I'm still willing to bet a steak or sushi dinner that Apple will not release an iWatch. A wearable bracelet, maybe. But not a watch.
That said, I can completely understand the position of making an iWatch and forcing the choice between existing watches and Apple's. However, to me it's better to competing with fitbit than rolex.
Watches made the transition from time piece to jewelery many years ago. With the time being ubiquitously available watches have been relegated to being a "wearable bracelet" (is there any other kind?) - A Rolex submariner, for example, does the exact same thing as a $5 plastic cheapy, but people still buy Rolex and all the other > $5 watches as jewelery (i.e. social signalling of status)