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The most important part of this whole presentation is that credit drives everything. If you know how credit is coming into the economy you can anticipate credit cycles. Credit cycles are the only thing you have to keep your eye on in order to keep from getting destroyed in economic crashes.

The credit cycle stuff is well explained by Austrian Business Cycle Theory[1], but that's a brain bender and once you get it will make you totally unable to have an economics conversation with anybody who doesn't understand it either.

[1].http://wiki.mises.org/wiki/Austrian_Business_Cycle_Theory

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That theory isn't widely accepted (like you'd see if you looked it up on wikipedia). mises.org is a libertarian organization advocating the austrian school of economics, which is often quite divorced from reality.

You've got it backwards. The Austrian school of economic thought is the only one that actually corresponds to reality.

You're not going to take my word it, but feel free to see for yourself. Watch their lectures on YouTube ("misesmedia"), and you'll get it.

The Austrian theory offers some important insights and a lot of it's ideas are valuable. That is why it is widely considered a precursor of modern credit cycle theory, but carrying it's conclusions too far without considering other factors such as savings rates, fiscal and monetary policy.

Just because you say so, I guess?

No need to take his word for it. If you look at the Austrian school theories you'll see that those things aren't accounted for. Another crucial element that isn't considered is velocity of money, and the concomitant effects on money supply. The Austrian school has a lot of important insights, but it omits several important factors. It has a good and useful set of ideas, but it's not the grand unified theory of economics that many libertarians (like me) wish it were.

Well, I just responded to your other post, where you were economically confused :)

Velocity of money? Concomitant effects, huh? .. I suspect you might be some sort of government shill though. Very few actual Libertarians don't see Austrian economics for the rational truth it is.

We're both just posting our opinions. Unless you consider youtube videos to be the gold standard for incontorvertible truth.

I'm suggesting you just listen to what they're saying and swiftly conclude that everything they say makes sense (because you're not an idiot).

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