You may be interested to read the other guy's take on that bet. One of the more interesting reads on the business of running a hedge fund I've seen.
http://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2015/02/12/betting-wi...
(Disclosure: I work at CFAI)
http://blogs.cfainstitute.org/investor/2015/02/12/betting-wi...
(Disclosure: I work at CFAI)
Edit: a better response - http://msantoli.tumblr.com/post/110804679383/cry-me-a-river-...