Artificial Intelligence, Really, Is Pseudo-Intelligence
npr.org
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For most of people, the intuition of intelligence is a bit naive, and nowadays intuition is often at the opposite of the truth. It often is along the line of "looking intelligent and knowing what it is doing”. Something like turing test describes the first part intuitively. But we soon found out that we wouldn’t call something “intelligent” even it passes turing test since the machine is unlikely to know why it is saying something, hence the latter part. But again, this is about consciousness or “strong AI”, which is even further away from our understanding than “intelligence”. How do we know that the machines that “look intelligent” don’t “know what they are doing”? Consciousness is very hard to define and even harder to inspect, and maybe someday machines begin to have consciousness even before we realize it? In fact, we already did this to most animals, thinking they are not intelligent or self-conscious while they are.
But to me, the psychology behind these definitions is very interesting and maybe quite important. No matter how we try to define intelligence, we wouldn’t call machines intelligent until they very much behave like us. Because to most people, intelligence is what defines humans, so they intuitively use their feelings of “does that feel human” to benchmark intelligence. And psychologically, we are exceptionally good at telling something “not human” from “feeling/looking/speaking like human”. But this is a very narrow and, if I dare to say, ignorant and self-centric view, because it implicitly relies on the thinking of “we are far more intelligent than any other life form, and human's intelligence is the only way intelligence can be work”.
Think about it, if there’s a super-intelligent being that observes our world, maybe to it, human’s intelligence is as primitive as fish, and trees aren’t far behind; and maybe, entities such like countries or the internet are actually of more intelligent “life” forms, just we haven’t realized that yet because they don’t look like us at all; and maybe, on the scale of intelligence from 0 to that super-intelligent, humans, birds and machines are clustered in a small range, though significantly larger than zero, still not far from it.
Although the research on human brains and a lot of our own stuff inspired the research of AI quite a lot, it is perfectly possible that we create something truly intelligent or conscious without us understanding human intelligence or consciousness fully. We can have a different kind of “intelligence”, and our researches are well on their way toward that. It’s very hard to see because we don’t understand intelligence, and maybe our hardware isn’t powerful enough to fully utilize our theories.
I would rephrase that last bit as "human intelligence is the only way intelligence has been proven to work." We just don't and can't know which bits of human intelligence are necessary and which are arbitrary. For example, an emotional framework, the aspect of having drives and "desires" that lead to "illogical" and "irrational" behavior and interactions with others - is that required or not? How can we begin to reason about a non-human-centric concept of intelligence? Given how little we understand, I think that is too tall a task at this point.
and maybe, entities such like countries or the internet are actually of more intelligent “life” forms, just we haven’t realized that yet because they don’t look like us at all
I do believe that the collective aspect of intelligence has been wrongly ignored in AI. We try to build these monolithic beasts that take in mounds of information and try to make sense of it all themselves. But (yes, relying again upon the only known implementation) a single human on its own will never achieve the modern sense of intelligent behavior. It needs a society of humans, the benefit of a shared amorphous corpus of understanding that exists outside of any individual. And it requires many independent individuals with their own perspectives and ideas to probe and extend the boundaries of that understanding.
What Alva Noë is hinting at is the flaw with weak or pseudo-intelligence, as Alva calls it. As impressive as deep blue is with chess, or Watson with Jeopardy, they fail the "goals across a wide range of environments" test. This is clear with deep blue, and Watson once you realize it's just a glorified search engine.
I often hear people claim Watson learns because it improves based on the answer in the category. While it does use previous answers to tweak the final ranking algorithm. All of this is lost once the category is finished. To really "teach" Watson, you need to add more data to its index and re-index offline.
We have a workable definition of intelligence. What we're missing is a fundamental primitive unit of strong AI. Until this is found, AI will always remain just a bag of tricks, only capable of solving problems its programmers planner for.
And, equivalently but perhaps more philosophically evocative, how does one know that other humans "know what they are doing"?
I wrote a post on this awhile ago: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1wlFJtuBgnVkWm1nflKtJAy3b...
Examples of retrogressive complexity among natural systems include the many birds and insects which evolve toward flightless variants in island habitats. Flying is a useful, but complex, and very high-energy adaptation. Where it provides a capability to out-compete other life forms (better range, escape from predators, more food-gathering capability) it's useful, but given risks presented (including being blown off an island in a storm, say), it can also be maladaptive.
But we haven't been able to. And I don't imply that we will never be able to, at least hopefully copy or even enhance some of the interesting aspects. I find AI very exciting. But I would stop calling something we don't even understand "simple and generated from hit and trial".
Watson can do medical diagnosis better than most humans.
We understand some parts of intelligence quite well, and others less so.
But as you have noted, we have been able to pin down some of the more methodical parts. I was mainly focusing on the fact that what the brain does is still amazing, and if we were to list all the different forms of intelligence it exhibits, we probably have a very long way to go. In no way is it simple and neither do we understand how it can do cognition, connect semantic concepts and reason about them so well as it does. Topics such as creativity, intuition, thinking, feeling that we witness human subjects exhibit are still fringe topics with much debate. So the original assertion that the brain is unnecessarily complex in its design and was simply a process of trial and error may be unfounded, until we can demonstrate better or even point to/simulate/emulate some mechanism that would give rise to a human's intelligence by hit and trial.
I would argue that we already have intelligent machines. What we don't have is a human simulator.
One kinda sorta passed it earlier this year, by pretending to be a 13 yo boy. It was at the annual Turing Test event though[1].
Even if we ignore that, given the recent interest in using RNNs to generate natural language I'd say we are 18 months from being able to pass it reliably.
[1]http://www.reading.ac.uk/news-and-events/releases/PR583836.a...
1) have passed the turing test, then, indeed, we make the turing test more difficult.
(I would argue that if you give an accurate definition of a Turing test, namely "convince, on occasion, a human that you're human", that Eliza passed it in the 1960s)
2) several industries depend on their programs passing some sort of turing test every single day (ie. outsmarting humans directly, or outsmarting "are you a human" tests, automated or no). Examples : HFT (and HFT-like industries, like loan appraisal, credit validation, insurance brokering, ...), Spamming, police chatbots ("Lolita", a US version and "Sweetie", a British equivalent), Anti-spam, anti-HFT companies (who, for example, execute share buybacks for large companies), important parts of police work, ...
3) Some things are so AI-driven that nobody in their right mind still does it manually, or at least it is globally agreed that doing things manually results in a large competitive disadvantage (e.g. shipping).
4) There are places where the replacement of humans with AI has enabled new modes of operation that can not exist without AI. UAV's being the big obvious example, but I would argue there's a better one. AI has enabled bigger ships. Most of the 50000 ton + container ships have a turn radius of 50+ kilometers. If you don't have clear vision 20 kilometers out, you cannot control these ships safely (just look for the yearly demonstration disaster of that fact in the Channel between Britain and France/Belgium). Then we started building 650000 ton ships. When it comes to planes, it's not just UAVs that cannot be controlled by humans, but several kinds of fundamentally unstable planes have started flying, the big example being flying wing aircraft. But there's plenty of others : UAVs, dynamic wing aircraft (like a bird or insect would be a good description), aircraft too light to have a human control them, ...
Let's be fair here : this war was lost, a few years ago. Nobody seems interested in giving an AI a datacenter's worth of resources just to have it figure out how to benefit itself/improve itself. If someone did this, for a few years an algorithm could learn to quite literally be a human.
The original point discussed above was about how unnecessarily complex the brain is if its function/intelligence is so simple. We may or may not want to treat it as a benchmark, but the fact remains nobody understands it or can mimic its function even after trying for a very long time. (though believe me you, that's what most of AI is trying to do, even if in a simplistic way)
We can tell when our simulations behaviour doesn't match the goal. But when it does, then what?
You seem to imply there is some (actual, literal) magic we are missing.
When we build bad simulations, then we can distinguishable them fine. Then we understand more, and do better, and then they become indistinguishable.
The simulations aren't going to get any better than what 'we' understand.
That's not entirely true. We simulate vision systems using RNNs, and we don't entirely understand how they learn.
( https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=r2OBznK6HkI )
Yes, it evolves. Well, in theory : running time is nowhere near what would be necessary at the moment.
Note that non-evolving versions would be extremely valuable as well. Evolution happens, but individuals don't. So if you want, say, medical advances, evolution is probably one of the first things you'd throw out.
But if you are generally looking for artificial intelligence that evolves, there's tons and tons of examples. The problem here is that people aren't usually all that comfortable with real running evolution during "production".
People want standard, reliable solutions that perform every time. The way this is done is to "freeze" the algorithm's evolution before actually using it (or even, as Geoffrey Hinton pointed out, first train an algorithm on the actual problem, then train a second algorithm to simply exactly imitate the first's behavior, which has much better results. Or even train a second one using a non-evolving algorithm like decision trees, which I'm told is often done in finance).
Is something that behaves like a human really intelligent? Google Search answers a lot of questions almost like a smart well educated person. Is it an intelligent entity? A computer plays chess better than humans. Is it intelligent?
In this case I think the author wants the entity to behave like biological organisms to be considered intelligent. This includes autonomy and self-replication. I can see that. This sort of points to robotics as the field that will produce these entities. Or maybe computer viruses...?
This is also a classic debate between behaviorists and those like Chomsky who want to understand the underlying processes of human cognition and intelligence. I can see both sides and maybe I like Chomsky's more idealistic view a bit better...
Here are a few easy to read articles that talk about this:
http://www.theatlantic.com/technology/archive/2012/11/noam-c...
http://www.tor.com/blogs/2011/06/norvig-vs-chomsky-and-the-f...
Another interesting one (a bit longer) in the same vein by David Deutsch (yes that Deutsch, the "multiple Universes physics guy")
http://aeon.co/magazine/technology/david-deutsch-artificial-...
When an amoeba encounters a chemical that attracts it, the chemoattractant binds to receptors on the amoeba's surface. The receptor then activates a protein called a G-protein, which activates a protein called PLC. The PLC modifies other molecules to create short-lived messengers that will activate other pathways necessary for movement by the cell.
The story is pretty similar for any other behaviour they exhibit, its just a simple chain of chemical reactions triggered by an impulse from an environment. In contrast to many more complicated organisms where we hypothetically know the same to be the case (like humans?), in unicellular organisms we actually traced many of such pathways.
People very emotionally cling to their beliefs about intelligence, and this blinds them to simple logic. This is the same thing at operation that caused the backslash against evolution theory. In the end I don't see why such determinism would sadden anyone, our everyday experience is what it is and its nature is not changed by learning that we react, in the end, somewhat automatically.
[1] http://www.ehow.com/info_8517923_ways-amoeba-sees-responds.h...
The author seems to use "intelligence" and "autonomy" interchangeably, which is troubling, mostly because he makes no attempt at actually defining either. His claim that amoebas and plants "exhibit an intelligence, an autonomy, an originality, that far outstrips even the most powerful computers" is ludicrous under any remotely plausible definitions of the terms. If humans genetically engineer an amoeba or a plant to change its behavior, is the magical "autonomy" suddenly gone?
Also, his argument is ridiculous even as semantic arguments go, since "artificial" isn't supposed to mean "synthetic." The standard dictionary definitions are "made by humans" and "false or pretending."
As a general principle, if someone claims X is not AI, then they need to define a test they will accept as a true test of AI.
"The agency and awareness of an amoeba" is achievable now[1].
[1] http://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/weve-put-worms-mind...
Maybe one day we'll implement some Adam and Eve robots with an initial hard-coded survival DNA, that the robots will abide by and transmit to their children robots. Then those children robots will evolve and one day think of building thinking machines (maybe out of some organic material) to work for them and will think of faking some survival code (maybe using some sort of protein?) in them to create pseudo-agency... ;)
I think true AI will be a highly-parallel learning machine, possibly modeled off of something like the human brain. But I do not think that we need to fully understand the human brain to create an AI smarter than us.
I think one of the big challenges may be in providing the proper sensors / inputs to this learning device.
I think once we have a true AI, we won't really understand how it works, just as we can train a neural network but can't look at the network itself and make much sense from its parts.
I think it's possible that the road to the singularity may be gradual, and we might not even realize when it happens.
Edit: Today's xkcd is somewhat relevant: http://xkcd.com/1450/
But it is a lot of fun to speculate about.
As someone who does work in this field, we're not that far away from a fully atomistic simulation of a single cell (with a couple assumptions about reactive force fields, quantum cut-off, numerical stability, time scales, yada yada...)