Beyond Ajax: Software Development, Two Years from Now
cio.com
cio.com
Besides, since when Laslo, Sun and CodeGear became experts on where technology is moving? Everyone on their list, with a notable exception of Adobe, has NO solid reputation for being an expert in future software trends. Just don't mention Java please - it did not become what Sun wanted it to be.
Without someone from Google or Microsoft, true software technology trend setters of the past couple of decades, that interview has little value.
Of course the article has a tilt towards the interests of CIOs and IT managers -- it's on CIO.com. But I'm surprised that you don't recognize that's less about "does this individual really have the ability to predict the future" than "these are the guys building the most commonly used development tools." If a dev tool makes it easy for most developers to do something simply without the need for deep domain knowledge (i.e. follow a wizard), then by golly that'll be something that's commonly done. If the people who control the next round of dev tools think something is unnecessary, it will be left for programmers to do manually, "the hard way."