Sprint and T-Mobile Agree on Terms of $32B Deal
dealbook.nytimes.com
dealbook.nytimes.com
I am a current T-mobile customer and anti-Sprint. I think this is a good move.
This is more of a merger than a buyout.
[edit] As I said in another thread, my information for that is a few years old, so this may not be true anymore.
Given the sponsorships and the lack of coverage in certain markets, Sprint is the higher profile brand.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/05/29/us-softbank-tmobil...
"Deutsche Telekom may also be more accommodating with Softbank regarding a break-up fee than it was with AT&T, the sources said. That is because T-Mobile is likely to be the surviving brand and its CEO, John Legere, is likely to lead the new combined company, thus avoiding a loss of subscribers and momentum it had to contend with during the drawn out regulatory process with AT&T, two of the sources said."
Sprint is already sitting on tons of unused spectrum, and a larger subscriber base than T-Mobile. Nothing stops Sprint from fixing their own service. They just choose not to. And they choose to not fix their network, all across the nation in lots of areas.
My fear is that Sprint's lack of care and lack of effort, will bleed into T-Mobile's network, and we'll be down to just two functional service providers in the US.
I had a deeply discounted unlimited plan with Sprint (a couple family members worked there).
I left when T-Mobile offered a lower price for unlimited web + text. The only people I know who use voice use OTT services for it anyway. On top of that, T-Mob offered BYOD, letting me run pure Android, without all of Sprint's then unremovable NFL, NASCAR, and Facebook apps. It beat Sprint's employee discount plan for me, and easily.
My family members who work there were frustrated by the news. They mostly rationalized by bashing T-Mobile, claiming their prices were unsustainable, arguing it must be a risky, poorly run business.
I think those prices are only unsustainable when you have a major carrier's assumptions. Assumptions about acceptable levels of overhead and expected levels of profit.
I think Sprint did some really bold things in its history. It fought the good fight as MCI against an entrenched telecom monopoly, back when sentiment was against them, when legislators were literally talking up how wonderfully efficient the telecom monopoly was.* Today I feel like T-Mobile is more like the scrappy startup that benefits consumers primarily by running aggressively trim.
Unlike others posting here, I've never had any network issues with T-Mobile, and had routine congestion based or coverage based issues with Sprint. But that doesn't really matter. A larger network could offer more redundancy, and faster speeds on both sides of the network.
Historically though, conglomeration of telecom companies has reduced competition, and essentially led to monopoly rents for a service that is especially susceptible to price competition. (There's a reason they try to lock you in with contracts. Competition is the enemy.) Here, I worry that Sprint's management has noticed that T-Mobile is unlike other competitors, AT&T, and is competing on price, setting a dangerous precedent. I worry they're trying to squash this unruly behavior through the purchase.
Potential benefits might be nice, I just worry the downside risk is very large.
* Check out "The Master Switch" by Tim Wu, or at least this review: http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/12/books/review/Leonhardt-t.h...
I run stock android BYOD style with Tmobile. I don't want them to switch to the Sprint model of terrible apps and higher prices. :/
And assumptions about acceptable levels of service and coverage. I'm saying that as a loyal T-Mobile customer, but it's readily apparent that when I visit my parents in my small home town, or drive a few hours east to the beach towns near me, or really go anywhere much outside a major city, my service is poor or non-existent, and my Verizon-customer friends' service is fine. I'm okay with that because I live in a big city, don't go to small towns often, and think the mediocre coverage is worth it for the lower price, but there's definitely a "you get what you pay for" aspect to all of this, at least in my experience.
Yeah, I think more testimonials are on your side here, so I don't doubt that T-Mobile subscribers face this issue, but it's strange to me, because I had exactly the opposite experience in reliability. Moving from Sprint to T-Mobile improved my reliability considerably.
Sprint would claim I had full bars, but downloads would stall out, webpages would just die half loaded. This was near their headquarters in Kansas City. T-Mobile's network has never crowded me off line, and has worked for me fairly consistently on the east coast.
Neither seemed to work very reliably in the long rural gaps between Kansas City and other metropolitan areas at the time. (Though I hear Sprint has I-70 covered fairly well now.)
I think part of my experience is driven by the fact on the spectrum of "voice user" to "web user," I'm really far to the right, probably outside of the mainstream. Could be T-Mobile's investments in data have come at the expense of their voice reliability? I'm not sure...
I guess if the main issue is T-Mobile's lack of coverage, then on net, things will improve after a merger. If the main concern is Sprint over-selling their network so that it becomes congested and unusable around 6 PM, then a merger is mostly just going to make things worse. It will be better in the short term, but as Sprint takes on subscribers, unless they change their strategy, they'll still overbook the lines.
Sprint coverage tends to be better, but their network has generally lagged behind in terms of technology.
If you need good coverage "everywhere" VZW is unfortunately your only real option. AT&T I guess is a close second.
Or to put it another way. I have lent my VZW phone out to dozens of people to make phone calls when they lacked coverage. I have never once had to borrow a Sprint or AT&T phone to make mine.
Amazon link for the lazy
https://chrome.google.com/webstore/detail/smile-always/jgpmh...
The acquirer also makes it harder for others to bid because they too need to take into account the fee.
To get some context for what the new Sprint/T-Mobile might do, it's worth watching this fantastic interview of Masayoshi Son, CEO of Softbank (majority owner of Sprint).
http://www.theverge.com/2014/5/29/5761020/i-love-america-and...
He compares American internet to Chinese air pollution, goes on to lambast Comcast, and admit how bad Sprint's network is and how much work there is ahead.
Sprint is CDMA, Tmobile is GSM. That doesn't mix well, at least compared to a ATT/Tmobile merger. As a current Tmobile user, I'd like to keep the ability to switch out SIM cards, but if Sprint buys out Tmobile and replaces it with their network, that may not be possible.
I think Orange and T-Mobile do something similar in the UK with their shared EE network and Verizon with their LTE in Rural America partners in the Great Plains/Maine/etc.
2) LTE is compatible with both CDMA and GSM, and furthermore specifies a SIM card. All my recent Sprint phones have SIM cards that is used solely for CDMA
3) I expect the Sprint CDMA network is more valuable than the T-Mobile GSM network, but my information is out of date; if T-Mobile has been buying up spectrum faster than Sprint, they may have caught up.
4) T-Mobile actually owns some CDMA spectrum as a legacy from MetroPCS
5) For at least a couple years after the merger, I expect that both 3G networks will continue to operate; it's possible that phones specifically for rural areas (which will get LTE last) with the ability to connect to both will be made; IIRC T-Mobile sells some tri-band phones that connect to bands it owns no spectrum in specifically for allowing that (though it's still GSM, not CDMA).
It's just conjecture, but I'm almost certain he won't do anything to improve internet in the US.
Yes, Japan has fantastic wireline broadband and Son had a lot to do with breaking open Japan's market (after NTT's lines were made the equivalent of a common carrier). However, Japan also has just 3 mobile carriers and of them, SoftBank is universally panned for the worst reception, lowest LTE speeds, and worst customer service.
There is no reason to believe Son will increase competition in wireless by reducing the US market to 3 carriers.
EDIT: typo
The announcement of a merger has major market effects, which tend to improve the standings of one company and not the other; the announcement of that merge failing will have similarly large market effects. The breakup fee is simply a term in the negotiated contracts that specifies what happens if the merge fails to go through; the company whose market standing will fall as a result of the merge failure would negotiate to get paid a breakup fee.
There is no special law or anything covering it that I'm aware of, it's just that T-Mobile says "This will be a distraction, and there is serious risk that it won't happen. If you want us to take that risk, give us some insurance"
Apparently Sprint wants this deal badly enough to risk losing $1B if it doesn't go through, and T-Mobile was canny enough to realize this fact and negotiate for that clause in the contract.
They're awesome, and T-Mobile's been slowly adopting pieces of Ting's pricing/openness policies.
Nothing.
Ting has a contract MVNO agreement. Unless Sprint goes out of business entirely, or breaks their contract (very unlikely), nothing will change for Ting at all.
Ting might have to make folks buy new devices (if T-Mobile can succeed in finally shutting off Sprint's legacy 1X and EVDO CDMA stuff), but nothing should happen to Ting that would prevent them from operating.
EDIT : Ting themselves commented on this at https://ting.com/blog/what-would-a-sprint-t-mobile-merger-me...
The AT&T/T-Mobile deal made sense when it was attempted, if only in terms of network coverage. This deal only makes sense if Sprint and T-Mobile plan to merge their LTE networks, since CMDA and GSM don't overlap.
I have had Sprint for over 10 years and I like Sprint, my service is fine, and the price that I pay is great. I hope this does not change if this deal gets past the antitrust regulators.
Mergers of companies that control scarce resources have some serious tragedy of the commons problems. There should be a significant cost to doing it.
Read Tom Hazlett. Or back to Coase: http://old.ccer.edu.cn/download/7874-1.pdf
I can't give an objective statistical answer (or even a first hand subjective answer, as I haven't been a customer of theirs - I left Orange a couple of years before that), but from people who are customers to other random conversations, I've heard lots and lots of people say coverage got better due to the merger, and quite a few say prices got better. Don't think I've heard a single person complain (specifically about the merger - some complain about the company, but that's true of any phone company).
Edit: there's also the formation of Virgin Media, which has been a major force in the UK for 6-7 years now, and is made up of a couple of mergers (NTL + Telewest to form NTL: Telewest, then a few months later a merge with Virgin Mobile). I've no idea if this made it better or cheaper, but certainly I don't remember ever hearing specific complaints against the merger (either when it happened, or afterwards)
AT&T Wireless and AT&T are separate companies (AT&T Wireless is not buying DirectTV)
The same with Verizon and Verizon Wireless.
They discussed four different companies as if they were two.
Verizon purchased all of Verizon Wireless from Vodafone this year, for $130 billion. It is now fully owned by Verizon. Vodafone got $59b in cash, $60b in stock, and some other throw-ins.
http://newscenter.verizon.com/corporate/news-articles/2014/0...
http://venturebeat.com/2014/02/21/verizon-closes-130b-deal-t...
Also, AT&T Wireless is a wholly owned subsidiary of AT&T, so they weren't exactly far off the mark. The modern AT&T is the net result of BellSouth and SBC merging, then SBC eating AT&T and rebranding itself. The mergers gave them total control over AT&T Wireless. The wireless subsidiary's results flow up to the parent, which shows up in the quarterly results for AT&T, and that is why AT&T is worth $181 billion today. AT&T Wireless is paying for the DirecTV purchase.
Meanwhile, Verizon Communications has always been the majority shareholder in Verizon Wireless, and sole owner since February.
Whatever separation there may still be between these operations in the corporate structure (e.g. AT&T Inc. vs its subsidiary AT&T Mobility LLC) is only that - corporate structure. It does not ultimately change what each parent company owns / does.
"Sprint would pay about $40 a share in cash and stock for T-Mobile, about a 17 percent premium to Wednesday’s price, according to the preliminary agreement."
"The deal is sure to face regulatory scrutiny, and the early terms of the deal would include a breakup fee of more than $1 billion that Sprint would pay T-Mobile if the deal is not consummated."
Oh well.
Haven't tried international roaming (I've never left the continental U.S.), but having that available makes me less nervous about being able to get in touch with someone if I'm abroad.