Why the Ukraine Crisis Is the West’s Fault
foreignaffairs.com
foreignaffairs.com
This article strikes me as unusually shallow - while I agree with the basic premise that Vladimir Putin finds western encroachment on Russia's borders intolerable, the author argues as if he had little choice other than to annex Crimea or to announce a referendum and then move it to an earlier date, twice. One might ask why Putin didn't go through the motions of presenting his complaints to an international body like the UNSC or levying sanctions, even if only as a fig leaf for his eventual strategy.
Lastly, I think it's quite reasonable to have some articles about this complex topic here on HN, even quite partisan ones. It's not just that it's generally newsworthy, but the strong possibility of international conflict casts a long shadow over topics that hackers care about, from network security to surveillance to path-dependent technology trends. If, as seems likely, we are headed for a new and protracted cold war, or worse, some sort of hot one, there will be major feedback effects in the sphere of technology - which is, after all, where the West's major comparative advantage lies.
Don't forget to flag clutter like this to keep HN on-track.
Blaming the US and Europe for "provoking" Russia's aggressive foreign policy is no better than blaming the US for "provoking" Bin Laden. It reeks of the worst kind of moral relativism that puts Putin's unmasked and shameless colonial ambitions on par with America's interests in protecting free trade and human rights abroad.
Like the article says, "Imagine the American outrage if China built an impressive military alliance and tried to include Canada and Mexico." To stretch the point, what if Canada held a referendum where its people voted to resign from NAFTA, join a Chinese free-trade block and offered land for Chinese bases? Do you think the US would stand by idly? Remember, we came awfully close to World War 3 when the Soviets put a few silly missiles in Cuba.
And even so, it's not the article's main focus. This is: "the United States and its European allies share most of the responsibility for the crisis."
Most of the responsibility? Really?
It would be one thing if he said "Putin's crossed the line, but the US and Europe could have played better politics to prevent this crisis." Then, maybe, he'd have a point.
But he's putting the responsibility of the invasion of a sovereign nation and the annexation of its territory with no regard for the self determination of its peoples on the shoulders of the US and Europe, which is just backwards. Mearsheimer can't make NATO responsible for Putin's thuggery, for the same reason that you can't make the twin towers responsible for 9/11.
I have to dismiss your analogy outright because clearly, Ukraine didn't get to vote to have itself invaded by Russia. If there was a whiff of credible evidence that Ukrainians en masse had a democratic desire to be a part of Putin's Russia, it would be a different story.
The entire thing may be a silly example of human squabble, but it was a squabble where the power to end it all, was held in the hands of a few men, not leaders of nations, but the military leaders in charge of the troops who's jobs were to handle, use and guard these weapons that could have wrought untold devastation...
Its worth remembering that 1 single man prevented the first hostile use of a nuclear weapon since WW2. Its quite likely most of us owe our lives to http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vasili_Arkhipov
Inevitably "the West's fault" in these sorts of articles should always be read as "the fault of Westerners with whom the author disagrees politically". When people blame "the west" it's always those other westerners buggering the west up for everybody, not those westerners of whom the author is one, who have the correct, enlightened political opinions.
IMHO the right approach for that -- ignoring and downvoting as non relevant.
Yes I'm Russian and I'm watching the situation [or situation watching me :) not sure]. And I'd like to keep this site political free as well.
I would offer the readers the essay he penned 21 years ago in 1993: http://johnmearsheimer.uchicago.edu/pdfs/A0020.pdf
There he goes at length to explain why Russia is very likely to try and re-conquer Ukraine. Interesting how he comes up with a whole different set of reasons for this eventuality today.