Philz Coffee Raises $15M to Expand Nationwide
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I experienced some culture shock learning that San Francisco's top coffee shop didn't serve espresso. The idea of a coffee shop without an espresso machine had never crossed my mind. I left confused, with a scalding hot pour over, and moved back to Seattle soon afterward.
Blue Bottle and Four Barrel Coffee were both excellent.
They get the brand right, but the beans are just not up-to-par. I hesitate to call them third-wave coffee because they don't push whole bean sales (at least here in SF), they don't have multiple brewing methods, and their brewing seems inconsistent.
I think that Blue Bottle is much better positioned to be a Starbucks competitor because of their excellent roasting, quality products besides coffee (e.g. Tcho chocolate, foods), and high-end feel that justifies the higher cost.
But I think its pretty damn tasty, in it's own way. (I also like the lack of a "high-end" feel...it's friendly + funky, and reminds me of the hippie-run shops of my childhood in Oregon.)
I personally think Philz is going to give third-wave coffee a run for their money. Definitely as approachable as Starbucks and easily replicable. The problem with third-wave is that the total applicable clientele for a company like Blue Bottle is far and few between. Even after saturating every corner of SF, NYC, LA, Chicago, it's going to be hard for BB to come up with hundreds of millions of revenue and retain quality (Blue Bottle raised $100M in cash). Blue Bottle has a "luxury good" perception.
Philz is unpretentious, reliable, and love in a 600-calorie cup of coffee, cream, and sugar. It's a formula that so far has proven to work in America. Third-wave coffee is excellent, but isn't as accessible as Starbucks. Philz, on the other hand, doesn't attempt to sell the virtues of high-brow single-origin coffee. They, however, make a really good cup of coffee, and reliably do at each location. I definitely believe it is repeatable even at scale because many Philz drinks rely on mint leaves, cream, and sugar--flavors that are the "MSG" of coffee.
User experience is inclusive and welcoming--although some locations are more fun than others (visit the 24th if you haven't and it will become abundantly clear why there are Philz phanatics). I love coffee shops like Four Barrel, the Mill, Saint Frank's--but those shops exude refinement and appear a little out of reach, even if priced similarly to Starbucks. I would hypothesize you could put a Philz in the Midwest and it would do well.
As of right now, every coffee shop compared to Starbucks pales in comparison. Starbucks boasts $70B in market cap. If anyone has a good shot of picking a fight with Starbucks, it just might be Philz.
Yikes you're not selling me on the company with that statement. I don't know, I think third wave coffee houses are doing a pretty good job of training people that sugary, creamy coffees are crap.
In the long run I think that people are trending toward healthy, high quality, authentic experiences in many areas, but especially food. I'm not sure where 600 calorie coffees fit into that.
Starbucks creamy drinks are also roughly the same amount. And the reason Philz will do well in America is that Americans gravitate towards the creamy and sugary and carby (Anheuser Busch, Nestle, Hershey). They even got sustainable San Franciscans on board! While some Americans care about eating and drinking healthy, most Americans will happily continue ordering a 600-calorie cup of morning joe, contributing to Starbucks' $15B revenue.
American dollars always go to the fat and sugary flavors. While a lot of fine dining artist-chefs will disagree with the data, burgers and fries sell.
When you said that Philz would give "third-wave coffee a run for their money" did you more mean that you're skeptical that Blue Bottle will be able to take their brand national? I agree with that, that that could be hard. I think their best bet for non-urban areas would probably be to closely follow areas where Whole Foods has made inroads. Regarding expansion to urban areas, I wonder if too much good real estate for third wave coffee places is already taken up by local independents.
From what I've seen SF has surprisingly few third wave coffee shops. In Vancouver there are often several Blue Bottle quality independent coffee shops in each neighbourhood. When I saw that Blue Bottle got funding I wondered how successful they'd be in expanding to areas with well established locals. There's really not that much that they do different from others.
Truth be told, Blue Bottle's coffee and espresso quality has suffered from expansion.
I think big cities contribute to plenty of revenue, but Starbucks has built itself as common as a convenience store. That's really hard to compete, even with third-wave and Philz types. Even Tim Horton's revenue is $3B!
Hit me up next time you're in San Francisco--I don't think you got a very good tour of coffee here :) Aron Tzimas documents latte art around SF on his Instagram.
I also agree with your trending statement with support from the rise of things like BulletProof Coffee(with grass fed butter) and high end pure coffee options which are growing in popularity versus the espresso + tons of sugar/cream/etc toppings.
In India, you can call up some neighbourhood grocer and he will deliver goods in 5 min. The best approximation for it in US is Instacart In India, you can go to a tailor, give him cloth, ask him to measure you. He will make a custom made shirt in 24 hours to 3 days. Here, its a YC startup Again in India, you go to ANY restaurant, they will give you coffee mixed with milk. Here, it has become a startup. Almost no one in India I know drinks coffee or tea without milk.
Different economics I guess
I'm not totally sure what this has to do with Philz Coffee though
Source: http://www.mckinsey.com/Insights/MGI/In_the_news/Next_big_sp...
Personally, I'd prefer a nice single-origin coffee to their blends, but it definitely beats a Starbucks.
This isn't the first time Philz has received VC; according to Wikipedia, Summit invested in 2013.
And then, using some sort of caffeine-science, he managed to figure out the right combination of blend, milk, and sugar to produce something truly wonderful.
Doing that at scale will be tough. Do-able with technology to be sure, but the human element made it very special.
They figured that replacing the station with all the add-ins was a faster and better experience for customer and employee. Can't disagree, since I went to Dunkin for the convenience. I don't know how big the market is for coffee with personal attention (the taste snobs seem to just make their own), but perhaps Philz is laying down the tracks for all sorts of motherly-service-as-a-product to bank the SF zeitgeist.
Hey, whatever happened to that grilled cheese startup?
They ask if you would like milk or sugar added. After they serve it to you, the person who prepared your cup waits for you to taste it and asks how it is. They'll make a cup of coffee exactly how you like it. It's somewhat quaint, but it's also part of their trademark service. Their default ratios for additives are well chosen. I don't normally take cream in my coffee but I usually do at Phil'z.
http://www.gv.com/lib/behind-the-scenes-with-blue-bottle-and...