Ask HN: Desktop browser market share among HN readers?

Google is loaded with conflicting data on desktop browser market share among the general public (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Usage_share_of_web_browsers, etc), but I'm curious what that breakdown would look like among HN readers. Here's my semi-wild guess.

Chrome: 50% (incl. Chromium) Firefox: 25% Safari: 10% Opera: 7% IE: 7% Other: 1%

Assumptions and questions:

- Assume major reduction in IE, but how low does it go?

- Assume Safari = to general public. (Higher % Mac users, but offset by higher rate of Chrome/Firefox/Opera installs.)

- My Opera guess is 4-5x general public, but still only 1/3 the rate of Firefox. I actually have no idea on this one.

- My Chrome guess is slightly more than general public, but could it be even higher than 50%?

What's your guess?

p.s. If a HN moderator were to, you know, share the ACTUAL data, that would be awesome. :)