Protesters who are trying to upend the “fantasy world” of economics
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This is a flawed, Marxist labor theory of value that can't explain why an artisanally-made handbag that takes 120 man-hours to produce still is valued less than a Coach/Prada/LV handbag that was machine-manufactured with no human labor. I really don't understand these people -- but then again, theory not matching up with reality has never been a problem for Marxism's adherents, has it?
(And no, not everything in economics -- let alone economic policy proposals -- has an overwhelming consensus behind it, but there are definitely some things, like free trade...)
I've been reading most of the comments in this thread with a kind of silent horror, but I think yours clarifies the issue.
The fact that there is a large gap between the imagined systems in place and the actual systems in place. So called "Free Trade" is largely a farce as it is purported to be, and the reality is something much different. That you would claim there is "overwhelming consensus" on "free trade" just strengthens my point.
Here's what Chomsky has to say about "Free Trade".
"Nobody in the corporate world or government takes free trade seriously. The parts of the economy that are able to compete internationally are primarily the state-subsidized ones: capital-intensive agriculture, high-tech industry, etc.
The government has the public pay for research and development and provides a state-guaranteed market for waste production. If something is marketable, the private sector takes it over. That system of public subsidy and private profit is what is called free enterprise. Source: What Uncle Sam Really Wants, by Noam Chomsky, p. 13 , Jan 13, 1991 "
The same holds for the rest of the discussion here. People want to talk about Capitalism, or Marxism, or any number of other ideological economic ideas as if they exist in their ideological form, while they obviously do not. Not only that, but that they actively exploit the misunderstanding of their form as a sort of PR move. I don't think half of the people speaking in this thread have any sort of solid understanding of such things. Too much time spent understanding the textbook academic view and not enough time spent understanding the pragmatic, complex, and nuanced view of reality.
Last time I looked if you took labor out of the process, all you'd have left were assorted piles of raw commodities and disappointed wishes for the future.
Not even marketing can save you from this terrible fate.
(Unless you work for Cards Against Humanity, in which case - well played over Christmas.)
>This is a group of students railing against something that they don't understand.
Indeed, for assorted values of 'students.'
The value doesn't come from the assembly; the value comes from the utility that someone gets.
Let's say you're a chef. How much would you pay for a bunch of shovels to stock up the kitchen of your restaurant? You wouldn't buy shovels? Why not, it's raw materials plus labor, same as a knife. In fact, it's just steel and wood -- it's even the same raw materials. Clearly it has value you should pay for; the value is the same, after all...
Oh, you have no USE for it. I see.
Theory not matching with reality has been a problem for every ideology. Marxism hardly holds a monopoly on that.
Certainly it can explain it. The bespoke handbag has the labor of manufacturing done in one place, the machine-manufactured handbag has the labor of manufacturing done in two places - the place of manufacture and the place where the machine was manufactured.
The "Marxist" labor theory of value was held by Benjamin Franklin, Adam Smith and all of the pre-Marxist political economists I know of. It is also a theory you seem to know little about as you're constructing a false, strawman notion of what LTV is and then knocking it down. Not that you're alone in this, I've read Paul Krugman attribute theories to the LTV which its proponents never had, so as to, like you, knock down the strawman theories. I honestly believe he is doing it out of ignorance as opposed to malice.
Actually, like all economic theories, the LTV does have holes which serious critics have pointed out. You don't seem to know what those are though.
The additional Marxian "embedded labour" in the sewing machines and even the ad agencies reponsible for building brand equity doesn't even get close to identifying why Prada handbags cost more than artisanally made ones though...
Your mother knitting you a scarf with her own hands for your birthday instead of an identical one she bought in walmart, and cooking dinner with a sauce she made herself from raw ingredients on Christmas rather than buying the same sauce from the supermarket are two examples.
Modern economic theory assumes all human beings are rational. But they are not rational, all the time, every day, and by optimizing for rationality, something is lost.
Citation needed.
I'm not a huge fan of it but I understand the concessions that have to be made.
actually, i object to the term "irrational", it's only irrational if you assign zero value to the "feel good" incentives driven by basic human psychology.
one interesting thought experiment, for instance, is that most people would neither pay someone else to do their housework, or do someone else's equivalent housework for the same amount of money. from a "purely rational" economic standpoint, that makes no sense - either you think the money is worth less than the cost of doing the housework, in which case you would pay someone to do yours, or it is worth more, in which case you would do yours and then take the money to do someone else's as well. but add in the psychological difference between doing your own work and doing someone else's, and the whole thing is perfectly rational in the understood, if not the technical economic sense of the word.
Take the assumption that labour will migrate rationally to suit a changing job market. I.E. if your state doesn't have any jobs, but there are lots of jobs across the country, you'll go there. When I was last studying economics, this was treated as a rule. In what I've seen of the world, it's completely ungrounded. For certain people, facing certain classes of hardships, this might hold true, but it doesn't even begin to account for things like family or for a sense of home and/or community, or for being in love, or for being comfortable, or scared of change, or any of the other massive number of "irrational" things that influence people's behaviour.
Any model that just ignores these fundamental things isn't just useless, it actually leads to conclusions and policies that do not relate to the reality of peoples' lives. This is a really really big problem.
For one thing, its likely to be more useful in modeling a system where actors are, in fact, not rational. Like, for instance, the world we live in.
I mean, sure, it gets more complex, just like mechanics does when you can't assume everything is frictionless. But a simpler model that doesn't reflect reality has limited utility.
This student protester thinks your mother's sauce should actually be valued more than Ragu on the store shelf. And while you might value your mother's sauce more highly, few other people would share that same valuation. Her labor has no impact on its objective value -- the averaging together of all the subjective valuations of people who want to buy sauce.
I dispute that it's irrational, on two counts:
First, rationality is a question of how you pursue your terminal goals; it can't tell you what terminal goals to have.
Second, perfectly rational agents with identical utility functions might disagree on the amount they're willing to pay for a thing if their circumstances differ.
I think the above example is an example of both differing goals and circumstances.
Under what definition of rationality? I mean, the subjectivity of utility is part of the foundation of the rational actor model (and its one of the few parts that isn't a simplification, at best, or contradiction of reality, at worst.)
I doubt anybody would claim that this gift has more value that a hand-made sweater that might have taken a few dozen hours to knit.
The value of such hand-made gifts is not coming from the time spend preparing them.
Because this (supposedly) time-originating value is present when it was my father that put it in, but completely absent when it wasn't, it is incorrect to ascribe this value to time. Mainstream economics isn't missing anything, these students are just mistaken.
Coincidentally, I also received a book this year which was written by my grandfather in the 60s. Folded up inside of it was a letter to him, from Thomas Watson Jr (who was the president of IBM at the time) congratulating him for his contributions to the field and having the book published. In one of the first sections of the book, my grandfather lists various people that helped him write the book and in doing so, reveals that the book was written over the course of several years. This gift is meaningful to me, but not because of the time my grandfather spent on it. If it were meaningful because of the amount of time spent on it, then it would be meaningful to anybody. Obviously that is not the case.
In your giftcard situation where the first giftcard is gifted to the child of one of the lead architects, would the gift be less valuable if it wasn't the very first card issued? Presumably you specified that it was the very first card issued for a reason, but any value that first card has which subsequent cards do not is obviously not attributable to the time needed to create that system. Whether you have the first card, or the 5,000,001st card, the same amount of time was spent producing that system.
Value added by exclusivity (having the first of something off a production line for example) is well accounted for in modern economics.
"If it were meaningful because of the amount of time spent on it, then it would be meaningful to anybody. Obviously that is not the case."
Mr. Watson could have written a one-line letter or a ten-line letter, and it would be clear the latter would be more intrinsically valuable, because of the increased effort spent to write it; the increased amount of value is irrelevant to the amount of ink on the paper, and only partially relevant to what the words actually say.
You named an example that is less relevant to time, but it doesn't mean time spent performing a work cannot be valuable in and of itself.
For example, a mother spending time knitting a scarf for her child would produce a higher value in terms of intrinsic goods than if a mother went to Walmart to purchase a scarf for her child - even if the scarf she knitted and the one from Walmart are physically identical. The time spent knitting is valuable, intrinsically. You can compare the time as well - She could have knitted a small woollen finger ring, or a scarf - and it would be a clear the latter has a larger intrinsic value because of the larger effort spent.
"Mainstream economics isn't missing anything, these students are just mistaken."
If mainstream economic theory can't understand why people don't relocate to find jobs with $100 more worth of utility, in exchange for losing access to close family members, then is it not missing something? How is it not missing anything if it cannot explain why a child supported by $10,000 of goods and services purchased by its parents is better off than a child supported by $10,000 of goods and services purchased by the state, where intrinsic goods like value in having members of society supported by other family members, rather than by the state, is completely ignored?
Mainstream economics theory cannot explain or value intrinsic goods like - kindness, generosity, acceptance, status, love of a parent, romantic attraction, being attractive. These are all things valuable and yet completely unaccounted for.
In optimising society for a theory assuming perfectly rational actors, society will lose its irrationality, which is all that makes us human, and alive.
Would the scarf have less value if my mother were particularly skilled at knitting? If time is even one of the factors used to determine the value, then surely the value of that scarf should change one way or the other when you push that 'time to knit' knob one way or the other.
It doesn't though. At all.
> "If mainstream economic theory can't understand why people don't relocate to find jobs with $100 more worth of utility, in exchange for losing access to close family members,"
The idea that you really think that mainstream economists do not understand this just floors me. Of course they do.
> "Mainstream economics theory cannot explain or value intrinsic goods like - kindness, generosity, acceptance, status, love of a parent, romantic attraction, being attractive. These are all things valuable and yet completely unaccounted for."
Complete and utter hogwash.
> Complete and utter hogwash.
Would you kindly link to material that suggests that is the case? I have not been able to find any - but then again I've only studied economics in university for two years.
It's not in any of the equations either.
No, it doesn't. Its true that most of the stuff that's taught in introductory undergraduate economics classes does, but outside of that there is quite a lot of work -- even within the broad segment of the economics community that still views the rational actor model as a useful baseline -- exploring how actual behavior in real situations differs from the expectations derived from the rational actor model.
Simple example. You have a company. What's the "value" of your receptionist? Well how do you measure that? Simple: get rid of her, and have your developers answer the phones. The decrease in productivity from that is the value of her position, and it's independent of how many or few people could do the job. The price of her services is a lot lower, and based on the cost of hiring someone else to do the same thing. There's a strong drive in our society to conflate the two, but they're mathematically distinct. Is it Marxist to point out the fact that a capitalist society rewards people based on their fungability rather than the value of their service? Yes, but that doesn't make it wrong.
Rant: the older I get, the more I think that "value" (our social evaluation of worth) should be based on nothing more than hours of labor. An hour of labor from someone with a 130-IQ might carry a higher price on the market than an hour of labor from someone with a 90-IQ, but that doesn't mean our society should perceive the former as being more "valuable." Because at the end of the day, each person is giving up the same hour of life on this earth God gave him.
And an hour of time of a person who studied hard, got good grades, and went through college should be compensated same as high school dropout? Your logic while nice in a "we are all equal fairy tale" way, immediately breaks down society because it devalues education, intelligence, and hard work tremendously.
It devalues effectiveness, not education.
There's the old joke about the repairman who charges $200 to replace a bolt. Outraged, the customer says "that's it?! how can you charge $200 for that?!", and the repairman answers "Well, that's $0.15 for the bolt, and $199.85 for knowing where to put it."
But note that I don't think the parent comment was talking about compensation - indeed, the bit you quoted seems specifically to consider them different things.
E.g. Is it just as valuable for a farmer to till his fields by hand with a hoe and produce food at a subsistence level as it is for another farmer to use modern equipment and provide food for 100 other individuals? This is a rough approximation - pre-industrial farming population was >90%[0] and modern farming population is <1%[1] in industrialized nations.
[0] Based on a figure from this article which gives a figure for 1862 in the US http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/amex/trouble/timeline/
Note that I nonetheless believe you're correct that there's been a dramatic dropoff in the portion of labor we put toward farming, directly or indirectly.
In the modern figure, these hours are explicitly not included. The US is a net food exporter, though[0], so I feel comfortable with the conclusion that a modern farmer is roughly two orders of magnitude more productive than a pre-industrial farmer. Even if we disagree on the reasonableness of that conclusion, I think it is an untenable position that the modern farmer is not at least one order of magnitude more productive even accounting for indirect inputs. Please let me know if you disagree on this, as it would pull the conversation in a different direction and I like to at least be on the same page, even if we're currently at odds about what it says.
[0]I'm using the second document available on this page: http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/cats/agriculture/agri...
As mentioned elsewhere, hours of labor is pretty thoroughly discredited. It implies that I could cause something to be worth more just by using inefficient methods. It fails to capture the idea of marginally decreasing utility. Basically, the value of something is in the eye of the beholder, and tying value to production labor just completely fails to see that.
Since Google was created by a relatively small group of people during a relatively small period of time, wouldn't this imply that one of those hours spent creating Google web search was far more valuable than, say, an hour mopping a floor?
While true that everyone's hours take the same amount of time, don't the results of some people's hours of work save far more hours for everyone else?
The delta between the price generated by the supply/demand curve and the value according to the two things being traded is the entire point of microeconomics as I know it. It's why a trade is a net-positive event for society; both sides must place a greater value on the thing they are receiving from the trade than the thing they are giving up in the trade, or the trade will not take place. There's a bajillion caveats that apply to special cases, but they are, indeed, special cases.
The entire mathematical underpinning of modern economics is precisely a separation between price and value. Take that away and the whole thing is gibberish, and I do not mean a rhetorical or political sort of gibberish, I mean mathematical gibberish. It's the whole foundation.
(To be clear, I'm far more confident about microecon than any particular macroecon theory; I tend to line up with Eliezer that macroecon is anti-inductive: http://lesswrong.com/lw/yv/markets_are_antiinductive/ Note that doesn't mean "Let's just give up and decide it's Marxist"... it's means you pretty much can't know how it works, any theory you can write down is almost instantly made wrong.)
"the older I get, the more I think that "value" (our social evaluation of worth) should be based on nothing more than hours of labor."
Well, if by "should" you mean your own opinion, that's your own opinion. In the real world, though, it wouldn't work. Without feedback about what society needs embedded in prices, everybody would just want to do the fun stuff. Unfortunately, in this universe, "the fun stuff" and "what we need to do to live" don't always overlap. Feedback is too important, any significantly-sized system will fly apart without it, and that's why this debate is so important and why Marxism must not be allowed to win, nor any other economic system that sets out to destroy feedback because sometimes the feedback is unpleasant to certain people. If you want civilization to keep rolling along, you need feedback, and if you have feedback, some of it is going to be negative. Anything that successfully removes all the negative feedback will also destroy civilization. Within that constraint there is still a lot of freedom to work with, but it is an immutable constraint.
(And if you feel inclined to take the cheap & easy shot about it all being "negative feedback", or how only certain people are getting the "positive", you really don't understand what feedback is or how it works. Turn off your political brain for a moment, go study how negative and positive feedback interact in something like a gasoline engine. Then maybe come back and consider how those ideas may apply to an economy, rather than starting from trying to create an argument with "negative" and "positive" feedback as if they're black and white paint, as if they are "bad" and "good" respectively, when in fact that's not even the right dimension to measure them on. Studying feedback in ecosystems is also good; the economy resembles ecosystems in many ways, and in fact microecon can even be used to model certain aspects of ecosystems with no humans, too, so that might be even more apt.)
If you just mean that you value things based on that criterion, I don't think anyone will have much of a problem with that. But of course, price implies an agreement between multiple parties on the value of some good.
To take this to its extreme: If Superman existed, would he be just as valuable as a normal person? If he needed a kidney, would it not make sense to move him up on the transplant list? After all, doing so would save countless lives. At some point, the disparity in abilities becomes so great that only an ideologue can claim people are equal. I agree that it's important to lift the veil of ignorance only in special circumstances (employment, limited educational opportunities, etc), but one should avoid defining people as equal when what we really should be doing is treating them as equal.
One should also note that who is doing the work isn't important. It's what is being done that matters. Whether it's an executive or a janitor, the same amount of good is being done volunteering at a soup kitchen. The difference is that the executive could do more good by working at his job and donating an hour's worth of pay to the soup kitchen. That's the sense in which a person can be more valuable to society. From Money: The Unit of Caring[1]:
> There's this thing called "Ricardo's Law of Comparative Advantage". There's this idea called "professional specialization". There's this notion of "economies of scale". There's this concept of "gains from trade". The whole reason why we have money is to realize the tremendous gains possible from each of us doing what we do best.
> This is what grownups do. This is what you do when you want something to actually get done. You use money to employ full-time specialists.
And obviously not a lot of neurosurgeons have IQs of 90.
Some people can do more, and get paid more.
Then again, some people bust ass all day in the rain as a linesman for the electric co while risking their lives for 60k while the cast of Big Bang Theory gets a mil an episode to sit on the couch.
C'est la vie.
That value is not absolute. That's just the value to me as his or her current employer. The same receptionist would have different value to an employer with a different cost structure. This is why an intermediary like price is required.
> The older I get, the more I think that "value" (our social evaluation of worth) should be based on nothing more than hours of labor.
> An hour of labor from someone with a 130-IQ might carry a higher price on the market than an hour of labor from someone with a 90-IQ
1. These two statements are fundamentally at odds. The mere existence of a market price directly implies that some number of market participants have made their own judgments about the value (to them) of that hour of time.
2. "hours of labor == value" is the fallacy behind make-work programs where people effectively dig ditches and then fill them back up. There's nothing changed when they're done; how do you capture that economically?
The argument for a make-work program is not based on any theory of the value of labor. It is based on vulgar Keynesianism and predicated on the multiplier effect of spending.
I agree with you that a make-work program is at best, and generously interpreted as a naive idea.
So, according to Marx, almost everyone is worth more than they are valued. The difference becomes profits. And since most companies generate profits (if they dont, they become bankrupt), it follows that most workers are paid less than their worth.
A big difference between the marxist view and mainstream economics, is that marxists consider the relationship inherently exploitative. Workers are forced to sell their labour cheaply because they are under duress. If they refuse the deal, they wont be able to buy food and then starve. Mainstream economists consider it a completely voluntary exchange (afaik -- but i could be wrong on this) and does not concern itself over "wage slavery."
Btw, Marxism never claimed that people should all be paid the same. Only that you should be paid what you are worth instead of valued.
It's amazing how many people who have never read Marx or seriously thought through his economics posit and then proudly refute this sophistic and extremely naive strawman argument. This is a wildly incorrect reading of the LTV that can be eliminated by simply reading Capital: Volume 1, Chapter 1 - Where the LTV is spelled out in detail.
[0] - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/David_Ricardo#Value_theory
And besides, your argument about expensive handbags is flawed, since they are status signifier because of the work of PR people.
I'm the first guy in line to cut into economics. To me it's just astrology for people who know calculus. Or, as one wag put it, How many economists does it take to reach a conclusion?
But having said that, the practitioners themselves are just as aware of the problems of the "science" as anybody else. I'm also not crazy about Jungian psychotherapy, but you don't see me protesting outside the psychiatrist conventions.
While I may disagree with methodology, and I may even argue politically about policy implications based on conclusions various sciences reach, I remain convinced by the Charity Principle that these folks are working in good faith. What I'm seeing here are people who don't want other people in positions of authority because they disagree with their conclusions. This looks uncomfortably like an ecclesiastical dispute.
So as bad as economics and economists look? These protesters look worse. Terrible thing.
Economics is much more political than psychiatry, and most other sciences. As you stated, maybe due to it's lack of hard science. So it doesn't surprise me that there are activists doing this.
Whether it will actually influence the top economists who have politicians ears, and to a lesser extent overall academia, is the big question.
But I agree with DanielBMarkham in that economists are generally working in good faith (though I have my doubts about Krugman). It's just not very easy to see your own biases.
Krugman looks to me like a political shill, not an economist (Somebody said once that most of his columns should start with "Fools!") He'll say something outrageous, and then over the next several days other economists will try to sort it all out. Many times it's just political bickering, but there have been times where it looks like he's crossed the line: I see folks who don't do politics try to come out publicly and reason with him. It's most always a mistake. The more they pile on the more he revels in it.
Having said that, I'm fine with him continuing to opine. The dangerous thing I'm seeing is politicians who don't seem to be responsible for anything: everything they do is based on experts somewhere who are more than willing to back them up on whatever decision they make. The real discussion we should be having here is the role of academia and the role of elected leaders in a democracy. That's where the lines are blurring, and that's the reason you see well-meaning (but perhaps not-so-well-educated) folks protesting who can work the job of basically "a guy that tells me things I didn't know". It's because they view professors as some sort of priesthood that decides what the policy should be. That's not true -- and it should never be true.
Not only in politics but also in courts. The more cases I read through involve technology the more I'm convinced there is a greater disconnect between judges/jury vs understanding of technology, than political economics vs the public.
This is particularly dangerous these days as cybercrime becomes a hot topic and a bunch of 80yr+ olds will have the final say. People who never grew up with computers and rely heavily on 'experts'. And I highly doubt you'll find many protesters outside of a case-by-case basis.
Although I suspect science and politics has always been dichotomous throughout history. Hopefully(?) in the future AI-assisted policy will help negate this..
The ironic thing is that looking at the conference programme there were almost certainly more radical arguments made by the invited speakers... https://www.aeaweb.org/aea/2015conference/program/preliminar...
> [...]
> While I may disagree with methodology, and I may even argue politically about policy implications based on conclusions various sciences reach
Economics is a science like theology is a science. Some of our skepticism just goes beyond yours. Actually, the word "economics" was created to replace "political economy" by some of the most political of the economists like Jevons and Marshall. I can accept the impartiality of astronomers coming to a consensus of how close the star Proxima Centauri is to earth. Insofar as deciding how the pie should be divided up, to call that a science with people working in good faith is absurd.
No, its not. Economics deals with measurable phenomena in the material world.
> can accept the impartiality of astronomers coming to a consensus of how close the star Proxima Centauri is to earth. Insofar as deciding how the pie should be divided up, to call that a science with people working in good faith is absurd.
Deciding how the pie should be divided up is not within the scope of the science of economics. Predicting how the pie will end up divided given certain starting conditions and policy frameworks, OTOH, is.
And it is at best confined to natural experiments since we can't spin up 10,000 civilizations that start with the same resource base but different economic policies.
The fact that you _believe_ economics is a science in spite of the evidence; suggests that you are not as objective as you think you are.
By making their vehicle a protest rather than a rigorous intellectual deconstruction, at best the message is that they can't come up with more than catchy slogans and loaded (unbacked) statements. I have not done significant research beyond the article linked, which includes no reference to supporting and more rigorous arguments produced by this group.
Factually, there is huge variation in the economics profession and the claim "Neoclassicism is essentially the standard for 95 percent of the graduate departments in the country." is simply not true. There are many academic foci in economics and a healthy dialogue among proponents of different viewpoints. There is also a vast network of blogs published by both academic economists and amateurs (connotation = non-professional, but well educated on the topic) treating the topic in a more casual tone.
Lastly, the representation of neoclassical economics presented is a straw man, and an uninspired one at that:
>the fantasy world of neoclassical economics — a faith-based religion of perfect markets, enlightened consumers and infinite growth that shapes the fates of billions.
This is the model (excepting infinite growth) typically taught in introductory economics courses of all types. It is not taught as an actual representation of the world (though even as simplified as the models in Intro Micro/Macro carry a great amount of explanatory value over a naive interpretation of matters economic), but as a framework within which the basic principles of economics can be taught. A rough equivalent would be protesting a physics conference because the solar system model of an atom is not representative of reality.
The European economy has been crippled over the last few years by bankers and ideologues who plainly believe that this model is the only possible way to describe economic activity.
You also ignore the fact that the few heterodox economists that exist are utterly ignored by policy makers - even when they continue to make correct predictions about future economic outcomes.
>a rigorous intellectual deconstruction
Rigorous intellectual deconstructions have existed for decades. They have a much better predictive record than mainstream 'wisdom', but they continue to be ignored by the profession.
How do you explain this?
I'll explain it by pointing out that mainstream economics has always been a purely political exercise, funded by those who would benefit from it, and created as a deliberate attempt to eliminate the political leverage of those they considered their social and economic inferiors.
I wonder how many fans of mainstream economics know anything about the real history of Hayek, or of the Mont Pelerin Society, or the influence of Harold Luhnow and his administration of the Volker Fund, or how the so-called political consensus around free-market liberalism is a wholly manufactured PR exercise and has absolutely no relationship with honest, objective, evidence-based economic science?
I claim that it is taught and in the context of a foundational model to build upon. Critiquing the 101 model in any field is a straw-man argument.
Politics and economics are deeply intertwined, I agree to the claim earnestly, but it was not the point of my post, nor was it a primary point of the article. The article is directed at academic economics, so I address the attacks on academic economics. Politicians clearly have different incentives than economics (in fact, there is a robust field within economics, Public Choice Theory, which addresses the incentives of politicians and collective actors), and to judge an academic pursuit by politicians' self-serving interpretations of it is disingenuous. If the objection of the protesters is politics, then protest politics, not one of the tools they abuse.
>You also ignore the fact that the few heterodox economists that exist are utterly ignored by policy makers - even when they continue to make correct predictions about future economic outcomes.
See above - the article and my comment address academics, not politics.
>Rigorous intellectual deconstructions have existed for decades. They have a much better predictive record than mainstream 'wisdom', but they continue to be ignored by the profession.
They have indeed, and only some few have better predictive records - I'd love to hear which you are referring to (connotation = honestly curious).
I'll explain this by saying that you conflate the profession of economist with the profession of politician or politician's supporter.
I'll finish by noting that free-market liberalism is not a political consensus, and in fact "unfettered [free-market] [capitalism]" (and various synonyms) is commonly used as a pejorative among the political left of many leanings, and any support for the idea among the political right is lip-service at best and clearly hypocritical based on the often corporatist leanings of right-wing policy.
Those on the right who do support free-market liberalism fall more toward Ron Paul and the Tea Party (neither a perfect representation of the ideal, though closer than the majority of the right) and supporters of the man or the party are clearly NOT the political mainstream, but at best a vocal minority.
Those on the left supporting free-market liberalism (various anarchist groups and left-libertarians) are, if anything a smaller influence than those on the right, or at least a less discussed vocal minority in the news.
The mainstream of both right and left follow remarkably similar economic policies differentiated by the rhetoric used to support them, both tending away from free-market liberalism.
The conflation of politics and economics turns most public discourse into a religious war, rather than a reasoned interpretation of academic progress on many fronts (and, as you note, public ignorance of many of those academic fronts).
> I have not done significant research beyond the article linked, which includes no reference to supporting and more rigorous arguments produced by this group.
So.. because you are to lazy to look up whether they have made good arguments you assume that they haven't?
> A rough equivalent would be protesting a physics conference because the solar system model of an atom is not representative of reality.
No. That would imply that they are cranks and you have no evidence of that. It's like you already have made up your mind on what to think without listening, which is kind of why they have to resort to demonstrations in the first place. :)
>So.. because you are to lazy to look up whether they have made good arguments you assume that they haven't?
Because I was at work and had limited time, I was limited to the resources linked in the article, which included a very non-rigorous page which is more concerned with its manifesto and self-congratulatorily declaiming the "mainstream." I also had the content of the conference they were protesting, and the quotes in support of their views.
The conference, as others have pointed out numerous times covered some pretty heterodox views to begin with, and that it was their choice of target as representative of the mainstream implies a naive understanding of what is and is not mainstream economics.
The quotes of the protesters and the economics these quotes represent are not heterodox so much as well-refuted theories, again, as others have covered numerous times in other comments.
>>A rough equivalent would be protesting a physics conference because the solar system model of an atom is not representative of reality.
>No. That would imply that they are cranks and you have no evidence of that. It's like you already have made up your mind on what to think without listening, which is kind of why they have to resort to demonstrations in the first place. :)
I have laid out above my reasoning for not putting merit toward their academic rigor. I, personally, loathe the "economics" put forth as support for popular political policy of the day, so I came into the article sympathetic to the thesis. Every element of the article and supporting evidence I was able to find based on my limited time during work pointed to the conclusions that I drew.
Finally, it is clear without needing further research that they do clearly hold the belief that the following quote is representative of mainstream economics:
"the fantasy world of neoclassical economics — a faith-based religion of perfect markets, enlightened consumers and infinite growth that shapes the fates of billions."
This belief is a strawman caricature of an introductory economics model. To declaim mainstream economics based on this understanding is hopelessly naive and is exactly akin to declaim modern physics because of the solar system model of an atom (another 101-level model which is an un-nuanced but accurate in broad strokes model used to introduce new students to a field).
Whether the quotation above is central to their argument, or tangential, my comparison holds. Further, the case is much stronger that the quotation above is of primary concern to their argument, which only strengthens any critique based on it.
I appreciate your feedback on how to come off less dismissive of the original article.
On the one hand, you are right the economics can't be accused of ignoring obvious flaws in neoclassical economics (e.g. various market frictions).
On the other hand, neoclassical economics contains some core truths that fundamentally inform how most economists think. It is a kind of zero'th order approximation to reality for economists (and the first order approximation is "optimal taxation theory"). So I think that mainstream economists do have a common set of beliefs that is strongly influenced by neoclassical theory (someone else in this page mentioned free trade, which is probably the best example of an application of neoclassical theory that almost all economists agree with).
I'd like to clarify my own position though, as your post makes me feel I was not entirely clear. I claim that the picture the protesters paint of neoclassical economics is a straw man.
Perfect markets and enlightened consumers are not an assumption in neoclassical economics, nor are they required to support free trade (to use your own example of an issue with wide agreement).
There's 7 billion people in the world, we're all connected in various ways, and we all buy, sell, engage in work and other economic activities multiple times per day. Oh and nothings reproducible, so good luck trying to recreate experiments.
That's one huge model to attempt to simulate.
And if any programmer/engineer thinks they're smarter than the people currently working on these problems, I'm sure some hedge fund will pay you millions to 'solve' the problem of modeling economics.
I also think part of the problem is that it's the blood-sucking octopus entities that pay all the money normally for such development and then use it to sharpen their fangs on the public.