Misconceptions about Evolution
evolution.berkeley.edu
evolution.berkeley.edu
People I speak to think its just a theory, hence a guess, a hunch, and not a fact, not proven etc, where as its actually the opposite of that, i.e we can test the predictions it makes, its as close to being proven as anything can be. If people can simply recognize the definition I bet more people can learn and accept Evolution. [2] explains this better.
[1]: http://rationalwiki.org/wiki/Scientific_theory [2]: http://www.notjustatheory.com/
Theories don't become laws, theories generate laws; testing those laws is a test of the theory. Laws are mathematical equations which relate observable quantities such that we get quantitative predictions.
The Ideal Gas Law, PV = nRT, is one example: It relates Pressure (P), Volume (V), number of moles of gas (n), a physical constant (R), and Temperature (T) such that we can predict the values of certain traits, or the relationships between traits, given some known or hypothesized values for the other traits. The theory it's part of is the one that says gasses are made out of tiny particles called atoms or molecules, which fly around freely and bounce off each other and solid surfaces with a speed proportional to their temperature. Every time the Ideal Gas Law makes a good prediction, that theory gets validated.
That, however, does not mean the theory of relativity and E = mc^2 has a lower status than Newton's law of universal gravitation and F = (G m1 m2 )/r. That we call one a "theory" and the other a "law" is just an accident of speech. It's not even a difference of semantics - in this context, "law" and "theory" have the same meaning. We just continue to say "law" for some things for historical reasons.
Still, my idea is better than the "hypotheses become theories, which become laws" nonsense, which is still taught at the elementary school level.
Or well its a limit case, but yeah we absolutely do call it a law.
Theory is the explanation, law is the model.
The vast majority of people know what an "accepted fact" is, and they also know what a "proposed model of reality" is (even if they don't use such phrases).
The opposition to evolutionary theory as a model of reality is a topic that principally obsesses only a specific population: American Protestants.
In most of the Western world, including in the Catholic Church with its over 1 billion adherents, evolution is an "accepted fact" (or "scientific theory" however that may be rendered semantically).
Obviously, scientists, and other educated people, know that this attack is misguided.
However, recognizing that such arguments are indeed rhetorical, rather than logical, is a step towards not having to go through them again and again...
But, nor do a lot of people who don't make such rhetorical attacks. I think that the philosophy of science is an easy thing to miss - it's possible to make it through a Bachelor's program in science without really being forced to think about it.
Exactly, which is why epistemological arguments won't win the evolution versus creation debate.
Darwin's Theorem would start with the facts about genetic material--the probability distributions for replication--and use further distributions of features, consequences for reproductive advantage, and so on to demonstrate that it is mathematically necessary for evolution to give access to a more-or-less unbounded adaptive landscape.
The book is actually mostly about sex, violence, politics, religion, regret and redemption, so it's not as dry as that probably makes it sound!
Popular science programmes or reporting fail to explain this and reporting often uses the word theory to mean "has a hunch".
[1] supported by principles I guess.
In other words, I usually use the word "hypothesis" to mean a simple prediction of outcome, without any explanation of how. A "theory" needs some explanation in it, not just a prediction of correlation.
Unlike in science, where enough evidence for a particular hypothesis makes it generally believed to be true, in math empirical evidence is not and will never be enough to classify a statement as true.
Specifically are there any:
1. Simulations (i.e. code up the actors in the system and let it proceed it a accelerated time scale similar to what we do for space simulations for heavenly bodies)
2. Emulations (not computational but demonstrating using a real life model of some kind)
3. Lab demonstrations of this happening
4. Reproductions of the whole set of mechanisms that allow a species to evolve into something new that we would classify as a different species
that clearly show the evolution principles in effect for a reasonably complex inter-species case.
I have been frustrated from Richard Dawkins's accounts too. I once read his essay on how the eye might have evolved. His accounts tend to be so speculative and full of "should"s and "must"s, its very off putting.
Edit: This book in fact is the best writing on evolution of eyes: http://www.amazon.com/Evolutions-Witness-How-Eyes-Evolved/dp...
But it completely skips the actual mechanism or testability of anything it says. So basically doesn't address the how at all. A resource that actually addresses the HOW and not just conjecture on the WHAT would be really cool.
This doesn't directly answer your question, but this was a key insight that finally made the entire picture click in my mind. Your question of wanting hard evidence of cross-species evolution is a red-herring and a distraction to your understanding. The concept of species is not a biological reality. Any definition we can come up with for a species, we can find many instances that break the definition. What we see as a species is just groups of individuals who have exchanged genes in recent history. There is no demarcation to delineate a transition between one species and another: (in the case of sexual reproduction) at every point a child can mate with its parents, with no exceptions (except for degenerate cases). This is true for every species that sexually reproduces, going all the way back to the origin of sexual reproduction. The reason groups of animals that represent a unified gene pool look so different is that groups of individuals fall into stable states with their environmental niche, while other groups fall into other stable states for other niches. Animals appear to be delineated by clear species simply as a function of our perspective from a single time slice. If we could observe gradual change over millions of years, we would see many splitting branches and merging branches, branches that get further apart and then seed an explosion of many smaller branches (i.e. when say land animals split from birds), etc etc. But in reality, every individual is a single branch on this tree. What we judge as a species are just branches that are 'close together' in this tree such that they look like a single unit.
"Animals appear to be delineated by clear species simply as a function of our perspective from a single time slice. If we could observe gradual change over millions of years, we would see many splitting branches and merging branches, branches that get further apart and then seed an explosion of many smaller branches (i.e. when say land animals split from birds), etc etc."
The idea of gradual change is fine to me - and the term species seems to create too much confusion. But the fact that gradual change over time can create seemingly distinct states (lets not call them species) still boggles me mind when I try to conceive of the mechanism. Is asking that question a red-herring or completely unreasonable ? In fact that is the part I find most fascinating. The fact that the change was gradual doesn't preclude from the fact that this gradual change did lead to states which were observed to be quite distinct. One doesn't preclude the other.
To explain more of where I am coming from: As a person who writes reasonably complex software for a living, I am amazed by the "software" in the brain if you will i.e. its remarkable cognitive capacity for many tasks that we are still in the process of replicating in AI. I find it hard to understand how this could arise as a step by step gradual change purely aided by a favorable set of environmental properties. So something to that effect would be really cool to understand (And even emulate or copy in our software development practices). I am a bit disappointed that there are no simulations that can be done or we don't understand the mechanisms well enough to do this.
For a very specific example, it would be cool to simulate "This is how the eye came into being.". Not just enumerating the commonalities between eyes of different species - I find the "commonality" argument as being "factual evidence" of origin of the eye very weak personally. I know its been accepted as fact by most or everyone else but something that would demonstrate the underlying "gradual" principles at work to evolve an eye for example would be uber-cool and satisfying in my book. I don't understand why this question is stupid or or unscientific.
Sadly eyes are used by creationists to ask a similar question in an attempt to discredit evolution. "The eye is so complex and it doesn't work unless it's all there so how could it gradually develop?"
You can handcraft a simple starting point and let it gradually evolve in different environments. Note how the different environments bring out different traits even tho the starting point is the same. I don't know how many hrs I lost playing with this. :)
That is, it's easy enough to demonstrate that evolution drives changes in DNA. That's objective. Whether or not you call it a species change is subjective.
Is there a simulation that would demonstrate X evolving to a Giraffe or test it ?
Or put another way, if we were to take some snapshots at times where we could consider the organism to be different enough according to the modern "species" classification say A -> B -> C -> D -> E, is there a way to test D -> E or B-> C using the stated principles/theory ?
Are you saying evolution does not claim to answer this and this is a question not worth asking?
I have a feeling the gist of what I am asking is clear enough but we are getting lost in words. I just asked for a link on Amazon that talks about testing/simulating/demonstrating evolution for snapshots enough far apart in time where we would say yes these organisms are pretty different, something like the snapshots demonstrated here: http://www.bot1320.nicerweb.com/Locked/media/ch11/taxonomy.h...
Edit: I wasn't aware of this until now. We actually have observed one species ("species" being defined as scott_s mentioned up-thread) evolve into another.
http://blogs.scientificamerican.com/science-sushi/2011/12/18...
The real problem is however a philosophical one, how to drive down the point that there is no absolute truth,just absolute contradiction that disproves a (now disfunct) scientific theory . Unless you are making certain axiomatic assumptions or using the constructs of language for example 'all single men are bachelors', the best we can do is let our best theories make predictions and then conduct experiments to test those predictions.
I also think getting people everywhere to change the meanings of words is an uphill, possibly impossible battle. We can't even teach people about figurative vs literally.
I think Scientists should give up and get rid of the word "theory". Scientists had no problem renaming the brontosaurus so it shouldn't be as hard as it sounds.
For example, I often hear that a big step in the primate-to-human evolution was when one of our common ancestors "left the trees and started walking bipedally", implying to me at least, that it was some sort of "hey, maybe we should try this today" decision made by an individual to attempt it.
It wasn't. What really happened was that a mutation in the population allowed one individual the ability to walk a bit more upright, and this conferred a special ability for this individual to gather more food or have more offspring, thus propagating the mutated gene(s).
I watch the pop-sci channels regularly, and even they fall victim to this anthropomorphic trap about species "evolving-by-choice".
[edit] I just read this in the OP just below where I stopped...
MISCONCEPTION: Natural selection involves organisms trying to adapt.
The best hypothesis for what triggered this change was a shift in climate where trees became less productive and thinned out more, meaning you often had to move quickly from one tree to another on the ground. Anything that enabled you to hustle faster like that gave you a big advantage.
With natural selection you do not have any choices. You survive or you die.
You are doing it too. A change is not triggered by anything - you are talking as if there is some latent change waiting to be activated.
Have you ever tried to distinguish between "explaining" your behavior and "making excuses"? There is no clear difference -- or rather, people don't know what the difference is if there is one. It's not encoded in the language, but in our intent.
There is a lot of confusion about evolution because we simply don't have the words to make things less confusing. Trained scientists are better at it because they are better trained to see structure independent of language -- (I.e., to think logically instead of culturally.)
At least that's how I read it.
There is no anthropomorphizing here; it's simply semantics.
I think this is, in part, due to their attempts to explain things to viewers by analogy, which often must anthropomorphise things.
Darwin generated his theory of natural selection by observing living species throughout the world, and Mendel developed this theory of genetic inheritance by working with living plants. Biologists studying evolutionary processes today continue to work with living creatures like viruses, bacteria, and insects.
Likewise, the theory of global warming was developed by observing current-day phenomena, like the Earth's surface temperature, absorbtion and re-emission of light by certain gases, the rate of CO2 absorbtion by the ocean, the quantity of manmade and natural emissions, solar energy inputs, orbital variations, etc.
In both cases, it was this study of the present that created additional questions that could be answered by looking at the past. Evolution gave scientists a new way of organizing and studying the fossil record--that was a result of the theory of evolution, not the cause. Likewise, the study of current climate change raised a whole host of questions that scientists could try to answer about the past.
Quite a lot of science works this way. Astrophysics is well known for the Big Bang theory, but the roots of the science are in observing the stars we see today, including our own sun.
> the roots of the science are in observing the stars we see today
I agree with your point, but just made me smile in that we tend to look at a lot of (possibly) long dead stars from our past, too!
haha, well said. Although to take it to an extreme, every observation or study would have to have been by studying the past right from the milliseconds in the past to light years in the past.
From a personal perspective, I've always understood a concept much better once I implemented it in code. Because of that, I started teaching population genetics primarily as a computer lab class. This book is an attempt to be more broad (in terms of subject, and reach).
I think it is safe to say that this article is behind our current understanding about "evolution" and is in fact spreading some new myths as a direct result.
In the last five or so years it has become more and more clear, that while a mother cannot alter her unborn child's DNA, the mother's environment can cause different gene's within the child's DNA to be activated or deactivated.
So our traditional understanding about "random mutations" and "survival of the fittest" being the primary means by which organisms change or evolve looks to be a gross oversimplification. Since discovering gene expression, the environment may very well shape how the offspring's DNA is used.
There are tens of studies on this, but the vast majority since 2010 (so literally last five years). But the results they're providing give us an entire new avenue to look down and the impact on our understanding of evolution likely needs to shift as a result.
Keep in mind nobody is suggesting people (or animals) have direct control over gene expression, in fact our understanding of how it works is still undeveloped.
This paper covers the topic briefly [PDF]: "Evolution of Gene Expression" http://www.umich.edu/~pwlab/Wittkopp%20et%20al%20reprints/Pr...
Gene expression is something relatively recent that may shake things up (and the research is looking positive). However it doesn't mean that everything within the field of transgenerational epigenetics is accurate or proven.
[1] http://www.talkorigins.org/faqs/comdesc/
[2] http://www.amazon.com/Why-Evolution-True-Jerry-Coyne/dp/0143...
[3] http://www.amazon.com/The-Greatest-Show-Earth-Evolution/dp/1...
[4] http://www.amazon.com/The-Ancestors-Tale-Pilgrimage-Evolutio...
http://www.amazon.com/Your-Inner-Fish-Journey-3-5-Billion-Ye...
http://www.amazon.com/Endless-Forms-Most-Beautiful-Science/d...
http://www.amazon.com/Making-Fittest-Ultimate-Forensic-Evolu...
The original form "survival of the fittest" is basically a tautology, but it's rarely taken a such. Even better people don't think of survival as a guarantee, at the individual level it’s fairly random, but people can easily see that some things help or hurt those odds.
One is that there needs to be survival of an individual (not dying), while it rather refers to survival of a species (not going extinct). This survival thus has little to do with actual life or death, rather it has to do with reproduction. For example a one-day-fly is, generally spoken, in a terrible situation when it comes to survival, it's life/death perspective is awful, just one day. But it survives as a species because its able to reproduce so rapidly that even a short life doesn't make the species go extinct. Evolution doesn't care for survival of an individual as long as that individual manages to reproduce before it does.
The second is that there is somehow some 'fitness' variable, the better the more you survive. So a lion would be more fit than say a fly because it's stronger. But this too refers to a different concept, which is that 'fit' is in relation to the environment. A fly is quite fit to live in many environments over long periods of time, whereas a lion isn't fit for many environments and will have trouble surviving say changes in climate and habitat. Fitness is thus purely in relation to its environment.
So really 'survival of the fittest' is more like 'species fit for the environment will survive long enough to reproduce', or something to that effect. From this then originates the argument that random mutations of a species will create different offspring that is more or less fit for the environment, and those more fit will survive, those less fit will not. That is survival of the fittest. And again, when I refer to survive, I mean the species, on the basis that when individuals of a species are fit for their environment, they have a good chance of reproducing enough offspring before death preventing the species from going extinct.
Evolution doesn't care ever, regardless of whether you reproduce or not. You can evolve to the point of extinction just fine.
In that case, the answer is "fit to attract a mate." In general, I think the role and implications of sexual selection are underappreciated by folks not familiar with the details of evolutionary theory.
It's not just who survives; it's who reproduces.
My employer has a blog series that covers many of these issues with skeptical Christians as the intended audience: http://biologos.org/blog/series/evolution-basics
In fact, in an ideal world, evolution wouldn't be an important thing for most people to understand. It is disproportionately important because it is the point of attack of fundamentalists against scientific modernity, and a naive view of evolution can leave people susceptible to their propaganda, and therefore more likely to politically oppose science.
If the standard for accepting a theory is absolute understanding, then the human race won't get very far. I subscribe to various theories about physics (ie gravity). I don't claim to understand them. But I do not dismiss them simply because I lack a complete understanding. I trust those scientists who do.
http://www.richannel.org/christmas-lectures/1991/richard-daw...
The reality is much messier and involved a lot of $x dying before one of them was born with something sort of like $y.
Genetic variation doesn't always come from random mutation. Firstly, there may already be genes in the population that just have never been combined yet. Secondly, DNA can integrated from the environment under the right conditions. The amount of human DNA that is estimated to originate from viruses is astounding. And bacteria have been known to develop antibiotic resistance by taking it from unrelated bacteria that already have resistance.
The article didn't imply it did. It says mutation generates genetic variation, not that all genetic variation is generated by mutation.
A -> B does not imply B -> A
> That genetic variation is generated by random mutation — a process that is unaffected by what organisms in the population want or what they are "trying" to do.
I have nothing against the second half of that sentence.
Perhaps a better explanation was available elsewhere in the article and I missed it. The link originally went to the middle of the page instead of the beginning, so I wasn't taking it in order.
The old evolution-theory is spread more than other scientific theories primarily because it has inferences onto politics, society and religion. It acts as a scientific narrative of life, most often the information spread is inaccurate according to the theory itself, but it's primarily used to justify politics.
While the old evolution theory had inferences in beginning of 1900 of anti-race, anti-weakness and anti-homosexuality (nazi, racial-biology) after 1970 the inferences instead change to be pro-race, pro-homosexuality (homosexuality is created by evolution for a purpose instead of a error now). The interesting thing is that while the inferences from evolution theory changed, the theory itself was the same, it's just the politics around it that change. Evolution theory is used to support politics as a contemporary narrative. You can pretty much justify anything by creating a purpose of why evolution wanted something to occur, like "The evolution wants us to create babies and progress technology.", "The evolution theory wants women to be better at hearing baby screams."
The new neo-evolution theory instead brings a whole range of new inferences. If the environment can change mutations and progress itself then environment becomes important. Inferences from the old theory was that people were predefined from birth by their biology and this became the basis for many sciences today like psychiatry. When the premises of other sciences become questioned, the sciences need to updated.
Without having a discussion about epistemology I think it's impossible to understand the difference from fact, theory, hypothesis and truth. Just because predictions from a theory is true it doesn't mean that the theory is the truth, it just means that it does accurate predictions. Most of scientific theories have been revised and it would be naive to think that neo-evolution theory is the definitive end definition about evolution.
If evolution-theory would be distributed without inferences on politics I don't think it would be a hot topic at all
I start to think to myself - "Well, you don't understand... New theories are formed all of the time, but the ones that are the most fit survive..."
And then I realize I'm practically using evolution to explain what a scientific theory is, so that the person can understand that evolution is not "just a theory." D'oh!
Makes me curious -- does anyone do research involving some kind of organism with very short generation times, whereby the experimenters attempt to only allow the oldest individuals to reproduce?
The idea would be to apply "artificial selection" that optimizes for longevity.
Does anyone know of any research similar to this being done?
But evolution is not true or false it's simply just a model to describe how life evolves, the best model we have.