Marc is extreme smart and talented individual. But when your on Twitter 24/7 and keep on making predictions your gonna be wrong at times. Sometimes you can be wrong in a really big way.
By 'write-only visionary', I mean someone who no longer has a working feedback loop telling them they're sometimes wrong.
well put. kudos. i hope you don't mind as I'm sure I'll repeat this in the future.
But I would still consider him a smart guy just not a clairvoyant.
Business wise of course he doesn't have to be right all the time obviously only right enough to have some big scores. Besides people rarely do follow ups detailing the missed predictions and even if they did they would mention the successes that made up for the failures and how that's kind of the VC model.