This is a flawed assumption. The US has nearly unlimited room to accept immigration, and on average every single immigrant we accept would increase the size of our economy. Immigrants are not a "drain on the system" that must be limited. Human brains are the single most valuable resource in the universe, and we should take as many as we can. Not only that, but the people who self-select to move their families across the world are the most motivated, entrepreneurial, and risk-seeking brains in the world.
Our default assumption should be that the walls are down and the gates are open; only in extraordinary cases should we be sending anyone (regardless of skills) away at the border.
But this is all politics, and as such it should probably be flagged.
Yeah, bull. Not even.
The unstated assumption underlying the assertion that "the U.S. has nearly unlimited room to accept immigration" is that culture, and institutions arising out of that culture, doesn't matter. That's false. Culture and institutions are what make the U.S. worth immigrating to in the first place.
And I say this as an immigrant. My parents didn't leave their lives half a world away to come here for the weather.
Agreed. They probably came here for a better life and opportunity just like most immigrants. What is your point though ? Your parents immigrated here and now you think " immigration is already too much". I am not attacking you personally but trying to understand your point. What is this culture and institution that you talk about ?
I'm not against immigration. I'm for preserving the virtues of American culture that you don't see in a lot of other places (even among the wealthier and more educated folks in other places): attitudes towards corruption, women, racism, homosexuality, the environment, entrepreneurship, risk, personal happiness, family relationships and hierarchy, etc.
If I understand you correctly, you are making the assumption that things like respecting women's rights etc. are primarily an American virtue and not as much with other cultures ? I would agree with you generally that America is probably the most open country even with its challenges but I am not sure if your point is relevant in the context of immigration. Here is why. Immigrants come to America for many reasons. Your dad's was not wanting to bribe for every little thing and probably many other factors like that. But in my experience, most immigrants are just looking for better opportunity and america provides that. It is hard to objectively quantify their virtues, beliefs etc.
So what I am getting at is that your point seems ok in theory but very difficult to implement in reality. If you want to restrict immigration, it certainly cannot be done based on perceived virtues. Plenty of immigrants assimilate in the local culture while plenty preserve their own at the same time. Nothing wrong with both as long you are not hurting anyone. In fact, what makes America special is you could look different, speak different, eat different but at the end of day, you are American as long as you have some common core beliefs including hard work, take nothing for granted, the drive to succeed and the perception of self independence.
Granted the cap on immigration is probably well below the cultural assimilation rate, but just because we could accept say 2 million people a year does not mean 20 would not be a huge problem.
On top of that the US has a huge investment in infrastructure roads, bridges, railroads, water, sewage, schools, etc which needs to be expanded when increasing the population. So, while allowing lot's of doctors to emigrate is probably a net gain, adding migrant workers is probably a net loss to the economy on average.
The Italian's might have been more famous, but there where wars fought in US city's: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Irish_Mob
Why are those the core values? I can think of several off the top of my head that are more important. What makes America a better place to live than Bangladesh is not that we believe in hard work and independence while people in Bangladesh do not. Beliefs are a part of it, but not those specific beliefs.
(A fair critique of what I just said might take into account the attitudes of, say, rural Missouri; however: immigrants don't as a general rule come here from Bangladesh to settle into the Ozarks).
I've heard this said before but never seen any data on it, though similar rationale was used in the Immigration Act of 1924: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immigration_Act_of_1924 , which helped condemn millions to death in Europe.
Bryan Caplan makes the case for open borders here: http://openborders.info/bryan-caplan/ . Separately, his books, The Myth of the Rational Voter and Selfish Reasons to Have More Kids, are both great, and full of brilliantly contrarian thinking.
[1] http://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/serials/files/cato-...
That is incredibly twisted reasoning.
...who can easily just think "got mine".
This makes me wonder if there is anything we could do to better spread out immigrants to improve the pace of assimilation and hence increase our total capacity to accept immigrants without negative cultural impact.
No idea how this might be accomplished but it's got me thinking.
Says who? The permanent ecologically sustainable population of the U.S. is under 200 million. Supporting the current population at the current standard of living involves running down aquifers and top soil and fisheries. We could certainly cram in 600 million at a far lower standard of living. Why should the people favor a reduced lifestyle?
Where exactly are the added millions going to live? There aren't really viable sites for new cities. No, with continued high immigration we're really talking about adding massively to both sprawl and overcrowding in existing cities. Citizens rightly regard both these developments negatively.
The demographic trends in America were set in the 1960s and 70s to level off the population at a pretty comfortable figure around 200 million. With the massively increased immigration of recent decades we're going to hit somewhere well over double that. To what advantage? The parallel America with a much lower population would be a much nicer place to live for the vast majority of people.
Beyond ecological concerns, you can't add people without compromising the lifestyle of people already here. Go ahead and ask people in most cities if they want their town to be a lot more like Los Angeles. The answer 90% of the time will be No. But that's what's happening anyway.
This idea that there is a ton of land for new urbanization is obviously wrong. The good land is all in use. What's left is semi-arid, flood plain, or unsuitable in other ways. You can't just stick people out in a prairie or desert or on an Appalachian hill top. You have to ship in food and pipe out the sewage. That's not economically viable most places.
The one area of the country that could actually support a higher population density is the great lakes region, but it's in fact slowly depopulating at the moment. Immigrants are not moving to Erie, PA. They are moving to places like NYC and cities in California. So this point that there is available land is a pointless academic discussion unless you want to impose soviet style internal passports.
Arguably, what has kept the US culture so vibrant is the very aggressive assimilation and acceptance of foreign cultures.
I think the very notion of some sort of "American culture" that needs to be "protected" to be a fantasy; at best just a rose-tinted glasses view of the past, and at worst shorthand for "I want immigrants who agree with my views so that the candidates I support win more elections".
Your answer MUST be expressed a NUMBER, not some vapid BS platitude.
ftfy
No, we don't have unlimited room, unless you're planning to not feed or provide water to these people long term.
Do you know how many children are born every day in the US?
Are you sure that's a throwaway? Take a look at my username. That's a throwaway!
If 100% of immigrants are neurosurgeons, that simultaneously gluts the domestic labor market for neurosurgery and creates shortages in all the other jobs that typically support neurosurgeons, down to the cafe baristas and hairdressers.
What you want is to import the right immigrants at the right time. If you get an unbalanced mix, the economy will be disrupted as surely as a washing machine with socks on one side and jeans on the other.
Limiting the absolute number per year allows the economy to adjust as the new participants come in. Being a little smarter about the different skill sets that come in would allow greater absolute numbers to immigrate and assimilate.
But I don't particularly trust the bureaucracy to calculate the numbers that would provide the greatest overall economic benefits, either, so perhaps a stupider and simpler system that largely eliminates the need for bureaucratic decision-making would be best.
No, the actual assumption is that the US wants to bias its flow of immigrants towards high-skilled, high-value people working in high-value-add positions. If human brains are a valuable resource, he is proposing that the government should issue visas to the best and brightest resources it can get.
Average human brains are not a scarce resource as seen by all practical evidence - globally, they're being manufactured at near-record numbers, they're a sustainable resource that we can make more in the future, they're not fully used (9 million of them unemployed) and we're okay with deliberately throwing away many of them (e.g. incarcerating 2 million).
In addition, there is significant unequality between the regions of the world. Simply equalizing the global wealth per capita would be a very unwanted change for most of the first world, simply being pushed down to the average would be a catastrophic decrease. Equal opportunities for everyone worldwide would also hurt current first world citizens, who right now do have significantly above average opportunities. You can charge an order of magnitude more for the same job or service simply because you are here and "they" are not. It is rather obvious that there are some practical reasons why they would vote to preserve the status quo.
Nothing requires any stipulation that these minds be genetically inferior.
Bear in mind that I brought this up as a possible objection that needed addressing, to the argument "we don't need more average minds - look at all the average minds we're not using".
But that's the problem. Doing something with the late 30s unskilled laborer with no job is something we might be able to just break even on, or at least not lose too much in retraining for humanitarian reasons, and doing that is arguably better than abandoning those people to a life of crime and prison. But importing a significant number of new people who are already in that situation is not an economically positive proposition.
None of this has much to do, anymore, with the question of whether there is "demand for average human brains", incidentally.
But we're not talking about the world over. Allowing unlimited immigration is good for the immigrants but bad for the existing citizens.
And you're running straight into equality fallacy. Equality is not an unambiguous good. When most people are poor, making everyone equal just makes everyone poor. There is a threshold past which people can stop worrying about where their next meal is coming from and instead make investments in the future of the world. The ideal eventual outcome is for everyone to be above that level, but if you flatten the world-wide income graph today then nobody is and the people who are are the only ones who can drag everyone else up. In the meantime the distinction between who gets to be a citizen of a first world country and who doesn't is inherently arbitrary and unfair, but it's still a choice that has to be made.
The reasoning was: If you force jobs to be filled by people who are not as good at them, we collectively get less work done. Assuming that work tends to be useful, that means we collectively have fewer resources available.
Now you're changing your argument. The people who are the "best fit" for a job aren't necessarily better at it. They may be worse at it but willing to work for less money. Which is where equality enters into it: You're making the assumption that it's better to transfer that money from the workers to producers or customers. But for something that done at scale leads to the destruction of the middle class, that assumption is false.
You can't have entry into those markets while putting up barriers of your own. Go to any street corner in India or Mexico and you will see US and other western brands everywhere.
That being said, you definitely can have entry into those markets while putting up barriers of your own, there are many historical examples when this was successfully done, e.g. 19th century was probably a peak of such practices. The only question is if you should, and if it's worthwhile right now - you can go to any place in USA and you'll see lots of things that are manufactured in Mexico.
And the relationship is exactly the opposite of what is implied by your comment - a large wage disparity means that the developing markets aren't as "useful" as is their cheap labor; if wages would become more equal, then this change would generally reduce the outsourcing of labor to the third world and increase the export of goods made in USA to India or Mexico.
This has gone into both immigration and outsourcing, so it does become relevant.
>there are many historical examples when this was successfully done
This was to the detriment of those who were blocked from trade. The power balance between the west and the rest of the world isn't as skewed today so such would not be possible.
>a large wage disparity means that the developing markets aren't as "useful" as is their cheap labor;
This is a fundamental flaw in your logic and most in this thread. A person is both a worker and consumer. The same person that is working for money is going to consume with that money.
When an immigrant arrives to the US, they become both worker and consumer. Their consumption drives the creation of more products, including software products.
When I came to the US on H1B I made up 25% of the company, at the time the cost was already significant enough to prevent any "abuse".
However, this would also mean that startups would likely find it impossible to earn H1-B's in competitive fields, as a fair amount of the compensation is future-loaded.
Or, to put it another way: who's going to win a bidding war for Employee X, Microsoft or {Startup Working to Become Microsoft}?
Over time, yes, engineers are engineers, and those perking will be a continuous opportunity for startups to hire. However, it doesn't help at all if you want to hire the world's top talent in {insert new technology that didn't exist 2 years ago}. And isn't that ideally what this is about?
BTW there are few visa's (if any) for "limited" or occasional visits to the US.
Actually, I'm not sure of the law here. As long as you're not employed by the US division, are not paid by them and are just using the US as a place to work for their overseas subsidiary....I'm not sure how that pans out, legality wise.
Almost all of the money 'startups' are raising is destined for employee compensation. This would just be another form of it.
Summary: Open work permits that segue into GC's are my preferred approach.
[1] Verified via IRS filings. The applicant gives permission to DHS to check the IRS filings.
It's completely doable. The only downside is that processing the visa transfer takes time. Nowhere near the amount of time it takes to get a new visa, of course, but it's still longer than a two week notice.
For instance, registered nurses and dental hygienists in the bay area earn a bit more and a bit less than application developers, respectively. Under the H1B terms, it would be difficult for a programmer to become a physician, lawyer, nurse, dental hygienist, mortgage broker, or many other jobs. As a result a salary and prospects gap can emerge between programming and these fields - increasing the probability that those people with freedom and choice will avoid programming (and ensuring that the "shortage" continues decade after decade).
Truth is, visa programs that are designed to target specific jobs or industries by allowing workers only to work for a specific employer or in a specific field are likely to end up badly distorting labor markets.
But on the other side every good dev I know from my uni in Aus is sucked up by MS, GOOG or FB. They had offers before they even graduated. The most they could get in Aus was 50-80k AUD. In US 120k+ is easy.
From the Australian side they legitimately have a talent issue as talent gets sucked to US. From the US side, I see a huge income gap. Tech pays so well the guys are buying big cars and being lavish with their inflated egos. The average american is still on 50k. They can't keep up with the rent rises.
Careful what you wish for. I wish other parts of the world could achieve the size of tech the US west coast has.
Sounds like a great way to skew immigration in favour of big business and completely screw over start ups and SMBs.
Now that doesn't mean it shouldn't have restraints. But it does mean there are winners and losers and it is perfectly fair and reasonable to call them out.
(Edit: Who the hell is downvoting the artificial scarcity comments? That's absurd. Care to have an actual discussion?)
Tata can rake the auction price up because even though their worker doesn't have a great salary, they're being billed a lot. 10k, 20k for a H1B? NO PROBLEM!
You're just shutting the small players out.
As an example, Red Hat hires a lot of H1Bs, now, since they know how to work remotely this is not such a big issue, still.
Citation needed!
For reference, here's a toy model where pricing a scarce resource screws someone over:
- There are two people in the model, Alice and Bob.
- Alice is very rich, Bob is very poor.
- Each of them needs a loaf of bread per day to survive (100 utility), and would also enjoy eating a second loaf (1 utility).
- Initially, each of them gets a loaf from the government for free. There are only two loaves available per day.
- Now let's price the scarce resource, and have the government sell the loaves instead! Alice buys both loaves and enjoys life. Bob doesn't get anything and dies.
Right?
Suppose we make your exact scenario about a rare/endangered species of caviar. Bob can still buy bread for one credit but you're arguing that the government should ensure the equitable distribution of caviar because the market price isn't fair to Bob who can't afford it. Bob is not getting screwed, Bob just can't afford caviar.