Pairwise and Y Combinator: Do you have what it takes to be an entrepreneur?
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Now, this is fun stuff to burn some minutes while procrastinating! Here are my results:
http://www.likebetter.com/quiz/results?quiz_id=1125255845&user_list_id=6
Some things that the test got backwards:
- I'm more a listener than a talker,
- I never smoked (I clicked on the hemp pic because I like intense green :),
- I think I'm more into books than my score there suggests,
- I like mild food rather than spicy,
- I do like and have pets,
- I'm not really that urban. I'm more comfortable in villages or small towns.
Interesting. I posted a similar post this week on the characteristics found in entrepreneurs ~ http://news.ycombinator.com/comments?id=7459
'... all we'll care about is one measure: how close one comes to the best founders. We don't care what atoms are in that molecule ...'
But testing for characteristics of 'high achievers' then correlating test scores against potential applicants is fraught with problems. Is the correlation against the best enough? [1]
I'm sure you might get some correlation but it's pretty unimaginative [2]. So what could be a better tool? What about direct testing of skill? Wouldn't a better technique be simulation? Why not build a 'startup simulator' where applicants are given tools to simulate tasks they actually will have to do? Then you have a controllable scenario where you really can measure results against successful founders.
You could test
- the conception of an idea
- the building of a (simple) prototype
- quickly find an audience
- find a way to make money off it
Wrapped up in a framework [3] where you test the execution of these tasks you could get a better grasp of the
- skills
- determination
- entrepreneurial audacity
- passion
- humour
- leadership skills needed to succeed.
- risk taking, emotional intelligence
There is a long history of simulators in testing & refining of skills, competency and execution are required. Even Captain Kirk at Starfleet Academy trained, passed (and cheated) on simulators.
Who knows it might even be fun.
Reference
[0] Professor Con Stough, Brain Sciences Institute, 'Director, Centre for Neuropsychology, Swinburne Institute of Technology'
http://www.swin.edu.au/bioscieleceng/neuropsych/stough.htm
[1] But I do like the simplicity of just looking at a simple set of parameters to make a Gladwellian decision.
[2] In a competitive environment the difference between getting the attention of the right candidates could be the tools used to measure how they stack up against the best .. but actually doing something, learning and getting some feedback.
[3] The framework could be a game, or simply a panel of dials. The key thing is you can have a back room with founders, past entrepreneurs twiddling the dials checking to see in RT how candidates handle things like a person leaving, stressing system etc (like the LEM tester in the Apollo missions). It also allows for candidates to learn from failure with less risk & pass on the best decision making skills to candidates that have passed.
I mean before Y combinator, build a product - launch it. Grow the userbase - iterate.
Reality is the superior test of whther you are an entrepreneur - don't need to get Y com funding to get going...
See all the recent fundees: Scribd, Boso, Weebly, Buxfer: they had a product.
Doesn;t need to be so far down this track but having done something is better than simulating it.
True . Ideally yes. But it there may be times when you want to test skills or sub sections of skills, NOW. I've run 8 miles in 2 hours in the past but does that mean I can do it now?
I think the bit I was addressing was suggesting a technique to scale selection through automated means by testing against the best. I agree reality is a better test. But you miss the point about simulation. With simulation you can
- test/be tested/train in compressed time
- test/be tested/train with different scenarios
- test/be tested/train individual components of the process
- test/be tested/train with lower costs
- test/be tested/train in controlled circumstances to allow better measurement
'... having done something is better than simulating it ...'
Pilots fly planes but they also train and test their skills in simulation due to cost, risk and a lot of other factors. People who do things, need ways to test their skills, improve and be tested. Why not startups? In the case of YC, 'done', 'doing' may not be controlled enough to measure against the best (conjecture).
One thing I wonder is whether there is any logic to deal with confounding variables--for instance, if someone picks every photo that has a bike in it, maybe they just like bikes, and those data points should be excluded.
On the whole, though, the pairwise people have probably as good a shot at anyone at making a not-suck personality analyzer.
Why don't you just use a classic IQ test if you are into that kind of stuff, or the Myer-Briggs test?
http://www.likebetter.com/quiz/results?quiz_id=1449411178&user_list_id=6
I think the attributes of the test, should be more questions of type, what you do in specific situations, and be compared to what YC would prefer as answer.
update
or am I wrong, and GREEN is the range of answers of the samples?
The premise that pictures and the choice of pictures determine anything about yourself is simply silly. I have different experiences than someone else. I have been to and seen different places than someone else. Different imagery will provoke different emotion in different people.
I found it weird that Y Combinator founders generally fell in the "aren't much into books" category.
Here's Mine: http://www.likebetter.com/quiz/results?quiz_id=509484655&user_list_id=6
Seriously, what impact does this have on getting funded by YC? (I'm sure everyone wants to know the answer to that)
In particular, we don't care much about the specific metrics this test tries to measure. The Pairwise guys chose those; we had nothing do to with it. When we use this for real, all we'll care about is one measure: how close one comes to the best founders. We don't care what atoms are in that molecule.
And so the test will need to get more sophisticated in turn by finding even more non-obvious yet discriminating pairs of images.
This is sort of like the constant battle between those creating spam filters and spammers.
online dating
airport security
immigration
finding cofounders
You might as well hire a psychic to test potential cofounders... I think you'll have the same success rate.
Does anyone remember The Spark's gender test? It's a specific case of this kind of test: http://community.sparknotes.com/gender/ (use bugmenot.com for login)
http://www.likebetter.com/quiz/results?quiz_id=1627867125&user_list_id=6
I am too depressed to read any further:) But I did - it only gets worse:
"read books voraciously"...I'm as far from that as you can get.
"a religious person"...tell that to my mom
"have or want pets"...can't stand most pets!
http://www.likebetter.com/quiz/results?quiz_id=918442805&user_list_id=6
And it knew that. That's really strange and freaks me out. What I once thought was my complicated little unique snowflake of a brain turns out to just be the combination of 21 values.
http://www.likebetter.com/quiz/results?quiz_id=596593159&user_list_id=6
So is it good to be on all of the edges?
A real test would have more like 200 pairs, which is what the YC founders took when we assessed their attributes in the first place.