The Mercedes Robo-Car That Made Me Want to Stop Driving
wired.com
wired.com
More seriously, I wonder how automated cars deals with our road traditions. In France, if you leave the officially required distance with the front car on the highway, another car will insert in between. Then you'll have to slow down, and another car will insert, and so on. Cars can't be programmed to perform something illegal, so I guess they don't deal with "competitive situations" efficiently.
Our local police fine us for doing 2-3km over the limit, and the fines are steep. Most of us here wouldn't notice cars driving at the speed limit.
Obeying the law, in some scenarios, particularly when you might force people to make lane changes (which are dangerous in and of themselves) results in greater fatalities. In that situation, it makes sense to break the law.
edit: I didn't want this to come across as an attack, I'm not a perfect driver myself, in fact I'm still on my learner licence :) . I feel the fact you have to constantly break the law because other drivers are also breaking the law to be a problem in itself, without even bringing the autonomous car into the equation.
Except in this case it's reporting a crime that you have actually already done - you broke a traffic law. It might not be an extremely serious crime most of the time, but it's absolutely not the same as punishment for thinking about breaking the law.
Especially so when the majority of people do not own the car in which they're travelling but are hiring it for the journey like they do a taxi or plane.
> automatic highway surveillance
As someone who has lived in the dystopia that is the UK, who've been doing this for ages, it's not so bad.We should not assume this will only affect how people behave in traffic, as well. Other offences will likely also be included.
I think there's a desirable degree of pragmatism to be favoured in lieu of unbounded technological utopianism on this point.
So yeah, parent raises interesting questions - since autonomous cars will probably have to follow legal limits, what about driving culture? If it were me I'd solve the issue by giving drivers a slider going from the most aggressive yet still safe distance to the legal distance - with legal warnings you have to tap through if you want to change the slider.
Correct - Legal Limits results in many deaths a year that would not occur if the Limits were more strict. People who violate even those rather dangerous limits, result in even more carnage.
I find it fascinating how overconfident people are when it comes to cars, and just feel that because they aren't getting into accidents, that cars are safe.
There isn't a single country in the world that believes that human life is worth more than the convenience of speeding around in cars. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vision_Zero is a great concept, but until automation is fully extended, most of the traffic laws, speeds, car spacing will continue to result in people dying in numbers greater than if there were more strict regulations.
Source on this please. Let's take speed limits as an example. Looking at [1], the data for the US doesn't seem to be conclusive to me - some times speed limit decreases didn't have a significant effect, sometimes increases lead to more crashes, sometimes to less crashes. So I don't know about you, but I wouldn't use such a blanket statement. Also, Europe often has higher speed limits, but significantly less fatalities than the US[2], both by miles driven and by number of cars. That may or may not be causal, but the world is not as simple as it's the law so it must be good.
[1]http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Speed_limit#Effectiveness
[2]https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_traffic-r...
Edit: I've been looking for regulations on following distance, but I can't actually find any. There's lots of rules that are given to driving learners but I can't find anything legally binding, whether for the US nor for European country. Obviously keeping a safe distance is necessary for reducing accidents, but lacking any data I can't really say what distance is safe. In Switzerland we learn the 'two second rule', in the US it seems to be three seconds - which seems excessively much to me - at that distance you'd have driver after driver using the gap in front of you since half the distance would seem close enough to the two-second-rule to them - thus creating way more critical situations where you have to be careful.
decreases
* US (22 states) (1992) 5 mph to 15 mph (8 km/h to 24 km/h) decreases No significant changes
increases
* US (1989) 55 mph to 65 mph (89 km/h to 105 km/h) Fatal crashes increased by 21%
* US (40 states) (1990) 55 mph to 65 mph (89 km/h to 105 km/h) Fatalities increased by 15% Decrease or no effect in 12 States
* US (40 states) (1994) 55 mph to 65 mph (89 km/h to 105 km/h) Statewide fatality rates decreased 3-5% (Significant in 14 of 40 states)
* US (22 states) (1997) 5 mph to 15 mph (8 km/h to 24 km/h) increase No significant changes
So no, I don't see the defining answer here. I'm not saying that the limits should be raised across the board, I'm also not saying that decreases aren't good - all I'm saying is that legal limits should be assessed from time to time (which they are), because of changes in society, technology and new data. Laws are not perfect.
I assure you, that if every driver on the road was a minimum of 4 seconds behind the car in front of them, with mechanisms to enforce that, certain classes of accidents (predominantly rear-ending events, and rapid-swerve events) would be significantly reduced.
The good news is that over the next 3-5 years, a large number of safety automation systems will start to make their way into high-end $50K+ vehicles. The three that I'm super impressed by (having driven in a bunch of vehicles with them) - are Crash Avoidance (your car hits the breaks to prevent it from running into the vehicle in front of you), Lane Control (Your car keeps you in the current lane), and Blind Spot Protection (Your car prevents you from ramming into a car in your blind spot). If, as I strongly suspect, there is a huge drop in car accidents as a result of these three technologies, then we'll start to see them being introduced into the $30K-$50K range over the following 4-6 years, and then, soon thereafter as the technology has been commoditized, the NHTSA will start requiring it. By 2030, all new cars sold in the United States will require those three technologies.
I can only begin to imagine what new technologies will be developed as the march towards self driving cars takes place.
Not to mention people die less because today's cars are also millions times more safe, not because we put speed camera on the side or because people drive slow.
It's obviously only appropriate on the freeway of course. On my commute I will have it set at the second shortest distance because it's frankly a little disconcerting when the person in front of you stops in a hurry. It does, however, mean that people merge in front of you... but somehow, with adaptive cruise, I no longer care.
Even with anti lock brakes, the car in front of you probably has them too, so you still have the same time to react as you always did.
Pile-ups still happen pretty frequently, and they could be avoided completely if people were following at a safe distance, and were alert.
You could definitely argue that autonomous cars should be able to follow closer than human operated ones, and I'd buy that.
I'm absolutely positive that it's not going to be that long or that hard to find – opportunities – to fool the sensors and intelligence of any car built in the next several decades.
Sonic and GPS jammers and forgers, paining a few extra lines on an interstate, projecting images to fool image recognition... and on and on and on. Not to mention more traditional computer exploitation.
Nothing more satisfying than to watch a car aggressively weaving in and out of lanes only to miles later encounter that same car stuck in the same traffic as you.
Yes, occasionally somebody cuts in, but that does not happen too often.
The same would happen with automated cars.
One of the key road safety rules is: "Give way to the fool".
Does anybody else find this train of thought disturbing? That "if I can look at screens instead of out the window I won't have to see the homeless" is one of the first things to come to the author's mind speaks volumes.
And, obviously, if you have good time management skills, you wouldn't need to drive dangerously in the first place.
https://keshavsaharia.files.wordpress.com/2011/01/traffic-op...
Things like junctions/intersections would be much better managed (we might even be able to make them free-flowing on roads where non-autonomous vehicles were banned).
I find it a bit amusing that we're having to invent some incredible technologies to overcome our sense of self and resulting selfishness to act like the cooperative insects we often step on without noticing.
In an autonomous car you can do the speed limit for the entire journey. That's 8 miles at 30mph and 92 miles at 70mph. The journey takes you 95 minutes.
In the human-driven car you're slowed to an average of 20mph in town, but on the highway you travel at 85mph because that's what everyone else does. The journey takes you 89 minutes.
Obviously the 95 minutes in the autonomous car can be a productive 95 minutes whereas driving yourself you can't do much else for those 89 minutes, which is a huge difference, but until all the cars are autonomous (or there are superfast autonomous lanes at least) then it's probably going to be quicker to drive yourself because to a human a speed limit is a guideline rather than a rule.
http://www.iam.org.uk/media-and-research/policy/our-policies...
It's amusing that Mercedes' concept of the future of automotive transportation is total isolation from the external world. They didn't go all the way to windowless, but it seems to have more display screen acreage than side windows.
They seem to have borrowed the "street glow" concept from lowriders.[1] The car has large areas of blue LEDs on the front and back faces. That's so LA.
The concept might work, once they get the bulk of the vehicle down and lose the tacky bling.
[1] http://i237.photobucket.com/albums/ff272/tilley858/RX-7-Stre...
So I don't think we can take the cosmetic aspects too literally as to what Mercedes' design team will actually go for with the final product.
All the cabs I take are pretty standard looking and I've never cared.
Without the prospect of getting run down and squished if you behave like a total moron, that's what people will do.
Just like every investor is fully aware of all variables when picking a stock, thus fully accountable in case of said stock's crash, correct?
I'd agree with the parent commenter: the car company would be responsible, financially. Legally, they would have to recall or disable all instances until a fix is pushed.
Human life, in this case, will get a price tag, instead of a (jail) time value, as is mostly the case today.
Many people do or wish they could.
Also why people drive stick shift on purpose.
In the article they say "There will come a time, within a few decades, when people simply will not drive anymore". I completely disagree with that opinion. For me and for most of my friends driving is a joy, its not just going from point A to point B. I don't think we will ever stop driving altogether.
True.
> For me and for most of my friends driving is a joy, its not just going from point A to point B. I don't think we will ever stop driving altogether.
We don't have to stop driving altogether, we only need to eliminate 90% of the driving - the part that is boring and joyless, i.e. commute. Also, driving on public roads should be safe, not fun.