Gravitricity
gravitricity.com
gravitricity.com
On their webpage they say " The biggest single cost is the hole, but it is expected that firstly this will have a very long life and secondly, as the technology rolls out, the costs of drilling will reduce significantly. So the economics will improve in time."
Drilling will not get cheaper without a serious reform of the law, and that's unlikely to happen. There are two primary kinds of drillers; water and energy. Folks involved in water have VERY protective rules in all states. The reasons are 1. good lobbying and 2. if you screw up you destroy the water supply.
Energy drilling is no cheaper. Drilling rigs are huge machines that aren't moved easily and cost at least $50k a day on land and $500k a day for seagoing. That's before you pay another $20k per day in staff and god knows how much for fuel for everything; a rig will produce at least 5MW of power.
Could they custom build a rig just for drilling for their idea and would that work? Sure. But they'd probably spend several million and then you've got to have it running 24/7 for it to pay off.
The regulatory hurdle is going to be non-trivial as well. They're going to case it which helps. But the casing would probably need to be cemented in place which is a non-trivial cost as well. And convincing lawmakers that this doesn't quack like some other kind of well is going to be no easy feat.
I'm not sure this has much to do at all with water and energy drilling. They're talking about using abandoned mine-shafts. Those are much wider and shallower than the kind of holes used to reach petroleum.
These guys may be on to something. Scaling down seems to me to be the key. Full gridless operation with solar panels (at least in earthquake-free zones).
The problem with going shallower is that the system capacity is directly proportional to depth and weight. Too shallow and you have to have huge weight and that means a large diameter hole and really big cables and such.
But going deeper requires drilling through rock, and aquifers which are located within the rock. That means big regulatory hurdles because nobody wants to poison the aquifer on accident. Plus the large costs of drilling through rock.
I really like the idea from a theoretical standpoint. It's very elegant. But it doesn't seem practical from an economic or regulatory standpoint. If there are places where you can get the diameter and depth for free, it's clearly genius. But I don't think purpose-drilled holes for this will become a thing -- at least barring some kind of immense breakthrough that I can't even imagine.
The potential energy of a mass in joule is simply
m * g * h
where m is in kilogram, g is 9.8 m/s^2, h is the height in metre.So, for example, 100 ton lifted 100 metre gives 98MJ.
That's 1MW for 98 seconds.
To make this very concrete my house uses, in the summer, about 40kW-hr per day for water heating, cooking, and the rather large amount of computer equipment we have.
That is 40000 * 3600 = 144MJ. So assuming that your solar power system can supply that over a 12 hour period we need to store half of it, 72MJ, to keep us going after dark. Your ten metre deep hole would need a 734 ton weight: 735000 kg * 9.8 m/s^2 * 10 m = 72MJ
Either way, I think you'd have to round your estimate to order-of-magnitude anyway, because of the rather big assumption "that your solar power system can supply that over a 12 hour period we need to store half of it, 72MJ, to keep us going after dark", because getting max solar power for half the day and no solar power for the rest is not exactly how it works, nor does one use the same amount of energy during day and night (which is why I can opt in to an energy plan that gives you discount on electricity at night, because there's a surplus then).
Even if we accept your figure the peak daily use is probably at least double your 9kW-hr/day (winter for example) and even if you use less at night you still need probably about 12MJ storage to allow solar to work per household, etc., etc. So, yes, in the Netherlands you need a smaller mass but it is still in the order of 100 ton.
The point of my reply was to show the person I was replying to how easy it is to find out how much mass and height is needed, you just have to plug in your own energy consumption and generation figures.
I'm looking through all the dismissive comments to see if any of them are pinpointing it as a scam - because this is, after all, the kind of idea that is simple enough to captivate laypeople and lift dollars out of their pockets. But judging from this kind of response, it seems like it's also the kind of idea that is simple enough to be dismissed as a "they would have done it already if it worked," rationalized via fuzzy back-of-the-envelope math.
Ultimately, since I have no stake in this one, I'll just wish them luck.
Definitely more negative comments on HN these days (although it's always been a skeptical audience).
Real problems: Dismissive people who don't/can't/wont listen to good responses. Good founders/ideas but just really bad at communicating. Those are basically the type i and type ii errors of this format.[1]
_____
[1] A grey area exists in some other areas too (some people just get 'lucky'; others for good reason can't disclose everything the key answers/insights for competitive reasons)
Read about these two: http://www.gravitricity.com/#people
Do they seem like complete morons? Do you think they haven't studied this just a little bit more than you have? It doesn't mean their idea is good or will work - just that you aren't going to rip it apart with two hastily written paragraphs.
People who ask questions about the costs, process, etc. are in the right spirit. People who think they can show off how clever they are really make me /facepalm
You DO need to be one to actually assess the overall build and structure.
Anyone can tell if a really really shoddy building is NOT structurally sound.
What is hard to tell is if a building IS structurally sound. That is why engineers exist. Not for the previous.
Until these "experts" provide evidence otherwise, it's useless to berate readers for pointing out the obvious.
Really, what do you think the definition of an expert is? "Just because he teaches the stuff at the University of Edinburgh, has sold a company to Siemens that created the world's only installed MW-scaled marine turbines (with the sale described by Bloomberg as a 'blow to the UK'[1]), and received an MBE for his contributions, does not make him an energy expert."
Of course they're experts, even if they're ones you disagree with.
[1] http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2012-02-17/siemens-to-take-ove...
As it is, this website reads like they did the napkin math for the idea and are using only their credentials to legitimize it. Its an appeal to authority.
I don't think people like these two would risk their considerable reputations publishing something that every one of their peers could take apart at a cocktail party. More likely, there's more behind this website.
HN readers rarely give that obvious benefit of the doubt.
Intelligent people often run the best scams. Pumped storage can vary cheaply move a lot of mass up and down significant heights and it's still to expencive without a natural aquifers. The problem is power is rediculusly cheap and lifting crap takes far less power than you might think.
"The main problem with gravitational storage is that it is incredibly weak compared to chemical, compressed air, or flywheel techniques (see the post on home energy storage options). For example, to get the amount of energy stored in a single AA battery, we would have to lift 100 kg (220 lb) 10 m (33 ft) to match it. To match the energy contained in a gallon of gasoline, we would have to lift 13 tons of water (3500 gallons) one kilometer high (3,280 feet). It is clear that the energy density of gravitational storage is severely disadvantaged." http://physics.ucsd.edu/do-the-math/2011/11/pump-up-the-stor...
For useful amounts of grid storage you need to be lifting on the order of 100,000+ tons up 1 km which starts to get really expencive just for cables.
A subway tunnel might have a diameter of about 6 meters, so cross section = 3 * 3 * pi = 28 square meters. Digging subway tunnel through rock costs about $100M per kilometer. On the one hand, these holes would be vertical, which is harder than horizontal; on the other hand, they wouldn't need ventilation and train tracks and stuff. Let's handwave and say it's $100M for a 1 km deep hole.
Now, you can't fill the whole tunnel perfectly or the air can't escape, so our total volume of mass will be about 25 m^2 * 1000 m = 25,000 cubic meters. If the weights are made from lead, that's a total mass of ~280,000 tons or 2.8 * 10^8 kg, at a mean depth of 500 meters, so our total potential energy is 2.8 * 10^8 * 500 * 9.8 = 1.4 TJ, or 1.3 TJ net assuming you get the efficiency they claim. 1 kWh is 3.6 MJ, so you can store ~400,000 kWh at $100M capital cost (ignoring for the moment the cost of weights, generators, etc.), which is $250 per kWh installed capacity.
That's pretty good... but you also have to pay for weights and a bunch of other stuff. Bulk lead costs about $2,000 per ton on the current market, so that's $560M for the weights, which puts you back in the $2,000 per kWh range which doesn't beat lithium batteries. So you have to use iron or some cheaper material... but then you don't have as much storage capacity because the density is lower, and even with iron you're paying $400 per metric ton or $80M for all your weights. So this isn't obviously impossible like Solar Roadways, but even in the best case it won't make storage dramatically cheaper.
It certainly appears more expensive than pumped storage, but as they say, it doesn't require a convenient mountain and lake. That makes for much more flexibility in placement, and the closer you can place the storage to the demand, the less is wasted in transmission, and the less storage you ultimately need. That said, the pumped heat storage design[1] that hit the homepage yesterday would have all those same advantages, and although the efficiency would be slightly lower, it looks much cheaper to build.
[1]: http://www.windpowerengineering.com/featured/business-news-p...
Edit: I mean that an inclined rail could be just as good as a hole, and way cheaper.
That said, how are those gravity fed porch lights doing? That seems like it would be an interesting proxy here.
That implies that you want a weight orders of magnitude more than a train (or many trains per charge "cycle" with a stockyard at each and of the mountain to store them) You're now going to need a very tough track and wheelset. They're also going to wear quickly. Probably enough to make it impractical to build and operate.
If you assume that the thing lasts forever, well, you divide $x/infinity so it's free. EXCEPT that you've got $x tied up that could be earning interest instead. So it's not $x/infinity, it's the opportunity cost on $x versus anything else out there like batteries, the grid, etc.
Edit: You assumed that they can both fill most of the tunnel up with lead and move that up or down 500 meters. The volume that they can fill with that is thus only half of what you say.
Couldn't you have the weight grip the sides of the tunnel with gears attached to a generator/motor (inside the weight) so the weight wouldn't rip itself apart? It would be the same machinery that ordinarily would operate the pulley at the top, just moved down into the weights (cause with this, you would need no more pulley). (To illustrate why it wouldn't rip itself apart, imagine gaps on the weight every 100 meters.)
The appeal of the cables is that they're cheap. And they're cheap because they're easy to make (all things considered). Once you start applying sophistication to the design the price gets higher, and it's already too high from having to drill the hole.
I would have thought that a better comparison would be oil wells, which cost about $500 per ft of depth, or $1.5M per km.
our total volume of mass will be about 25 m^2 1000 m = 25,000 cubic meters. If the weights are made from lead, that's a total mass of ~280,000 tons*
You seem to be assuming that the entire depth of the shaft is filled by weights. My impression was that the weight was much smaller than the shaft it fell down.
Disclaimer, not a geologist.
Also if you expose the weight to open air and wind the whole system would be much trickier than using an enclosed shaft.
[0] http://facstaff.gpc.edu/~pgore/geology/geo101/interior.htm
You seem to have accidentally assumed that the weight will stretch the full height of the hole. Obviously this would leave it unable to move vertically.
I don't think this is the case. We dig vertical holes all the time for wells, geothermal, and pilings for buildings: http://www.bdonline.co.uk/Pictures/web/r/r/g/CCTV_17_foundat...
Look at all of them! For one building!
1. Digging mine shafts is dramatically cheaper than structal tunnels. They dig exploratory shafts frequently to roughly these depths for well under $1m
2. Using a disused mineshaft would have a negative cost associated with it because the security associated with keeping it safe is non zero.
For one type [0], the safe limit is a tensile load of about 134-150 MN/m^2 (= MPa) [1]. At a density of 8 g/cm^3, the limiting length of a uniform cable is ~1.7 - 1.9 kilometers. If you have a stationary, suspended cable of this length, its own weight puts it at its maximum load; it can't lift anything else.
Steel rope on McMaster is around $10,000/ton [of rope]. So, these assumptions are a dead end.
You can't solve this by using shorter cables, because that decreases your energy capacity at the same rate. If you use cables of 1/10th the length (~100 m), you get only 1/10th the potential energy storage per ton. The cable thickness per lifted ton is constant.
[0] http://www.engineeringtoolbox.com/wire-rope-strength-d_1518....
[1] The breaking limit of rope is far higher (~700 MPa), and the breaking limit of a single wire strand -- the tensile strength -- is higher still (1,770 MPa according to [2])
For the cross section area, I'm assuming a circular rope (not accurate).
[2] http://www.gabaswire.com/en/overview/grades-of-wire-rope.htm...
This is a simple "figure of merit" for cable in this problem,
cost / (length * load capacity (N))
The is the same as the cost / energy stored. The denominator is simply the work equation (distance * force) -- the mechanical work the cable can do before it runs out of length. = cost / energy
This is actually sort-of constant, since the denominator is ~proportional to the cable volume. (The load capacity is ~ the cross sectional area d^2).For steel rope from [0], it looks like a lower bound of about $1,200/kWh.
[0] http://www.mcmaster.com/#standard-wire-rope/=upui3o
(E.g. item "3440T68", 5/8" plain steel, $5.16/foot for 9,080 lbf lifting capacity;
$5.16 / (9,080 lbf * 1 foot) = $1,509/kWh)
http://www.solarserver.com/solar-magazine/solar-energy-syste...
That's why companies like Ambri are looking at using other materials in the batteries they're developing for grid energy storage.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Abundance_of_elements_in_Earth%...
Lithium: 33
Lead: 37
Antimony: 62If Ambri's technology does pan out, it will be due to a cheaper manufacturing process, not because they're avoiding lithium.
Ambri is interesting from a lifecycle and cost perspective but I don't think a lithium shortage is going to have any real impact on prices.
As oil & gas have shown, if there's exponential demand for a naturally occurring element, we'll definitely find ways to pull more of it out of the ground.
The known reserves are 13 million tonnes. However lithium is the 25th most abundant element and you get 20mg of it for every kg of crust, so there is a lot more to find.
If we run out of lithium we'll figure something else out, just like we would for any other resource.
-- I guess there's no need to speculate when you have Google: https://www.google.com/search?q=where%20does%20helium%20come...
Whatever local (i.e. small scale) energy storage we have in the future you can probably bet (from first principles) with 99% certainty it will be based on the electromagnetic force. Gravity is too weak to be practical for smaller scale storage and cannot give mobile storage units since you have to deal with huge weights. For large scale see the "pumped storage" system already mentioned in this thread. Just for illustration, the "Taum Sauk Hydroelectric Power Station" can produce 175MW of continuous power. If you dropped the 18T weight in the 1km shaft you'd get about 13MW averaged over the 14s fall. Then you have to lift it up again if there are still enough pieces left.
Even if you found a way to store energy in nuclear interactions (i.e. "charge a nuclear battery") you don't want to have a bunch of containers full of radioactive material all over the place. If one thought it through, I wouldn't be surprised if there are in-principle issues for the charging part similar to the ones with gravity.
Since we don't know of any others, this leaves only the electromagnetic force to store energy with sufficient mass (or volume) density in practical ways. Whatever it ends up being (chemical batteries, supercapacitors or something else) the future local energy storage unit will separate and hold charges apart.
This is not unachievable with some lifting systems currently exceeding this lifting weight.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pumped-storage_hydroelectricity
At least if this contraption breaks, there's nothing important below it.
Every night the lights dim for a bit when the grid starts being used to pump water back up.
You can have a much much heavier weight.
I did a little more research, and I'm not sure anymore that it's a complete deal-breaker. But it's definitely going to put limits on how far this can scale.
The idea is to cut a 1km diameter cylinder into the ground (solid rock), and then lift it up up to 500m by pumping water underneath it. The power stored can power a country for a day.
I am somewhat sceptical, but this guy is totally serious about it.
I guess the main problem is to keep the water confined (200bar of pressure) while keeping the mass movable. Maybe someday they build a small testing facility, so we know for sure.
The principle however of storing energy by raising a weight could also be used anywhere with a steep enough hill/cliff/montain and the weight could in theory be on a rail not just suspended.
Efficiency would potentially not be on par, however linked into solar/wind systems this is less about efficiency and more about creating a 1MW long term battery with a lifetime of 50+ years.
Guessing cost of digging and maintaining a hole compared to installing a guide rail is significantly higher.
So you're saying you get a free well as part of the deal?
Numbers not looking reasonable for this concept.
If you delivered power when it was most expensive (ie high demand) and consumed it in the middle of the night, the arbitrage may work out.
It is effectively 100% renewable, 100% distributable, using 100% commodities (ie: rocks in a hole).
As a thought experiment: if on average you can meet 110%+ daily power expenditure captured from renewables (solar, wind, whatever), and store it by lifting up these weights, then you've broken into the "free energy" loop.
More specifically, don't look at the power input or storage, look at the power output / usage. If your input + storage capacity is greater than your output rate then energy effectively becomes "free forever".
Simulate it on a small scale. Get a pinwheel to run a small motor that winds something up. Attach a small LED to it that you only run occasionally. Basically, just so long as you have a really small output draw compared to your input rate and storage capacity, this "battery" will give you energy when you want it with minimal maintenance costs and minimal consumables.
The figure of merit for Li-ion is 250x1000=2.5e5. My estimate (and those of others) is that this costs up to about $2000/KWh. So the figure of merit for this is 1000x18000=0.9e7. Two orders of magnitude better than Li-ion.
Edit: I am ignoring the cost of capital, interest rates etc. Somebody should do this analysis.
Model visible here - http://imgur.com/KmQPb8P
Finance uses something called 'equivalent annual cash flows' (EACFs) to compare projects of different lifespans. Using EACFs makes this analysis very simple.
Using abdullahkhalids' figures and assuming a single cycle per day, the equivalent annual cash flows per KWh are equal when the cost of capital is about 4.35%.
Something magical happens when you assume can get more than one cycle per day. At two cycles per day, your funding costs could be 10% and the project still feasible! At four cycles per day and with a 5% cost of capital, Li-ion costs almost four times as much as the proposed project.
Could someone shine some light on how many cycles per day is realistic for both Li-ion & the proposal?
PS if you find this sort of analysis interesting and want to hit me up to talk about such things, feel free to send me an email (available in my profile).
Edit:
here it is. https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6739349
That said, they can already get more weight by making the weight taller, so density likely isn't a huge benefit. Whatever's the cheapest cost/kg (and without the other issues of Uranium) would probably be best.
Any sane plan would be to have more than one weight. When the first weight hits the bottom, it would release from the cable and another weight up top would grab the cable and start dropping. To store energy, the top weight would get winched up, and when it hit the top it would lock into place somehow and the next weight at the bottom of the shaft would engage the lifting cable, etc. The cable would have to follow a circular track, rather than having 1KM of cable for each weight.
You shouldn't be so confident that you know the only "sane" way to design such a thing. It's not a field anyone has experience in. These are only guesses.
At the top of the shaft there would be hefty prongs that retract when the weight needs to start dropping, and when the weight returns during a recharge cycle, the prongs reinsert themselves in to the shaft when the weight is lifted back into position.
Most likely each weight would have a "C" cross section with a nearly closed mouth -- just a slot from the edge of the weight to the larger central opening so that the weight can be removed/replaced from the cable if needed.
Edit: just noticed the comment about 500,000 kg -> 1.2MWh. Read that as MJ at first... d'oh.
Interesting to scroll down and see suits at this site.
By contrast anything that qualifies as a "heat engine" (including internal combustion) is limited by Carnot's law to be low-efficiency. If it weren't for the extraordinary energy density of combustible fuels they wouldn't be competitive.
It's exactly what it sounds like: a motor that is mechanically coupled to a generator. The motor runs on 60 Hz AC and turns the generator at the correct speed to produce 25 Hz AC.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pumped-storage_hydroelectricit...
I mean, since E = mgh, you can get the same energy storage capacity with a less deep hole if you use a heavier weight. And you can get a heavier weight either by using more expensive material (why use a cheap one? it's not like it's going to wear or anything), or a larger hole.
I'm not sure what determines the cost of digging a whole, but I suspect depth matters more than area.
Also, does the shaft has to be vertical? You could dig it with a sharp slope, and put your weight on rails. That would make the shaft longer for the same depth, but it would probably be easier to build and maintain.
You should be able to get millions of rotations from a single centimetre hole, given that the mass is large enough and you have a good gear ratio..
Nevertheless, the density of Lead is 11.35 g/cm3 (the density of water is 1 g/cm3). The densest element in this table is Osmium with 22.6. So replacing if you replace a Lead weight with a more expensive weight you only gain x2.
I wish gold wasn't so rare! Its such an amazing material, and our economy is not based on precious materials anymore (except the commodity markets or course), so it seems like a really sad thing that we can't have more abundant gold just yet
Try it yourself: http://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hbase/gpot.html
Note that 1 joule = 2.77777778 × 10-7 kilowatt hours
Now, the next obvious consideration is using mountains instead of a pit. The rockies are full of 4000M peaks. But a mountain means suddenly we have so many new considerations - mountains aren't exactly a constant slope from peak to foot. But extreme loads on rails are a solved problem - the world's heaviest single fully-loaded rail-car was about a kilotonne (a special schnabel car carrying a reactor up to the Alberta tar-sands).
Of course, then you've got a new construction problem - building a train-track that's a near-straight-line up a mountain and can support incredibly heavy trucks.
It's probably not workable because of the energy-density concerns, but it sure is neat.
Imagine an elevator going kilometers into the oceans dept. A huge tank is mounted on the top of it. It gets filled in with pressurized air. Because its heavy it sinks to the bottom. Then an air is released. Air travels into the surface but on its way it is actually captured into a little traps. When enough air is trapped, the entire structure built from hundreds of traps is lifted into the surface, together with the tank. of course during this trip, it triggers friction and the dynamo mounted on the surface translates this movement into electricity.
Once on the surface, the tank is filled in with air, and the process starts all over.
With long enough elevator in deep enough ocean, the electricity produced thanks to the travelling elevator would be greater than electricity used to put air into the tank.
If you ignore the rules of gravity and that trapped air travels to the surface of a water, this could be a perpetuate mobile.
What's wrong with my idea?
As a result, the deeper you go, the more air you will need to pump into your tank.
Or in other words: with a given amount of air inside your tank, there's a maximum depth you can go. If you go deeper, the air bubbles will no longer lift the tank.
But:
The released air would go up, regardless how pressured it is. While going up it would decompress taking up more space and therefore having greater force to push the tank up (as I mentioned, released air would be capture in a construction similar to a tree with leaves. Imagine leaves upside-down capturing the air.
I'm sure you can find different type of mix that would be less-compressible and overal better for this experiment.
It's the basic law of conservation of energy. You need to provide the energy required to lift the tank by compressing the air. The energy required to lift the tank is mgh (mass of tank, gravitational constant, height to lift the tank). The energy stored inside the tank is proportional to p*V (pressure times volume). You can't lift the tank further than the amount of energy you have available, so you can never have a surplus of energy.
E = 10 x V KWh
This means that with 10 cube meters of concrete you can store 100 KWh (more or less the energy consumed by 10 households per day). If what they claim about doubling the energy storage is true, with the same amount of concrete you can store 200 KWh. 10 cube meters of concrete would weight just 24 tons, not so much after all.
Assuming a hole 1600m deep, and a system of cables capable of handling 250 tons (100 cube meters of concrete), you can store up to 2000 KWh (so you can serve 200 households for a day).
I don't know the price of drilling a hole 1600 meters deep, but with these premises, if the price is in the range of 1-5 millions $, a medium neighborhood can afford the operation.
Well well well, I must buy a well.
Also, imagine if we have a base on the moon powered by solar cells: having the technology to drill quickly and cheaply would be indispensable in storing energy captured during lunar "days". Although I imagine you would need deeper holes because of the smaller g.
If the hole could be used for some sort of heatpump too then maybe that would weigh off [no pun intended!] some of the problems.
If you can build one of these cheaply, and the running costs are trivial, then it's worth doing.
How many of them would you need to smooth out the energy of a wind farm, for instance?
> The key requirement is a deep hole in the ground; it could be a disused mineshaft brought back into use, or it could be a purpose drilled or sunk shaft.
So, apparently, "sinking" a shaft involves making a hole using some technique other than drilling. What technique is that?
Dictionaries are no help. Wikipedia[1] says:
> Shafts may be sunk by conventional drill and blast or mechanised means.
"Mechanized means" is pretty vague. Can anyone clarify?
I mean, technically I can get a super cap the size of jam jar to kick out 1 kw, just not for very long.
A watt is a unit of how much energy is expended in a second, not how much energy is stored. There is a reason why hydrostations in wales use lakes to store energy, because you need a lot of mass at great height to be of any use.
$ units
Currency exchange rates from 2013-07-11
2562 units, 85 prefixes, 66 nonlinear units
You have: 1000 kg gravity 1 km
You want: J
* 9806650
/ 1.0197162e-07Sure, the pressure-aspect would be away, but besides that...
In fact, right now the Tesla factory has 4GWh of lithium ion batteries installed for smoothing energy demands and they are actively building 400kWh storage units:
http://www.greentechmedia.com/content/images/articles/straub...
I'm sure that the end game idea in his mind is using the 85kWh+ batteries of Teslas everywhere for distributed energy storage.
Can one use potential energy to, well, store energy? Duh. This, however, is the wrong way to do it.
Intelligent people on HN are pointing out huge holes with this idea but some people are still defending their Nigerian princes, because... they want it to be true?
The warning signs here are huge. It's an incredibly simple idea, if it was possible it'd be already done. Nothing here really seems to rely on scale either.