Scientists have located an algal virus that attacks human DNA
newsweek.com
newsweek.com
[1] Original paper -- http://www.pnas.org/content/111/45/16106.abstract
Nowhere, so far that I have read, have the scientists used the word "stupidity" as has the originally linked Newsweek article.
It was completely unnecessary for Newsweek to dumb down the research this way. Firstly cognitive impairment is not the same as general understanding of "stupidity" - a pejorative. Many things account for what we would usually term stupid behaviour. Personality, stress, hormonal balance are good examples. Then again, cognitive impairment includes a myriad of brain function impairments including memory loss ... forgetting something is hardly considered "stupid".
The research is important, but the careless use of words by Newsweek doesn't do justice.
P.S. Halcyon has shut down 2 years ago [1].
[1] https://gigaom.com/2012/08/19/halcyon-molecular-quietly-shut...
[1] http://systems.illumina.com/systems/hiseq-x-sequencing-syste...
Intellectual performance follows a gaussian distribution. If you take two random samples, one of 40 people, and one of 52 people, and you average the IQs in each sample, the probability that you will find a deviation 10% or greater one way to another is over 50%... in this particular case, to compute the probability of the null hypothesis precisely we would need the exact result distribution on the tests they used, but in any case, take these results with a pinch of salt.
You would be correct if we were talking about a standard normal distribution with mean 0 and standard deviation 1. Very different.
In the case of mean 100 and standard deviation ~15 or so, the probability of two samples being at least 10% different is very small like under 1%.
"The team carried out further tests, in which they injected uninfected and infected green algae into the mouths of mice and put them through a series of lab tests. The results revealed that infected animals took 10% longer to find their way out of mazes and spent 20% less time exploring new objects than uninfected mice."
Which is the much stronger experimental manipulation.
http://www.pnas.org/content/111/45/16106.abstract
So it seems like they have opened up multiple avenues of scientific inquiry - this strikes me as a much stronger result than presented in the Newsweek article. Assuming for the sake of argument that their speculation is correct, it's a rather frightening thought that some ~40% of the population could be suffering a significant virally-induced cognitive impairment. Also, I wonder if elimination of this virus could result in an improvement in cognitive and immune function.
The economic and public health implications of this research are potentially quite significant.
So a 10 point deviation between groups is 5 sd's, p <.001 ?
def test():
... n1 = numpy.average(numpy.random.normal(100,15,52))
... n2 = numpy.average(numpy.random.normal(100,15,40))
... return abs(n1-n2) / ((n1+n2)/2.0)
...
>>> vals = [test() for i in xrange(0,1000)]
>>> numOver10 = len([v for v in vals if v > .1])
>>> numOver10
2
Ah, I see. Standard IQ normalizations.
P.S. I would take four standard deviations up or down (the IQ range of 40 to 160) as the outer limit of validated IQ scores, and indeed few modern IQ test batteries purport to report scores outside this range. See
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IQ_classification
and the published reference books cited there for more background.
P.P.S. I should have mentioned when I first posted this comment that any IQ test has a standard error of measurement even if it is faultlessly administered and scored. Sometimes small-n studies like the study reported here have IQ score differences between two groups that are simply the result of the test errors showing a difference where no actual difference exists. IQ tests are often also very frequently administered incorrectly or scored incorrectly even if correctly administered, magnifying the size of the error band around the obtained score. For this study, I'm not sure if the human subjects tested were tested by test-givers who were "blind" to what group the test-takers were in, which could also be an issue.
Correct me if I'm wrong but I thought the Cattell tests were obviously scored in the Cattell scale (24 s.d.) and the Stanford-Binet tests in the Binet scale (16 s.d.).
When I was into reading about psychometrics it seemed to me that the cut off percentile was a more straightforward way to talk about IQ than using either of those three scales (Wechsler, Binet, Cattell).
doi:10.1016/j.bbi.2008.04.156
They have 92 observations. I don't think they have enough data to control for these sufficiently.
Also it might be the case that the infection vector is something relatively new to us, something not present in the ancestral environment, like the tap water idea of ChuckMcM - https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=8608780.
(Or at least things that have been hot on HN lately, e.g. Toxoplasmosis)