myself).
Teaching is something done out of passion and while I can understand the passion I've seen derived from touching one life, it sure isn't the cake-walk you're alleging.
The more accurate answer is that rich and connected people are rarely held to account for their heinous crimes against the rest of us.
In a financial fraud case, the evidentiary problem is much harder. The difference between a legal transaction and an illegal one is often what was in the person's head, not just things you can deduce from a paper record. Sometimes you have emails or the like to fill in the blanks, but often you don't.
From my understand of how a straddle works, that describes it quite well.
I think a lot of commenters here don't appreciate that prosecuting a large bank involves sifting through literally tens of millions of documents looking for patterns of intentionality, which as you say is very hard to prove, and where the subjects of the investigations in question know it's hard to prove. Nobody gets anywhere in the financial industry without a very good knowledge of securities law, whereas it's highly unlikely the teachers in Atlanta didn't cover up their malfeasance very effectively and their defense could almost be summed up as 'what's the big deal?'.
That said, I think the lack of prosecutions was partly political. If the administration had gone nuclear on Wall Street as soon as it came into office (which was when anti-financial sentiment was at its peak) then it would have laid waste to the US financial industry and could have caused a far worse financial and economic collapse than the one we experience. It's no good pointing to things like the S&L crisis as many people do; that was a different, and much stricter regulatory environment. The reason (IMHO) that the financial crisis was so severe was that we deregulated the financial industry heavily in the late 1990s, and so a great many of the systemically risky activities that eventually proved unsustainable were not illegal. It was assumed when Glass-Steagall was dismantled that the market would flush out excessively risky players because too much risk is bad for business. But in a classic case of the market remaining irrational longer then any one participant can remain solvent, the big banks became so leveraged, and their retail and investment arms so entangled, that allowing market forces to operate in late 2008 would have meant the collapse of the payments system. A similar problem obtained after the Great depression; hardly anyone went to jail because although everyone agreed it was a massive disaster, it was a product of hubris rather than malice. See http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/pages/frontline/business-economy-fin... for a simple overview of the situation.
There was a lot of bloodletting in the government - not in terms of people going to jail, but in terms of agencies being dismantled or massively reorganized. Agencies like the Office of Thrift Supervision, whose income derived entirely from regulatory fees and so had every incentive to keep as many banks in existence as possible, were shut down completely. Instead we have the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, and a mass of new investment compliance requirements under the Dodd-Frank legislation...a bit like the way national security was massively reorganized after the 9/11 incident so that we got the Department of Homeland Security and a ton of new anti-terrorism legislation. Unfortunately I don't think these reorganizations have made us significantly safer; they were well-intentioned but IMHO simply shifted the risk around and substituted elaborate and very expensive compliance regimes for true structural reform. With hindsight, it would have been a lot better if Obama's administration had a) siezed the political momentum that swept him into office to reinstitute the relatively simple Glass-Steagall regulatory regime, b) required the megabanks like Citi, BofA etc. to demerge their retail and investment arms in short order, and c) encouraged large numbers of bankers to take early retirement and leave ethe industry forever or expect 4 years of legal harrassment - and no, I don't think the last suggestion is good law, but it might nevertheless have been an appropriate exercise of political power.
The thing is, if you look at how the industry has been treated from a right-wing standpoint, the administration is engaged in an apparently never-ending shakedown of Wall Street motivated by the President's ardent desire to destroy capitalism. There are lots of people out there who think the financial crisis was just good capitalism and so what if a lot of people wound up losing their homes, they didn't deserve them anyway because they were losers - asin Rick Santelli's (in)famous rant fromt he floor of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange that's often credited with launching the Tea Party movement: http://opinionator.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/02/20/rick-santell... Let's not forget that this was in February 2009, after Obama had been in office less than a month. His administration has faced angry and arguably militant opposition towards its reform efforts from the very beginning, because there's a large reactionary contingent that considers the Democratic party in general and Obama in particular as agents of communism (there's a kind of reactionary foolishness on the left too, that thinks it's OK to just jack up taxes, confiscate wealth, and hold show trials - but IMHO that's a smaller and less powerful demographic). So arguably, the current regulatory regime is the result of an attempt to minimize political as well as fiscal instability.
And to reiterate, this isn't something that you can 'solve' by throwing machine learning or data analysis behind it. It means sitting down and reading through tens of thousands of emails between potentially hundreds of people, sent over the course of years, to understand the inflection in a given sentence, or to understand if anything is insinuated through the use of a given word. Then matching that back to actions. Then explaining to the judge and/or jurors as to why it's correct, and defending again the opposing counsel saying 'Oh you're just reading too much into it'.
Would you put your "buddy" in Jail if it meant that the political contributions would dry up and your opponent is going to get a war chest to fight you? Of course not!
But an educator? These people cheated to keep their jobs and get (minor) pay raises - by definition they cannot fight back so the full weight of the Criminal Justice system (Racketeering Laws - typically used against Mafia figures) was used to toss some of them in Jail for upto 20 years!
Let's face it - the American Criminal justice system basically preys on those least able to protect themselves from its abuses.
He spent over four years in federal prison after being convicted of white collar crimes.
For instance, the JPM $13 billion settlement (summarized):
- $2 billion to the Justice Department, which will then deposit the money into a fund at the United States Treasury.
- $7 billion, will flow to a range of government authorities, some more obscure than others
- JPMorgan agreed to make a “lump sum payment” of $4 billion “payable to Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, divided between them,”
- The National Credit Union Administration, the federal agency that regulates credit unions, said it would collect a $1.4 billion share of the $7 billion pie “for losses incurred by corporate credit unions as a result of the purchases of the faulty securities.”
- $515 million goes to FDIC
- $613 million to NY Attorney General (expand homeowner assistance programs)
etc, etc, etc...
[0] http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/11/20/where-does-jpmorgans-...
When it is acceptable that results count no matter what the means. When it is acceptable that results are measured by a single number. When conflicts of interest are ignored by regulators
Then you get:
- inflated grades
- inflated assessments of property values
but also: - inflated arrests by policeman chasing quotas instead of helping citizens (in other parts of the world police are reluctant to arrest people due to dislike of paperwork)
- inflated claims by prosecutors turning a blind eye to weak evidence (in other parts of the world prosecutors don't fear for their own job)
- inflated money printing
- inflated tech stock valuations
- prolonged ignorance of default risks
- HFT
Markets work but there is such a thing as externalized costs. Regulators have a duty to monitor and step in when the line is overstepped. If they don't the benefits accrue to the powerful who cheat and the cost are born by the powerless.It is a good thing that the "regulator" stepped in and stopped the teachers grade inflation.
However the way the regulator did this here is another example of single minded black and white thinking. Just because the grade inflation problem is bad it does not mean one can fix it with a single blow of a heavy hammer. Fear of rare random enforcement actions will only intimidate the people but won't stop further crimes.
Hard real life problems need well planned, consistently implemented and balanced measures.
EDIT: for those who've forgotten what actually happened, Taibbi has a good primer:
http://www.rollingstone.com/politics/news/secret-and-lies-of...
Izzard (NSFW): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Bk_pHZmn5QM
Here are a few.
http://wreg.com/2014/11/25/salt-lake-cop-cleared-in-shooting...
http://wreg.com/2015/04/22/family-of-unarmed-white-man-kille...
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2014/nov/27/white-teen-g...
In fact, more white people than black people are shot by police in the US. The rate for blacks getting shot is higher, but not the number.