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Comment by JamesBarney | Hacker News Reader

I don't think investors agree with you. If you look at the yield curves for the 1 year to 5 year treasury bonds[0] over the last year they have stayed relatively stable. Which means the investors expectations of future interest rate have been relatively stable. I don't think this supports you're theory that the Fed will be raising interest rates any time soon.

[0] http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/in...

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The yield curve has been relatively stable at close to 0. Indeed (as I understand it) that's the entire point of quantitive easing: it artificially keeps interest rates on long term securities down to encourage that money to be lent and spent http://marketrealist.com/2014/03/fed-taper-quantitative-easi....

The short term rate is 0. The yield curve is the curve if you plot interest rates on the y axis, and length of treasury bond on the x axis. This creates a curve that tells you what investors think will happen to the interest rate over the next 3 months to 30 years.

Good info. Supports my theory that the plan is to kick the can down the road until it inevitably falls off a cliff.

I really don't have much grasp on the macro-econ stuff. Do you have an idea on what would such a cliff would be? Liquidity trap?

It think it would be a worse version of the 2008 crash. Many of the issues that led to that crash, instead of being fixed, were temporarily bandaged with accelerated borrowing and spending, like a credit card junkie who staves off the inevitable with ever more cards.

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