Could Wordpress Be the Natural Successor to Twitter, Friendfeed and Facebook?
siliconangle.com
siliconangle.com
The fact that some early adopters and their little cliques are jumping around from service to service every 6 months in search of the new hotness does not say a whole lot about the future of any of these services.
In my opinion it's going to be hard for any startup to cross the chasm and displace Facebook in the next 10 years. I know that's a bold statement, but look at the people who are using it now. You're not going to suck average people in with some incrementally better service with no critical mass.
Why has Twitter's growth suddenly dropped off compared to Facebook's? Because regular people joined, followed celebrities, found out they had nothing interesting to say, asked "that's it?" and left. Facebook provides value to almost any real person right now. While a federated stream is nice in theory, it doesn't really mean anything to anyone except extroverted geeks and San Francisco hipsters.
The main reason, I find, that people use WP is because it is free and does the relatively simple task to managing and displaying a blog decently out of the box.
If WordPress was completely rewritten (like Vanilla 2 was in lieu of Vanilla 1), then I'd change my argument. But you'd lose the thousands of plugins it currently supports, though perhaps only 100 of out them are actually production-ready.
Unless these clients start duplicating the entire functionality of Facebook, that is completely untrue. Facebook is much more than a Twitter-esque messaging platform.
There's a lot more to it - particularly when you look at the roadmap for where Wordpress and Buddypress are headed.