Lecture 6: How to Start a Startup
startupclass.samaltman.com
startupclass.samaltman.com
I wrote a book on growth hacking and now often get requests (sometimes casual, sometimes formal) on how a startup can "growth hack" or accelerate their growth. Then when I ask about the basics like target market, retention metrics, customer feedback etc - I get a bunch of blank stares.
It's no good driving more traffic or "virality" when people aren't interested in your startup in the first place. I'd say in 9 out of 10 cases, there's still a ton of PM fit work to be done by startups who think they are in the "growth hacking" stage.
The problem is, I'd say most first-time entrepreneurs just think the only obstacle they need to overcome is getting more people seeing their website, or downloading their app. It's hard to accept that your startup is not ready for growth because it's not providing any clear value yet.
There were those guys talking about lean startup, measure everything and stuff; but when come to this crutial question they were all "well, you will know when you have PM fit" or an arbitrary question with an arbitrary answer "ask your clients how disappointed they would be if your startup would shut down now; if 60% answer very disappointed, you have PM fit".
So, similar key takeaway for me: "It is easy to be wrong about having Porduct/Market fit. Make sure your retention flat lines at the appropriate level."
For example, if someone in telecom industry creates a product that can only be sold to operators. The time it takes to convert an engagement can be upwards of 6 months. In such cases, what would be a good growth metric with which to measure your progress?
Now, we can chose not to call such companies startups but that doesn't solve the problem.
I am sure there are many knowledgeable people on this thread who can provide some insights here. Any pointers to read will also help.
Also by 'backlog', I assume you meant product backlog (e.g. features remaining) or something in the sales funnel?
While tracking the sales funnel is great to use as an indicator of progress, it is not great as a decision-making heuristic internally (e.g. for product features) as pg mentions in his essay 'Startup=Growth'. I suppose product backlog is a good metric for such cases.
Tldr; use sales funnel to track business side and feature backlog internally.
Because of the faster feedback cycles, the web/mobile app world can use the same metric to track internal and external progress.
- at first, you can barely get first meetings with any potential customers. You track how many companies even agreed to meet with you once.
- a few months in, you get your hopes up (incorrectly - usually). A few companies you met are talking about doing an evaluation of your product.
- another few months go by, just one of all your contacts moved to do an evaluation, but then they postponed their purchasing decision to the next fiscal year.
- still no revenue, but now you have a funnel: x prospects in first meeting, y prospects in second meeting, z prospects in eval, 0 prospects have bought. Keep tracking those numbers and the trend will be clear.
And much like the other lectures, here are 24 quotes from Alex's lecture worth remembering: https://medium.com/how-to-start-a-startup/24-quotes-from-ale...
For emerging product-market fit companies, your power users are your lifeblood. Cultivation super-users early is the make or break for seed companies. These super users are testers, referrals, product-definers, everything. 50M+ user problems are just so limited.
In any case, great talk, but definitely targets growth marketers more than start-up folks. Especially liked the idea of tying 'magic numbers' to logical reasoning, not done enough in the growth world.
Edit: Much better in the tactical section going through marketing tactics.
I've been thinking why the startup community has so few talks about product design. We have a lot of advice about tech stacks, growth hacking, rising funding, building a team, even some about customer research, but surprisingly little about design.
Yet, product design is one of the key activities to achieve product market fit: you can understand the problem, but if your product isn't easy enough to use, PM fit is hard to achieve.
For example, you can find a deep analysis of a different SaaS models, but it is surprisingly rare that someone does a deep analysis of e.g. Facebook's UI and writes a blog post about it.
There is some very smart, intuitive and perceptive people hanging out here; I wish there was an even better algorithm to make these stand out.
Noise is the curse of a community (such as HN, slashdot, reddit -- any social circle come to think of it) as it get more popular; everyone has a different view of what is hacking, startups and noise, as the community broadens the focus dissolves.
This series has drawn out very good reflexion, IMHO.
I remember Facebook growth days somewhat well. People logged in with their emails and passwords were asked to provide their email provider passwords (to be fair, somewhat deceivingly) to invite everyone in their addressbook to come to Facebook. And I remember quite well some people didn't event notice the difference between whether they were asked for a Facebook password or their email provider password, and didn't really understand what was asked by inviting their friends.