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Comment by _gfrc | Hacker News Reader

Absolutely. Combine this with "The site said investors had averaged net gains of 1 percent each trading day during the past five years" and you have a giant stop sign.

I am always surprised when I read stories like this. They've lost 2000 pounds and the next thing they do is invest 60.000$?

This is a good example why we need more financial education in school.

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I'm not sure what financial education would do here. The people in the article, some of whom were medical doctors, surely knew how percentages work, how probabilities work. What else exactly did they need to be taught, in school, university, and medical school? I'd say they needed more (at least some) common sense.

Sometimes common sense has to be taught. Of course they do know how percentages, probabilities and so on work. But they fail to do so when it comes to money. I actually doubt that this is (in most cases) due to greed. Many people just don't have a feeling for the relation between risk and promised reward.

Not sure, I think it is greed related. People assume that money creates more money just like that. One person in the article didn't trust banks post crisis. I guess people do assume that the financial services business makes vast amounts of money out of money, rather than largely just taking proportions of said money away.

surely knew how percentages work

Not even close. A 1% daily return is science-fiction.

> Not even close. A 1% daily return is science-fiction.

Not really. In 1990, the most common kind of "savings account" used here (caderneta de poupança) had one month with over 80% returns. That's a bit more than 1% daily return, for an investment almost everyone could (and did) have.

Of course, that year the inflation was over 1000%/year...

For every rule there is an exception. Grandparent could be restated as a 'return that is more than a certain percentage over inflation' and it would hold water against your exception.

Cue the next exception and so on. The point is that such high returns are a huge red flags and absent any explanation for them you should be extremely wary and probably just assume that it is a scam until you've proven otherwise.

Actually, a lot of medical doctors and "professionals" do not really know how probabilities work. For more on this, refer to Gerd Gigerenzer's Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions. http://www.barnesandnoble.com/w/risk-savvy-gerd-gigerenzer/1...

His "reckoning with risk" is an excellent book. As an example: http://imgur.com/zO4zkl4

Edit: and a review http://plus.maths.org/content/reckoning-risk

Doctors are known for being terrible with money. There are a bunch of investment services especially catered to doctors to help them invest their money. Of course, these are generally rip offs compared to paying $100 a year for a fee based investment plan. But they are better than nothing.

It's not a question of education. I've seen very intelligent people fall for these scams. It's a question of greed. Once your eyes light up with dollar signs, there's no convincing you that it's a bad idea.

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