The Truth About Google X: A Look Behind The Secretive Lab's Closed Doors
fastcompany.com
fastcompany.com
HN prefers the most substantive variant of any story. User comments pointing to better urls for a story are helpful—so helpful, in fact, that I'm working on a bit of software to semi-formalize them, so we'll be more likely to see them all. It should be ready soon, and we'll post about it.
It would be nice if this could also be formalized, maybe with a note at the top or bottom of the page instead of a comment that can be lost.
Not many are actually discussing the real article.
In this case, though, the space elevator content does come from the real article, so these comments are on topic. The original url was basically self-blogspam—full of links back to the long piece.
What else did Google do around this? Did they go about designing the elevator apparatus itself? Did they devise plans for launching the cable/tether into orbit? Did they explore options for what would anchor the tether in space? Without any further details on this "project", it's as good as a lunchtime spitballing session any one of us might have had recently. One might as well say I've also tried to design a space elevator.
As far as I know, graphene is just as good or a little bit better than currently producible carbon nanotubes. There are a few other materials out there such as colossal carbon tubes and something being called carbyne ( linear acetylenic carbon). Carbyne as far as I know is supposed to have better properties than any of the others but is only a predicted material from computer simulations and some small traces of it supposedly found in interstellar dust. So far, there has been no real success in creating it in a lab.
The fact that they came to the same conclusion (infeasibility) we now question their intentions/motivations and whether it was a good idea or not.
We either applaud attempts or we don't - but we can't choose based on the outcome of those attempts.
If they were even remotely serious, they'd be continuing work and research on everything else relating to building a functioning space elevator and waiting for materials science to catch up, or better yet directly contributing to the advancement of the materials.
Edit: I'm not criticising Google for looking at space elevators. Hell I do applaud that, and I think it'd be a great direction for them to explore. What I'm upset about is Fast Company's journalistic standards about covering it. Google X mentions they looked at space elevators and Fast Company would have you believe they threw millions of dollars and man-hours at it and actually tried to design one.
Journalists apparently have no idea how to cover scientific topics. If someone reports they've found a chemical that's shown to target and destroy a specific strain of cancer cells in a petri dish under laboratory conditions then Fast Company would be reporting that they've cured cancer.
To its credit you get self driving cars out of this sort of strategy, and you also get less PR worthy work :-)
So yeah, once we can grab an asteroid or two, chop them up for materials, then I think we can have something like a space elevator. Heaven help us if it ever does break/fall (not snapping of the cable but destroying the anchor point)
Also, there's a rather large difference between a multi-billion dollar internationally supported scientific operation, and a few million dollar marketing stunt.
If you can make a few hundred meters long carbon nano tube (which we can't right now), what's stopping you from making a balloon with a circumference of a few km, and how much cable could you lift up how high with that?
Since gravity decreases quadratically, the first miles are the ones that count.
If you're trying to get to space quickly, then much of the air-resistance losses are in the first 10 km.
Look up "rockoons" for more info on replacing a rocket's first stage with a balloon platform.
There is a class of problems that don't sit nicely in a single domain and can benefit from collaboration. When we engage in spit-balling we are (un)consciously looking to extend the scope of our solution search. From experience such discussions almost never go anywhere beccause that space is really vast and intractable. I imagine a new service here: Google Watercooler, providing tools to extend X into your spitball sessions and vice versa. Like TedX: call it XX.
I assume the following:
1. Launch a relatively thin line, with high strength to orbit.
2. Spool it out to earth; attach another, thicker cable to the line and reel it up to orbit
....
N. Step 2 repeated until you have the cable thickness and strength needed.
N+1. Attach a cable climbing robot to that cable to haul up additional lines.
N+2. Attach a larger cable-robot to the multiple cables to climb into orbit and haul a real load.
Google X's Chief of Moonshots (effectively the CEO), Astro Teller, alludes to the space elevator being a fun joke in his SXSW 2013 speech [1], including confirmation of it never being taken seriously by the team.
1 - http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Art_Center_College_of_Design
Source: My co-worker sitting besides me used to work at X as an engineer.
Also good to see people that aren't 20-somethings driving innovation. Hope for us oldsters yet.
It takes time to get to the forefront of an already-explored area, and to become a good software engineer. People who get there by 25 are extremely rare (maybe 1 in a few million). Some people peak early and some peak late, but the median (across the arts, sciences, mathematics, and technology) is around 45-55 and for technology it should be, if anything, later.
But most Silicon Valley "innovation" is bullshit and doesn't need high-power people. It needs an image of "newness" and that requires youth. It needs people who can exploit the chickenhawk instinct of venture capitalists, and that requires youth as well.
http://legendofpi.wordpress.com/2012/03/24/do-mathematicians...
http://articles.latimes.com/2012/jun/25/science/la-sci-sn-nu...
"In fact, Mr. Simonton found that mathematicians make their best research contributions (which he defined as the ones mentioned most often by historians and biographers in reference books) at what many might consider doddering old age: 38.8. That age is very similar to those he found in other sciences: 40.5 in biology, 38.2 in physics, and 38.0 in chemistry."
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gauss#Later_years_and_death_.2...
Relevant comic with a list of old scientists: http://www.smbc-comics.com/index.php?db=comics&id=1833#comic
In math, I guess, advances are made by bright ideas - logical jumps, sudden realizations. The discoverer just needs to read to the edge of the field and then realize something no one else has before.
But I think that's a shallow model for inovation. Genuinely innovative companies like Tesla or Skybox mostly seem to be mixed age teams.
This is the same guy who says "No, not everyone who's rich deserves to die": https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5625397
Err... yeah? Previously who did the capital belong to?
Take for example the following line: Google X head Astro Teller embraces failure. Sometimes literally: In group meetings, he has been known to give hugs to people who admit mistakes or defeat. Here embracing failure is over-sensationalized, I think, when in the end it is only a hacker's attempt at trial-and-failure. And then for some reporter to come and say, because they are trying to find gems in the story, that hackers embrace failure sounds just plain old gibberish.
Evidence or sources?
It depends on the shareholder, really. Most of the big fish are not interested in holding Google stock for 10 - 20 years waiting for these initiatives to pay off. They operate on annual bonuses, whereas Google X invests in projects that will take more than 1 year to pay off.
From the very start the Google founders have been clear on how their company should operate. They are taking long bets and will not be told to do otherwise. See their IPO letter from 2004:
http://investor.google.com/corporate/2004/ipo-founders-lette...
For example this fellow thinks a space gun would be very viable [1]. He's even built them before, and it sounds like he's just one successful kickstarter campaign away from building one. (Maybe someone here could help him set up a successful kick starter?)
There is some potential, but it would be hard to realize it.
Or it comes right back down again.
IANARS
It's as essential to actual deliverable products and inventions as the basic research is.
While better physical materials can be immediately applied to terrestrial problems.
Source: I used to work there, and some of my teammates have transferred there.
Edit: removed trailing typo.
I was imagining assembling the cables into a rope-like structure. After all, rope is an excellent example of how you take relatively weak fibres and assemble them into something much stronger.
So could you make them thin at the bottom to save weight and then gradually make them thicker at higher altitudes?
The problem with using 100 steel cables is that they have 100x the mass, which means the force per unit area is the same. Hence the need for a new material.
I mean, how would you cut it from his head?
Google search interface has been fundamentally unchanged since it launched in the 90's.
But you know, glass and self-driving cars and all that shit.
Because self-driving cars are a huge deal. It would eliminate the range issue of electrics, because you could send your car to a charging station and get in another. Plus, reduce overall transportation costs. Parking costs in a large city can be $300/month. Self-driving cars plus car sharing will make that obsolete.
Moonshots, huh? I'd call them "useless PR stunts".
Stuff that's neither useful and product oriented (like from Apple), nor deep or interesting enough (like Xerox Parc, IBM or AT&T of old) but is guaranteed to buy some expensive positive news coverage and bring some goodwill towards Google for their "innovations".
It's crazy that we complain when companies build apps that we don't think is meaningful enough.
But when a company aims to build something trying to achieve a lofty goal, we call it a "useless PR stunts".
Not for 10+ years or more. And at that point it might not even come from Google (other companies also conduct research on that, just less publickly). So the current spectacle and premature announcements are pure PR.
>It's crazy that we complain when companies build apps that we don't think is meaningful enough. But when a company aims to build something trying to achieve a lofty goal, we call it a "useless PR stunts".
How is that "crazy"? It's like saying, "It crazy how we call people to not be overweight, but when they stop eating altogether we call them anorexic". Comdemning one extreme doesn't mean we should applaud the other extreme.
I mean, there's a whole spectrum between "non meaningful crap" and "useless PR research" that companies could be aiming for...